reports
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Wim Lewi
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Sofina Newsletter 15: NAVps up 12% y/y aided by recovery across PE & V...
ENAV grew by 12% y/y and came in at €10.1bn or €307ps. We see the NAV growth as further evidence of operational excellence of portfolio companies and rebound in both activity and valuations across PE and VC. NAV growth was mainly driven by Sofina Growth which rose, during 2H FY24, by 15.8% to ~€2.2bn. As expected, EG Software is now one of the top-10 investments in the portfolio. During FY24, Sofina invested in Cyera ($3bn valuation), Finova Capital ($728m valuation) and Vivobarefoot while parti...
- Francesca Ferragina
Benelux Real Estate sector update/Wind of change
With an improving macroeconomic outlook and companies trading at appealing multiples, we are positive on the Benelux real estate sector (current discount to 2024F NAV of 25.6% vs average 2019-23 premium of 4% for our coverage universe). We believe the transaction market is set to reopen as companies step out of defensive mode with valuations stabilising and balance sheets in order. Following some first meaningful deals seen in 4Q24, we expect more to come. During 2025, we expect the attention to...
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
bpost/Complex turnaround but attractive for the brave/HOLD
We keep our HOLD rating but lower our target price from €3.50 to €2.10 reflecting our underlying lowered estimates (ex Staci) and lack of medium-term value creation from Staci due to the high price paid and softer performance. The weak trading and competitive pressures at Radial US, negative impact from the lost Press volumes and weakened macro picture in Belgium all have a negative impact on our estimates of underlying 38% for FY25F and 34% for FY26F while they remain more-or-less unchanged inc...
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Holdings Report - December 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -3.1% d...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Dec'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -3.2% which was mainly driven by multi-asset holdings (-4.3%) while single-asset holdings posted a significantly less negative return of -0.6%. The 3 top performers during the period were D'Ieteren Group (+26.6%), Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (+7.0%) and KBC Ancora (+7.0%) while the 3 worst performers were Exor (-5.4%), Heineken Holding (-3.6%) and Gimv (-1.1%). FY24 Performance - Relative: During ...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
SOLV SOLVAC S.A.
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
EXO EXOR N.V.
ROCK WHITESTONE GROUP
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
ODDO : La baisse des taux d’intérêt favorise l’immobilier : nos top pi...
Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de «safe haven» et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaisson...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
ODDO : Interest rate winds favor real estate: Our top picks for 2025
An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
Montea NV: 1 director
A director at Montea NV bought 460 shares at 62.200EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2025?
On this Friday the 13th we select for you 13 stocks to start 2025 with a bang : ABN Amro, Ackermans & van Haaren, Bekaert, D'Ieteren, EVS, Fagron, Fugro, Gimv, Melexis, Shurgard, Sofina, WDP and Xior However, we maintain a defensive stance in our Benelux selection at the start of 2025.. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks are expected to continue their decline into 2025 (see graph above). However, the Trump election victory in the US hits European stocks even before he tak...
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
Real Estate Report December 2024
BE-REITS suffer from macro-worries (logistics) and post-Trump knee-jerk reaction. We believe that especially money flows are pushing stocks down as interest rate fears resurfaced in the US. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balance sheet to continue their growth track record. WDP is also very cheap on cash earnings metrics vs. peers. Xior can grow and fix its balance sheet at the same time through contributions in kind.
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
IMMO COMPAGNIE IMMOBILIERE DE BELGIQUE SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
CTPNV CTP NV
HOMI HOME INVEST BELGIUM
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Hoste
Local Champions Midcap Conference Book 12.12.2024
This conference book is your guide to our annual Local Champions Mid Cap Conference set to take place on Thursday, 12 December 2024 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or attend small group sessions with the top management and/or IR of the following companies: BARCO | BEKAERT | DECEUNINCK | EKOPAK | EVS | GREENYARD | IBA | JENSEN | ONTEX | RECTICEL | VAN DE VELDE | WHAT'S COOKING? | XFAB
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Holdings Report - November 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -3.6% D...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Nov'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -3.6% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-6.9%) while multi-asset holdings posted a slightly less negative return of -2.2%. The 3 top performers during the period were D'Ieteren Group (+5.4%), Gimv (+5.1%) and KBC Ancora (+0.6%) while the 3 worst performers were Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-10.1%), Heineken Holding (-9.6%) and Quest For Growth (-7.5%). YTD Performance - Relative: O...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
SOLV SOLVAC S.A.
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
EXO EXOR N.V.
ROCK WHITESTONE GROUP
- ING Helpdesk
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Wim Lewi
- Kristof Samoy
CMB.Tech MTO page turned, focus back on platform transformation
We resume coverage following the closure of the reopened MTO on November 21. Only 0.7% of outstanding shares were tendered into the bid bringing the free float to 7% (from 7.7%). When announcing the outcome of the tender, CMB.Tech once more reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining its listing. During the tender the stock nosedived well below its NAV while supply side dynamics in the crude tanker and dry bulk market remain largely supportive. The company has a sound financing plan for its ongoing...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
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