reports
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks :November Conviction Calls.
HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C and Sunny Optical to BUY; take profits on Meituan, OOIL and Ping A...
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
2633 JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
02015 LI AUTO INC
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benyamin Mikael
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Greater China Research Team
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jonathan Koh
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Lester Siew
- Malaysia Research Team
- Singapore Research Team
- Sunny Chen
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 04, 2025
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
PEP BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH PPB GROUP BERHAD
2633 RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
HCM JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
AIS HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
RSTON ADVANCED INFO SYSTEMS
FEH RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
UHU FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CRPU CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
2269 LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
OR KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MXNU PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MTEL IJ DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
02161 PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
02015 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
0303 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA ALPHA IVF GROUP
SDG LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
BRMS IJ SD GUTHRIE BHD
AADI IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
002371 CH ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
ASL SP NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Key Battlefield For Instant Retail; Embedding AI Into ...
Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Alibaba and Kuaishou.
Bilibili Inc. to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on Thursd...
Bilibili Inc. to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on Thursday, November 13, 2025 -Earnings Call Scheduled for 7:00 a.m. ET on November 13, 2025- SHANGHAI, Oct. 23, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Bilibili Inc. (“Bilibili” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: BILI and HKEX: 9626), an iconic brand and a leading video community for young generations in China, today announced that it will report its third quarter 2025 unaudited financial results on Thursday, November 13, 2025, before the open of U.S. markets. The Company’s management will host an earnings conference call at 7:00 AM U.S. Eastern T...
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Macro: China Data Shows Country Desperate to Export Way Out of Pro...
Pelham Smithers notes that although there are reasons for thinking that the Chinese economy is producing “real” growth of around +5% for CY25, there are several structural problems that need to be considered and the implications for Japan.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY26 Results Preview: Solid Revenue Growth ...
We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite margin erosion led by instant delivery competition. We remain optimistic on Alibaba’s core commerce and cloud strategy, which leaves it well-positioned to become a technology platform centred on AI + Cloud and a consumer ecosystem integrating shopping and lifestyle services. Its intensified investment in AI and instant retail reinforces its long-term strategic value and growth flywheel. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$203.00 (US$203.00).
- Damon Shen
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, October 15, 2025
Top Stories Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite margin erosi...
- Jin Yoon
BIDU 3Q25 Preview: Top line Intact
What’s New: We maintain our Baidu Core total rev estimates in the 2H as ads would continue to be adversely impacted by restructuring of AI search. Cloud could continue to decelerate in the 2H partly due to tougher comps. We up our PT from US$110 to US$140 partly due to multiples rerating on AI. Our updated PT of US$140 implies an 18.8x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Cost Efficiency As Performance Cornerstone And Robotax...
The growing robotaxi ecosystem is drawing an increasing number of new entrants, including autonomous service providers and ride-hailing platforms. We expect technological maturity, policy support and better fleet economics to drive a major expansion wave for the robotaxi industry into 2H25/2026, with China’s robotaxi fleet size expected to grow ten-fold during this period. We see material development and monetisation progress of Robotaxi, sparking renewed investor interest. Key companies riding ...
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Damon Shen
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 29, 2025
Greater China Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): APSARA Conference 2025 Key Takeaways
We attended the Alibaba Cloud Apsara Conference 2025 (“云栖大会”) on 24-26 Sep 25 and noted various key growth drivers: a) potential upward revision of its Rmb380b three-year AI infrastructure capex plan; b) data centre energy consumption projected to rise 10x by 2032 vs 2022, underscoring computing demand; c) expanded partnerships, including NVIDIA, with PAI platform integration for embodied intelligence and autonomous driving; and d) launch of seven new Qwen models. Maintain BUY with a higher targ...
- Damon Shen
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Monday, September 29, 2025
Top Stories Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools. ...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Re-valuation On Shifting Dynamics Of AI Infrastructure...
Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. Garnering the most interest was the AI theme driven by: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) self-sufficiency in chip development. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel demand during Golden Week. Maintain OVERWEIGHT...
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Singapore Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 22, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Internet Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. The AI theme garnered the most interest, attributable to: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) development of self-sufficient chips. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel ...
SCC SIAM CEMENT PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
GAM GAMUDA BHD
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
OKP OKP HOLDINGS (OKP SP)
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Key Takeaways From Marketing Trip
Key investor focus areas discussed during the marketing trip include: a) key drivers for AI cloud and applications outperformance, b) sustainability of monetisation of AI applications, c) ROI of accelerating capex, d) self-sufficiency in chips development, and e) where the competition in food delivery and quick commerce is ultimately headed. We foresee that AI/AI Cloud, online gaming and OTAs are poised to benefit from further re-rating, supported by their outperformance in growth. Maintain OVER...
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Baidu Inc (9888 HK): Kunlun AI Chip As The Key Catalyst For Revaluatio...
Amid US chip ban uncertainties, Baidu Inc's (Baidu) Kunlun chip is well-positioned to capture emerging AI chip localisation opportunities. Meanwhile, Robotaxi offers significant growth potential, with Baidu emerging as the global leader in driverless commercial ride-hailing. In cloud, Baidu differentiates itself through its full-stack AI capabilities and a resilient, recurring software revenue stream. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of HK$135.00 (US$150.00).
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Tuesday, September 9, 2025
Top Stories Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Product-level data was mixed, with motor vehicles and hi-tech exports showing strength. Looking ahead, the trade outlook remains cautious, with ...
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls
In August, the HSI and MSCI China Index hit their ytd highs, posting gains of 1.2% mom and 4.2% mom respectively, supported by dovish remarks from Fed Chair J. Powell at Jackson Hole. Looking ahead, we expect some consolidation as most of the positives have been priced in and are biased to SELL. We add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, while initiating SELL calls on Li Auto and OOIL. We take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
02015 LI AUTO INC
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: AI -- Accelerating AI+cloud hyperscaler growth; AI age...
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
ADSK AUTODESK INC.
HPQ MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD.
OKTA HP INC.
CRWD OKTA INC. CLASS A
DELL CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
1506075D DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC CLASS C
09988 DELL INTERNATIONAL LLC / EMC
MRVL ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
MARVELL TECHNOLOGY INC
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