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Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

bpost/A turnaround is not a next day delivery/HOLD

HOLD maintained; target price increased from €1.75 to €1.95 to reflect progress made in the last two quarters and the increase in outlook. However, we also believe tough trading conditions, optimisation of Staci and transformation of Radial US will mean that a recovery of fundamentals cannot be expected in the next quarter(s) as visibility is low and transformation takes time. We do see the longer-term potential but first want to see tangible evidence of margin recovery which validates plugging ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Strong beat driven by one-offs Alfen: Bull bear fight continues bpost: 3Q25 results in line with INGF but miss vs consensus, FY25 outlook fine-tuned to top-end CM.com: Takeover offer from Bird Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Refreshing D'Ieteren: Belron peer Driven Brands 3Q25 talks of lower Q4, choppiness in Collision and Direct Repair Exor: Ferrari reassures with strong 3Q25, improved guidance KPN: Strategy update reassures, largely in line, with solid cash returns expec...

Kristof Samoy ... (+7)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : AD NA, BPOST BB, CPINV BB, GIMB BB, KPN NA, MONT BB, V...

: AD NA, BPOST BB, CPINV BB, GIMB BB, KPN NA, MONT BB, VPK NA, WDP BB, WKL NA, ALFEN NA

Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille
Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost Conference call feedback and model update post 2Q25

Despite the ongoing headwinds, bpost reported better than expected 2Q25 results, with the adj. EBIT of € 58.3m exceeding expectations (kbcse: € 46m, css: € 48m). While results in Belgium were somewhat lower, this was offset by better than expected results in the other divisions while Staci's performance was in line. Although sales pressure at Radial US continued following the termination of contracts in 2024 and early 2025, we are pleased to see that its new fast track offering is gaining tracti...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

bpost: 2Q25 results beat 22%, outlook raised further, room for another upgrade at 3Q25. Lotus Bakeries: APAC factory ahead of schedule. NN Group: 1H on track with May CMD, longevity deal a positive surprise (Sol 2 PF 205%). Talabat: 2Q25 Preview. Vopak: AVTL's FID on Mumbai expansion

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq ... (+2)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost Ambitious targets, but uncertainty remains

During the CMD on June 3rd, bpost announced its strategic ambitions for the 2024–2027 period. While the 2027 outlook came in well above our estimates, we note that most of the projected Adj. EBIT growth is expected to be back-end loaded, as the group continues to face challenges in 2025 and 2026. Nonetheless, we believe management made a good impression. We were particularly encouraged by the launch of Radial's new fast-track offering in the U.S., with initial customer onboardings trending ahead...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Launch of BUUT neobank. Aedifica: €47m investment in Finland. bpost: 2025 CMD event feedback - Rethink the Possible. Reshape the Future. Sofina: Scalable investment

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Agreement reached to create Europe's leading Healthcare REIT. bpost: CMD press release; #Reshape 2029. D'Ieteren: Belgian new car registrations down 11.7% in May, VW down 13.5% Fugro: Meeting with CEO & IR; 2Q25 also has its challenges. UCB: Peer Moonlake held takeover talks with US Merck, FT reports

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost Launches new 2024-2027 ambitions

Today, bpost launched its “Reshape 2029” strategy. This will be followed by a CMD in Brussels later today. Over the next years, bpost's intends to reposition itself as a logistics leader that also provides postal services. The transformation should result in group revenues exceeding € 5.0bn by 2027 (kbcse: € 4.8bn), with the adj. EBIT expected to progressively recover above € 275m (kbcse: € 208m). Growth is mainly expected to come from its 3PL business. While the outlook comes in comfortably abo...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
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