reports
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren All eyes on Belron in 2H25
Following the publication of D'Ieteren's 1H25 results, we have slightly adjusted our estimates to the downside and currently bank on an FY25 adj. PBT (gs) of € 935m (prev. € 946m). Adjusting for constant exchange rates, our estimates imply a 2.8% growth on a comparable basis, or in line with the group's guidance (slight increase). While our new estimates reflect lower margin assumptions for Belron and TVH Parts, this effect is partially offset by lower financing costs at Belron on the back of fa...
- ING Helpdesk
D`ieteren Group: 2 directors
Two Directors at D`ieteren Group bought 4,500 shares at between 162.611EUR and 165.970EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over ...
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren No room for error in 2H25, with Belron in focus
1H25 results disappointed with the adj. PBT (gs) down 22.7% to € 452.4m (kbcse: € 493m, css: € 475m). Note that on a comparable basis, the adj. PBT (gs) only decreased by 8.7%, but remained below the full year guidance (slight improvement). The miss was driven by a weak performance at TVH Parts, and only modest margin improvement at Belron. While the reiteration of the FY25 outlook implies a big step up in Belron's margins in 2H25, we give the group the benefit of the doubt. This because manage...
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update September: Adding AB InBev and Exor
In this September update we added 2 stocks to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List : We added AB InBev after the share price weakened post-2Q results. ABI's 2Q volumes fell 1.9% organically, below expectations, mainly due to a 9% drop in Brazil where a price hike led to temporary market share loss. However, strong revenue per hl growth (+4.9%) drove a 6.5% organic EBITDA increase, with 1H growth at +7.2%, near the top of FY guidance (+4–8%). AB InBev, the world's largest brewer, generates ...
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren 1H25: Soft results, but reiterated outlook implies large ste...
1H25 results disappointed, with the adj. PBT (gs) down 22.7% to € 452.4m (kbcse: € 493m, css: € 475m). On a comparable basis, the adj. PBT (gs) only decreased by 8.4%, falling short of the “slight improvement” guided for FY25. The miss was driven by soft results at TVH Parts and only modest margin improvement at Belron. While the reiteration of the FY25 outlook implies a big step up in Belron's margins in 2H25, we give the group the benefit of the doubt. This because management highlighted durin...
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren 1H25 Preview
On September 3rd, D'Ieteren's will report its 1H25 results after market close. In our estimates, we expect the adj. PBT (gs) to decline 15.8% on a reported basis to € 493m (css: € 475m). Note however that we expect this decline to be fully driven by refinancing as our estimates still assume a 1.1% increase in adj. EBIT (gs). As usual, the highlight of the results will be the performance at Belron. Contrary to the traditional seasonality, we expect margin improvement at Belron to be weighed towar...
- ING Helpdesk
- Wim Hoste
Tessenderlo Feedback 1H results conference call
Below are the highlights from the conference call. Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation t...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Hoste
Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +8%, FY guidance maintained
Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumul...
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ascencio: Stable update CFE: Preview; margin over volume CVC Capital Partners: Moments of Realisation D'Ieteren: Belron North American peer Boyd points to positive 3Q25 inflection point in like for like growth Fastned: 1H25 results; disappointing charging volumes, cost pressure continues Greenyard: Results of second acceptance period concerning takeover bid and launching squeeze-out
- Michiel Declercq
bpost Conference call feedback and model update post 2Q25
Despite the ongoing headwinds, bpost reported better than expected 2Q25 results, with the adj. EBIT of € 58.3m exceeding expectations (kbcse: € 46m, css: € 48m). While results in Belgium were somewhat lower, this was offset by better than expected results in the other divisions while Staci's performance was in line. Although sales pressure at Radial US continued following the termination of contracts in 2024 and early 2025, we are pleased to see that its new fast track offering is gaining tracti...
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