bpost Conference call feedback and model update post 2Q25

Despite the ongoing headwinds, bpost reported better than expected 2Q25 results, with the adj. EBIT of € 58.3m exceeding expectations (kbcse: € 46m, css: € 48m). While results in Belgium were somewhat lower, this was offset by better than expected results in the other divisions while Staci's performance was in line. Although sales pressure at Radial US continued following the termination of contracts in 2024 and early 2025, we are pleased to see that its new fast track offering is gaining tracti...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 08/08/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 08/08/2025

Benelux Morning Notes

bpost: 2Q25 results beat 22%, outlook raised further, room for another upgrade at 3Q25. Lotus Bakeries: APAC factory ahead of schedule. NN Group: 1H on track with May CMD, longevity deal a positive surprise (Sol 2 PF 205%). Talabat: 2Q25 Preview. Vopak: AVTL's FID on Mumbai expansion

Morning Notes : BPOST BB, JEN BB, LOTB BB, NN NA, VPK NA

: BPOST BB, JEN BB, LOTB BB, NN NA, VPK NA

Bpost : Hitting its own targets (which is already a good sign)

Tessenderlo/Model update ahead of 1H25/BUY

We update our model to reflect recent macro and FX trends as well as Tessenderlo's 2025F guidance. We lower our target price to €30 per share from €32 previously, mainly as a result of our lower estimates. We stick to our BUY on valuation grounds.

Tessenderlo Group: 1 director

A director at Tessenderlo Group bought 626,596 shares at 25.140EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...

Morning Notes : AGFB BB, BPOST BB, GLPG NA, PROX BB, UCB BB, MAAT FP

: AGFB BB, BPOST BB, GLPG NA, PROX BB, UCB BB, MAAT FP

Morning Notes : BPOSTb BB, TESB BB

: BPOSTb BB, TESB BB

bpost Ambitious targets, but uncertainty remains

During the CMD on June 3rd, bpost announced its strategic ambitions for the 2024–2027 period. While the 2027 outlook came in well above our estimates, we note that most of the projected Adj. EBIT growth is expected to be back-end loaded, as the group continues to face challenges in 2025 and 2026. Nonetheless, we believe management made a good impression. We were particularly encouraged by the launch of Radial's new fast-track offering in the U.S., with initial customer onboardings trending ahead...

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Launch of BUUT neobank. Aedifica: €47m investment in Finland. bpost: 2025 CMD event feedback - Rethink the Possible. Reshape the Future. Sofina: Scalable investment

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Agreement reached to create Europe's leading Healthcare REIT. bpost: CMD press release; #Reshape 2029. D'Ieteren: Belgian new car registrations down 11.7% in May, VW down 13.5% Fugro: Meeting with CEO & IR; 2Q25 also has its challenges. UCB: Peer Moonlake held takeover talks with US Merck, FT reports

bpost Launches new 2024-2027 ambitions

Today, bpost launched its “Reshape 2029” strategy. This will be followed by a CMD in Brussels later today. Over the next years, bpost's intends to reposition itself as a logistics leader that also provides postal services. The transformation should result in group revenues exceeding € 5.0bn by 2027 (kbcse: € 4.8bn), with the adj. EBIT expected to progressively recover above € 275m (kbcse: € 208m). Growth is mainly expected to come from its 3PL business. While the outlook comes in comfortably abo...

Morning Notes : AED BB, BPOSTb BB, FLOB BB, MAAT FP, PHVS US

: AED BB, BPOSTb BB, FLOB BB, MAAT FP, PHVS US

bpost/Surprisingly positive Last Mile; upgrade coming?/HOLD

We keep our HOLD rating, but we increase our target price from €1.55 to €1.75. bpost reported a strong 1Q25 with a 22% beat vs company compiled consensus. Whereas BeNe Last Mile disappointed in the previous quarter, it now surprised strongly on the upside despite the impact from the strikes. bpost does not see an impact from the tariff wars and it might be less of an issue than initially expected. Radial US is still in a tough spot but with an improving pipeline while Staci seemed on track, alth...

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: Creating a global leader in gelatin/collagen w...

Tessenderlo and Darling Ingredients announced the intention to combine their gelatin & collagen businesses in a joint venture, in which Tessenderlo would have a 15% stake. In light of the difficult market conditions, we welcome the combination which will lead to a gelatin & collagen powerhouse with a global market share of 35-40%. We still appreciate Tessenderlo for the sizeable free cash flow generation and maintain our Accumulate rating for now.

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 05/09/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 09/05/2025

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica, Cofinimmo: Aedifica CMD feedback bpost: 1Q25 results beat strongly, outlook surprises Brunel: 1Q25 results disappoint on perm, weak revenue Cofinimmo, Aedifica: Negative reaction on Aedifica offer Eurocommercial Properties: Good with no surprise Montea: Good results, guidance reconfirmed Proximus: Small 1Q beat, guidance reiterated, soft commercial performance Sif Group: The jury is still out Talabat: Preview 1Q25 Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music slowdown in streaming and prof...