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Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille

Bpost : A very busy quarter (despite being relatively small)

>New reporting structure and integration of Staci - Bpost continues to experience pressures from all the volatility at the company as well as weakish end-market (mainly North America). Group operating income (i.c. revenue) for the quarter came in at € 1,025m, +4.7% yoy and -2% vs ccs and AAOBe. Adjusted EBIT came in at € 10m, in line with css. Bpost’s results were mainly driven by the new International 3PL division which now includes Staci. Pressure remains from the c...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aperam: 3Q24 results solid, reassuring 4Q24 guidance. bpost: 3Q24 results and FY24 outlook in line. Eurocommercial Properties: Solid results, guidance confirmed at the top of the range. Euronext: A €300m buyback is next. IMCD: In line 3Q24. SBM Offshore: Prosperity taken out. Sif Group: Line 2 now also reporting for duty

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost Staci, a make or break story

Running up the 3Q24 results on November 8th, we have adjusted our estimates and incorporated the Staci acquisition in our model. We now estimate the Adj. EBIT for FY24 to come in at the low end of the guided range, as we expect 3Q24 to be a softer quarter than usual driven by the impact of the press concession and though environment in the US. Looking at 2025, we expect some of these headwinds to continue. Additionally, the high transaction multiple that was paid for Staci will significantly inc...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

bpost: Stamp/Parcel prices for 2025 announced KPN: Solid 3Q24 on better business and wholesale, managing down expectations on 2025/2026 FCF growth Philips: 3Q24 results, Prolonged China pain Vopak: A bit cautious on 3Q24 Events Calendar

Klaus Breitenbach ... (+2)
  • Klaus Breitenbach
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 08/02/2024

The Stoxx 600 gained just 1.1% in July after shedding 1.3% in June, driven by the SMI (+2.5%) and the Footsie 100 (+2.7%). With business sentiment indicators continuing to weaken, defensive stocks outperformed cyclicals in July, and many healthcare stocks were among the best performers of the Stoxx 600. Long-term interest rates have fallen sharply (probably too much), but this has not benefited tech and luxury goods stocks, penalised by their disappointing results publications. - ...

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost 2Q24 Conference call feedback

Bpost reported a solid set of 2Q24 results, with the adj. EBIT of € 57.8m coming in above kbcse & css expectations of € 56.9m and € 51.8m respectively. The beat was largely driven by a better performance in Belgium, which still included press remuneration from the BE government. This was however partially countered by ongoing pressure in N-A. bpost further announced that it completed the Staci acquisition, which will now be consolidated from August onward. We reiterate our Buy and € 5.0 TP.

Klaus Breitenbach ... (+2)
  • Klaus Breitenbach
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 02/08/2024

Le Stoxx 600 ne progresse que de 1,1% en juillet après sa baisse de 1,3% en juin, tiré par le SMI (+2,5%) et le Footsie 100 (+2,7%). Avec la poursuite du fléchissement des indicateurs de climat des affaires, les défensives ont surperformé les cycliques en juillet, et de nombreuses valeurs Santé sont présentes parmi les meilleures performances du Stoxx 600. Les taux d’intérêt longs ont nettement reflué (sans doute trop) sans que cela profite aux valeurs de la Tech ou du Luxe qui ont s...

Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille

Bpost : Relatively good operating performance. Staci now part of the g...

>Better adj. EBIT than anticipated - Bpost posted a relatively good set of results. Group operating income (i.c. revenue) for the quarter came in at € 988m, roughly in line with ccs and AAOBe. Adjusted EBIT came in at € 58m, +12% vs. css and +8% vs. our estimates. Bpost’s results continue to be driven by resilient Belgium operations and good performance at E-Logistics Eurasia, while E-Logistics NA performed poorly once again due to challenging market conditions. bpost...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

bpost: 2Q24 strong 12% beat vs cons; FY24 outlook reiterated. Brunel: 2Q24 more-or-less in line; more cost savings announced to improve conversion. IMCD: Nice underlying beat. Events Calendar

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost Analyst call feedback post outlook update & model revision

Following the closing of the press negotiations, bpost expects the adj. EBIT for 2024 to come in between € 165 – € 185m including the press impact. Although no group guidance was available previously, the new guidance comes in below our estimate of € 215m. Next to the press impact, the new outlook also includes further unfavourable market conditions in N-A. Additionally, bpost mentioned that the Staci acquisition is expected to close in the coming weeks. After revisiting our estimates, we reiter...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+3)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 07/03/2024

In June, European equities were buffeted by the political risk in France and the downturn in business climate indicators (PMI), which erased the effect of the ECB's first, widely anticipated, rate cut and the continuing upward revision of the consensus. French indices and stocks - in particular small caps - were the ones that gave up the most ground. In sector terms, within the Stoxx 600, technology, healthcare and media were the only sectors to advance, while real estate, banks, basi...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+3)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/07/2024

En juin, les actions européennes ont pâti du risque politique français et du fléchissement des indicateurs de climat des affaires (PMI) qui ont effacé l’effet de la 1ère baisse des taux de la BCE, largement anticipée, et la poursuite de la révision à la hausse du consensus. Les indices et valeurs françaises – en particulier small caps - sont celles qui ont le plus reculé. En termes sectoriels, sur le Stoxx 600, la technologie, la santé et les médias ont été les seuls secteurs à progre...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

bpost: FY24 outlook reduced, update on impact of Press concession. Kinepolis: Ending a poor 1H24 on a hopeful note

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost Downgrades outlook following press impact and though N-A market

Following the closing of the press negotiations, bpost expects the adj. EBIT for 2024 to come in between € 165 – € 185m including the press impact. Although no group guidance was available previously, the new guidance comes in below our estimate of € 215m. Next to the press impact, the new outlook also includes further unfavourable market conditions in N-A. Additionally, bpost mentioned that the Staci acquisition is expected to close in the coming weeks. After revisiting our estimates, we reiter...

Michiel Declercq ... (+3)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille

Bpost : New agreements provide for increased visibility

>The new guidance is roughly in line with ccs and AAOBe - Bpost recently announced agreement with Flemish newspaper publishers on the delivery of newspapers. The ongoing service concession ended as at July 1. Given the recent announcements and agreements reached with Dutch and French-speaking newspaper editors, bpost is now able to provide guidance for the FY24 group EBIT.Overall, bpost now expects the FY24 group total operating income to decrease by a low single...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+3)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
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