reports
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Stefano Toffano
- Wim Gille
Bpost : A very busy quarter (despite being relatively small)
>New reporting structure and integration of Staci - Bpost continues to experience pressures from all the volatility at the company as well as weakish end-market (mainly North America). Group operating income (i.c. revenue) for the quarter came in at € 1,025m, +4.7% yoy and -2% vs ccs and AAOBe. Adjusted EBIT came in at € 10m, in line with css. Bpost’s results were mainly driven by the new International 3PL division which now includes Staci. Pressure remains from the c...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aperam: 3Q24 results solid, reassuring 4Q24 guidance. bpost: 3Q24 results and FY24 outlook in line. Eurocommercial Properties: Solid results, guidance confirmed at the top of the range. Euronext: A €300m buyback is next. IMCD: In line 3Q24. SBM Offshore: Prosperity taken out. Sif Group: Line 2 now also reporting for duty
- Sharad Kumar S.P
GBL Capital Markets Day
Yesterday, GBL hosted its CMD which included some 2027E targets for the approximate allocations to different sub-portfolios – what stood out was that the weight of listed assets would reduce from 60.0%+ currently to approximately 50.0% while private assets (direct private + GBL capital) could reach a weight of 55.0% (upper-end) within GBL's portfolio. We think that a private asset weight of more than 50.0% would make GBL more attractive since its portfolio will be only one of the few ways to gai...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...
- Thomas Couvreur
GBL 3Q24: NAV Up 3.6% To €118 & Capital Markets Day Today
As of 3Q-end, GBL's NAVps stood at €117.99, up 3.6% compared to 1H FY24 (€113.9). On a YTD basis, GBL's disposals of listed assets has helped crystallise capital gains of €1.1b (€630.0m during 9M'24 and €422.0m coming from forward sales that matured on 24th Oct'24). Notably, the stake in Adidas has been cut in half from 7.6% to 3.51%. GBL continues to have an attractive overall liquidity profile of €4.3b, which should be sufficient to seize an opportunities over the short to medium-term. We note...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Jacob Mekhael
ASH abstracts Autolus, Galapagos, MaaT
The abstracts for presentations at ASH (7-10 December) became available yesterday during the day (here). While we may have to wait until the actual conference for the latest datasets, here in this note are some key takeaways for our coverage including updates from Autolus (digging deeper into the obe-cel dataset), Galapagos (more CAR-T data and pre-clinical data on TCR-T) and MaaT (early access program in aGvHD):
Galapagos to Present Results of Pioneering Innovation in Cancer Cell T...
Galapagos to Present Results of Pioneering Innovation in Cancer Cell Therapy at ASH 2024 New Phase 1/2 data support the potential of our CAR T-cell therapy candidates, GLPG5101 and GLPG5201, in addressing unmet needs for patients with poor prognoses. Our innovative decentralized cell therapy manufacturing platform delivers fresh, fit cells within a median vein-to-vein time of seven days, with potentially encouraging patient outcomes. Three abstracts, including one oral presentation for GLPG5101 in relapsed/refractory non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and a company showcase, will spotlight our cutting-e...
Galapagos presenteert resultaten van baanbrekende innovatie in kankerc...
Galapagos presenteert resultaten van baanbrekende innovatie in kankerceltherapie op ASH 2024 Nieuwe fase 1/2 resultaten ondersteunen het potentieel van onze CAR T-celtherapiekandidaten, GLPG5101 en GLPG5201, om tegemoet te komen aan de onvervulde behoeften bij patiënten met een slechte prognose. Ons innovatieve gedecentraliseerde celtherapieproductieplatform levert verse, fitte cellen binnen een mediane vein-to-vein tijd van zeven dagen, met een bemoedigende impact op de resultaten voor patiënten. Drie abstracts, waaronder een mondelinge presentatie voor GLPG5101 bij recidief/refractair non...
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/05/2024
European equity markets weakened in October following multiple disappointments across the earnings season. The impending US election, the outcome of which is highly uncertain according to the polls, may also have prompted some traders to adopt a cautious stance. Sovereign long rates rose sharply, particularly in the US, on the back of macro indicators likely to provide arguments to the most hawkish of central bankers. All eyes are now on the November 5 elections and their repercussion...
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
LEI LEIFHEIT AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ALDEL DELFINGEN INDUSTRY SA
ISS ISS A/S
NOEJ NORMA GROUP SE
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
BCHN BURCKHARDT COMPRESSION HOLDING AG
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
SAE SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
EXN EXCLUSIVE NETWORKS SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ISS A/S : Growing visibility on short- to medium-term triggers leads t...
Les marchés actions européens ont fléchi en octobre après les nombreuses déceptions sur la saison des résultats. L’approche de l’élection US, très incertaine selon les sondages, pourrait également avoir poussé à la prudence certains opérateurs. Les taux longs souverains ont nettement remonté, en particulier aux Etats-Unis, sur la base d’indicateurs macro susceptibles de donner des arguments aux plus faucons des banquiers centraux. Tous les yeux sont désormais rivés sur le scrutin du 5...
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
LEI LEIFHEIT AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ALDEL DELFINGEN INDUSTRY SA
ISS ISS A/S
NOEJ NORMA GROUP SE
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
BCHN BURCKHARDT COMPRESSION HOLDING AG
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
SAE SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
EXN EXCLUSIVE NETWORKS SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Wim Lewi
Shurgard 9m24 Conference Call Feedback, confident on LnS execution
The Conference call gave a short overview of the performance that beat our expectations, mainly on the re-financing conditions. Also the LnS integration is going smoothly as SHUR expects ex-LnS occupancy to increase by 1% every month to reach 90% by FY26-end. Most Q&A focussed on Capex and the need for equity raises. The answer was clear : “ no need at this moment”. The LTV% and Net debt/EBITDA allow for some bolt-on acquisitions as the low dividend pay-out and scrip dividend leave enough headro...
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
Shurgard : Q3: very strong operating performance with an increase in e...
>Acceleration in same store revenue growth in 9M 2024 to +5.2% - Shurgard’s 9M 2024 earnings release (i.e. revenues of € 295.2m; growth at constant scope and exchange rates of +10.8 %) reflects a particularly robust operating performance with an acceleration: Growth in same-store revenues accelerated in 9M 2024 to +5.2% vs +4.5% in H1 2024 with an average occupancy rate still close to the target of 90% at 89.8% (-0.4bp y-o-y, +0.6% q-o-q) and in place rent growth...
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
SOLV SOLVAC S.A.
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
EXO EXOR N.V.
ROCK WHITESTONE GROUP
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
Shurgard : T3 : très forte performance opérationnelle avec relèvement ...
>Accélération de la croissance des revenus « same store » sur 9M24 à +5.2% - La publication de Shurgard sur 9M 24 (i.e. revenus à 295.2 M€ ; croissance à périmètre courant et taux de change constants à +10.8%) traduit une performance opérationnelle particulièrement solide et en accélération : La croissance des revenus « same store » est en accélération sur 9m 24 à +5.2% vs +4.5% sur le S1 24 avec un taux d’occupation moyen toujours proche de sa cible de 90% à 89....
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