reports
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Vranken
- Lynn Hautekeete
Care Property Invest A deep dive in the historic lease portfolio
CPINV's lease holds will expire from 2026 till 2043. The first negative impact of two leases that expire in FY26 was visible in the 4Q24/1Q25 rental income. We believe there is a lot of confusion in the investor community around these leases and we aim to debunk some myths with this note. No matter how these scenario's unfold, there will be negative rent reversion on these leases ranging from –60 to -20%. Given the negative rental income drag and the limited upside to our unchanged TP of EUR 14...
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Hoste
- Michiel Declercq
bpost Ambitious targets, but uncertainty remains
During the CMD on June 3rd, bpost announced its strategic ambitions for the 2024–2027 period. While the 2027 outlook came in well above our estimates, we note that most of the projected Adj. EBIT growth is expected to be back-end loaded, as the group continues to face challenges in 2025 and 2026. Nonetheless, we believe management made a good impression. We were particularly encouraged by the launch of Radial's new fast-track offering in the U.S., with initial customer onboardings trending ahead...
- Adrian Pehl
- Emira Sagaama
- Emna Ben Bdira
- Marc Lavaud
- Maxime Kogge
- Roy Külter
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
SZG SALZGITTER AG
CGM CEGEDIM SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
ERA ERAMET SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
AED AEDIFICA SA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
BCHN BURCKHARDT COMPRESSION HOLDING AG
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
ALVGO VOGO SA
STM STABILUS SE
- Adrian Pehl
- Emira Sagaama
- Emna Ben Bdira
- Marc Lavaud
- Maxime Kogge
- Roy Külter
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
SZG SALZGITTER AG
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
CGM CEGEDIM SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ERA ERAMET SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
AED AEDIFICA SA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
BCHN BURCKHARDT COMPRESSION HOLDING AG
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
ALVGO VOGO SA
STM STABILUS SE
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Reinsurance partnership with TRIGLAV, taking QS on Italian motor direct insurance Belgian Telecoms: Digi introduces a new mobile subscription at €3. Kinepolis: Box office in US/Canada up 76% YoY while France visitors were down 25%. NN Group & ASR: Dutch coalition collapse not affecting Dutch Pension Reform. SBM Offshore: Farewell Aseng after 13.5 years of service. Events Calendar
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Gerardo Ibanez
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
Benelux Tech update/Our favourites: ASM, Barco, BESI, RELX
We refresh our Benelux Tech coverage following the 1Q25 reporting season. In this note we downgrade Just Eat Takeaway from Buy to HOLD as we believe the takeover offer is fair. Most companies reported largely in line results and, across the board we make relatively modest changes to our estimates. Our highest conviction longs in the Benelux Tech universe are ASM International, Barco, BE Semiconductor Industries and RELX. Our biggest increase in target price is for Prosus which saw strong perfor...
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Agreement reached to create Europe's leading Healthcare REIT. bpost: CMD press release; #Reshape 2029. D'Ieteren: Belgian new car registrations down 11.7% in May, VW down 13.5% Fugro: Meeting with CEO & IR; 2Q25 also has its challenges. UCB: Peer Moonlake held takeover talks with US Merck, FT reports
- Michiel Declercq
bpost Launches new 2024-2027 ambitions
Today, bpost launched its “Reshape 2029” strategy. This will be followed by a CMD in Brussels later today. Over the next years, bpost's intends to reposition itself as a logistics leader that also provides postal services. The transformation should result in group revenues exceeding € 5.0bn by 2027 (kbcse: € 4.8bn), with the adj. EBIT expected to progressively recover above € 275m (kbcse: € 208m). Growth is mainly expected to come from its 3PL business. While the outlook comes in comfortably abo...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Bruno Cavalier
- Steven Boumans
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
TNG TRANSGENE SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EVN EVN AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ERA ERAMET SA
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
TTS TRANSPORT TRADE SVCS
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ATO ATOS SE
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Bruno Cavalier
- Steven Boumans
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
NN NN GROUP N.V.
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GSK GSK PLC
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
Suspension of Coverage
From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
ADS ADIDAS AG
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
OR L'OREAL SA
KER KERING SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
SFL SAFILO GROUP S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
SFER SALVATORE FERRAGAMO S.P.A.
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
CFR RICHEMONT
BEI BEIERSDORF
BOSS HUGO BOSS
DHER DELIVERY HERO
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
EF ESSILORLUXOTTICA
UHR THE SWATCH GROUP
MC LVMH
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Vranken
- Clement Genelot
Just Eat Takeaway: tender to the offer
Following the publication of the offer memorandum yesterday by Prosus and the launch of the tender offer today until 29th July, we have withdrawn our Neutral rating and advise shareholders to tender their shares to the offer.1/ We consider the offer as generous with implied c.11.5x EV/EBITDA 2025e
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