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Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 3Q25 Results Recap: Strong AI Cloud Top-line Growth; L...

China’s internet companies reported resilient 3Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement in the online gaming and OTA sectors, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. Margin pressure in e-commerce due to the intense on-demand delivery competition is likely to ease in 4Q25, but could persist into 2026 given the continuous investment and tough comparison base boosted by the trade-in programme in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Alibaba, Tencent, TCOM, TME, Ne...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Ride-sharing & Delivery: Growth accelerating; margin expa...

Today, we are publishing the Ride-sharing and delivery section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Memory, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. Bookings across...

Greater China Research Team ... (+2)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Market Strategy: 2026 Year Ahead: Global easing continue...

Highlights  We expect global liquidity cycle to remain strong for at least 1H26, following the Fed’s return to policy easing in Sep 25, benefitting emerging market assets and commodities.  Chinese equities are likely to rally further, and our index target for MSCI China index target is at 104 pts based on 16.3x 12-month forward PE and 6% EPS growth assumption.  We prefer exposure to growth industries like AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics, ADAS and innovative drugs and liquidity proxies ...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

BABA FY2Q26 Results: Cloud Rev Growth Could Remain Resilient in the Ne...

What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY2Q26 revs that were above consensus and largely in line with our expectations. Cloud rev growth momentum could continue in the CY4Q25 as demand continues to outpace supply of compute. Quick commerce could also meaningfully narrow losses sequentially partly driven by further improvement in unit economics. We maintain our PT at USD200. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY26: Solid CMR And Accelerating Cloud Reve...

Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued strong cloud revenue growth. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$206.00 (US$206....

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+5)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued str...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+13)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Greater China Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued st...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

PDD 3Q25 Results: Visibility Could Remain Limited in the Near Term

What’s new: PDD’s reported 3Q25 revs that were above consensus and our expectations. While margins came in better than expected, PDD cautioned that profitability could continue to fluctuate as the company plans to roll out more initiatives to support both demand and supply side. We maintain our PT at USD120. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

BZ 3Q25 Results: Recruitment Business Remains Resilient

What’s new: BZ’s reported 3Q25 revs that were largely in line consensus and our expectations. Guidance implies recruitment demand remains resilient. Margins could also see further upside as rev growth momentum continues heading into FY26. We maintain our PT at USD25. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

BIDU 3Q25 Results: BIDU Core Ads YoY Decline Could Further Narrow in 4...

What’s new: Baidu’s reported 3Q25 core revs that were largely in line with consensus and our expectations. Baidu Core ad rev YoY decline could further narrow in 4Q partly driven by continued monetization of AI-native ad products. Margins could also fare better in 4Q compared to 3Q as BIDU would remain disciplined in AI spending. We maintain our PT at USD140. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Baidu Inc (9888 HK): 3Q25: Earnings Beat Expectations; Subdued Top-lin...

Baidu’s 3Q25 earnings missed our expectations. Revenue dropped 7% yoy to Rmb31.2b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin dropped 10ppt yoy to 41.2%, below consensus expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb2.2b, plunging 69% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 7%. Non-GAAP net profit slumped 36% yoy to Rmb3.8b, beating consensus forecast. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$151.00 (US$167.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Top Stories Initiate Coverage | Pony AI Inc (PONY US/BUY/US$12.18/Target: US$26.10) Pony AI is a global leader in autonomous mobility, leveraging its virtual driver technology to enable the mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles across diverse regions. We expect revenue to grow at a three-year CAGR of 65% from 2024-27, net loss to narrow, and bottom line to turn around in 2028, driven by large-scale commercialisation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of US$26.10 for ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Ming San Soong
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Greater China Initiate Coverage | Pony AI Inc (PONY US/BUY/US$12.18/Target: US$26.10) Pony AI is a global leader in autonomous mobility, leveraging its virtual driver technology to enable the mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles across diverse regions. We expect revenue to grow at a three-year CAGR of 65% from 2024-27, net loss to narrow, and bottom line to turn around in 2028, driven by large-scale commercialisation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of US$26.10...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q25: Solid Revenue Growth; Investment In FD To Ease...

JD’s 3Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 15% yoy to Rmb299.1b, 2-3% above our and consensus estimates. in line with its previously guided double-digit growth. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped 98% yoy to Rmb211m, translating to a non-GAAP operating margin of 0.07%. Non-GAAP net profit fell 56% yoy to Rmb5.8b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 2%. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$166.00 (US$46.00).

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

BILI 3Q25 Results: Topline Growth Could Remain Stable

What’s new: Bilibili’s reported 3Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. Gaming revs could continue to be under pressure partly due to tougher comps in San Mou, while ad growth could remain resilient in 4Q. Margins could further improve sequentially partly driven by continued cost controls. We up our PT from US$27 to US$29 on resiliency of key business segments including ads. Our updated PT of US$29 implies a 26.9x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

JD 3Q25 Results: Outlook Remains Intact

What’s new: JD’s reported 3Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. JD Retail could continue to be supported by resiliency in general merchandise which partly offset the tougher comps from home appliances and consumer electronics. Investments in food delivery could continue to sequentially decline in 4Q. We maintain our PT at USD42. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+11)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Friday, November 14, 2025

Top Stories Economics | Money Supply M1 growth fell to 6.2% yoy in October, short of expectations, while M2 growth eased to 8.2% yoy. New bank loans dropped sharply to Rmb0.22t, and new TSF fell to Rmb0.81t, both below forecasts. Outstanding TSF and bank loan growth moderated to 8.5% (-0.2ppt mom) and 6.5% yoy (-0.1ppt mom) respectively, with the decline led by household loans. The numbers are not encouraging. Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV retail sales basically remained flat yoy in Oc...

 PRESS RELEASE

Bilibili Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Bilibili Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results SHANGHAI, Nov. 13, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Bilibili Inc. (“Bilibili” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: BILI and HKEX: 9626), an iconic brand and a leading video community for young generations in China, today announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Third Quarter 2025 Highlights: Average daily active users (DAUs) were 117.3 million, representing an increase of 9% year over year.Total net revenues were RMB7.69 billion (US$1.08 billion), representing an increase of 5% year over year, i...

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results

JD.com Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results BEIJING, Nov. 13, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2025. Third Quarter 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB299.1 billion (US$142.0 billion) for the third quarter of 2025, an increase of 14.9% from the third quarter of 2024.Net income attributable to the Company’s ordinary shareholders was RMB5.3 b...

 PRESS RELEASE

JD.com to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on November 13, ...

JD.com to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on November 13, 2025 BEIJING, Oct. 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited third quarter 2025 financial results on Thursday, November 13, 2025, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 7:00 am, Eastern Time on November 13, 2025, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on November 13, 2025) to discuss the third quarter 2...

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