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Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

Guidance unchanged, clean EBIT beat estimates

Summary: Richter posted its Q3/24 results today morning. The Company matched the consensus for revenues at HUF 217bn, while the clean EBIT beat estimates by 3% as it came in at HUF 75bn. However, normal EBIT of HUF 64bn and net profit of HUF 37bn fell short of even our depressed expectation as an inventory impairment (HUF 9bn), provision (HUF 5bn) and an unrealized FX loss (HUF 20.8bn) dragged down earnings. The management fully reiterated its 2024 guidance. They continue to guide revenues ...

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

Guidance reiterated after a strong Q2 performance

Summary: Richter posted its Q2/24 results today morning. The Company beat analysts’ expectations across the board, slightly up in terms of revenues and gross profit, while the clean EBIT and net profit exceeded market expectations by 10% and 13%, respectively, despite a one-off impairment on inventories of HUF 7.6bn distorted the results. In EUR terms, Richter reached record quarterly sales of EUR 553mn. Favorable FX rates and lower taxation (Company noted that this is M&A-related and the g...

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

Massive Q1 beat on FX gains, guidance reiterated

Summary: Richter posted its Q1/24 results today morning. The Company beat analysts’estimates across the board, slightly up in terms of revenues (+1%), gross profit (+1%) andEBIT (+1%), while the net income was much better than expected (+26%). This wasattributed to significant FX gains of HUF 15.2bn (o/w HUF 13.1bn was unrealized). Beforethe report, we estimated a positive impact on this line, but in a much smaller extent (+HUF6bn). Following a change in tax rules, taxes reached HUF 13.7bn (incl...

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

Impressive guidance in line with our estimates

Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 59.1bn (+18% YoY) on net sales of HUF 203.2bn(-9% YoY) for Q4/23. Clean EBIT was 36% ahead of the consensus estimate of HUF43.5bn and our estimate of HUF 43.4bn, respectively, while net revenue beatestimate significantly. As a result, clean EBIT (incl. extra taxes) margin stood at29.2% compared to our estimate of 23.7%.  

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

More than a single drug company

This is a transfer of coverage as after 30 years of equity research at ConcordeSecurities, Attila Vago left the Company. In line with our previous approach, we are still eager to evaluate Richter with a sum-of-thepartsmethod. We find this very important in case of Richter, as it consists of four wellseparated segments with different prospects and profitability. These are the Women’sHealthcare (WHC), the Neuropsychiatry (CNS or central nervous system), theBiotechnology (BIO) and the General Medi...

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

Q3 results were strong despite FX headwinds and extra taxes

Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 49.4bn (-24% YoY) on net sales HUF 188.5bn (-13% YoY) for Q3/23. Clean EBIT was 8% ahead of the consensus estimate of HUF 45.8bn and our estimate, respectively, while net revenue was broadly in line with both the consensus forecast of HUF 191.3bn and our estimate. As a result, clean EBIT (incl. extra taxes) margin stood at 19.8% compared to consensus estimate of 26.2% (-350bps YoY) and was better than the consensus estimate of 23.9%. In Q3 Richter recorded HUF 9...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter’s Q2/23 clean EBIT lagged behind estimates

Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 40.3bn (-7% YoY) on net sales HUF 203.8bn (+6% YoY)for Q2/23. Clean EBIT lagged behind by 12% the consensus estimate of HUF 45.6bn (butit was ahead 4% of our estimate), while net revenue was also slightly higher thanconsensus forecast of HUF 199.6bn and our estimate. As a result, clean EBIT (incl. extrataxes) margin stood at 19.8% compared to consensus estimate of 24.3% and was almostthe same as our estimate of 19.7%.Richter recorded minor extra income of HUF 0.6...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter’s Q1/23 results beat estimates

Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 54.1bn (+44% YoY) on net sales HUF 209.7bn (+24.8%YoY) for Q1/23. Clean EBIT was ahead by 19% of the consensus estimate of HUF 45.4bn(but it was 9% better than our estimate), while net revenue was also 4% higher thanconsensus forecast of HUF 202.4bn and in line with our estimate. As a result, clean EBIT(incl. extra taxes of HUF 3.4bn) margin stood at 25.8% compared to consensus estimateof 22.3% and 22.3% YoY, respectively.Richter recorded no extra income in Q1/23...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter Gedeon - Hit By A Double Whammy Of Extra Taxes And Negative FX...

Hit by a double whammy of extra taxes and negative FX effects   Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 21.9bn (-49% YoY) on net sales HUF 2234bn (+27% YoY) for Q4/22 on our calculation. Clean EBIT lagged by 38% behind of the consensus estimate of HUF 35.4bn (but it was 14% better than our estimate), while net revenue was in line with consensus forecast of HUF 221.3bn and 7% more than our estimate. As a result, clean EBIT (incl. extraordinary taxes) margin stood at 9.8% compared to consensus estimate ...

Chemical Works Of Gedeon Richter: 1 director

A director at Chemical Works Of Gedeon Richter bought 1,000 shares at 7,990.000HUF and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the l...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter Gedeon - Record Quarterly Results – Dirt-cheap Valuation

Record quarterly results – dirt-cheap valuation   Richter posted record clean EBIT of HUF 64.8bn (+103% YoY) on net sales HUF 217.8bn (+38% YoY) for Q3/22. Clean EBIT was 22% ahead of the consensus estimate of HUF 53.2bn while net revenue also beat consensus forecast of HUF 205bn. Clean EBIT margin stood at a record level of 29.7% compared to consensus estimate of 26% and 20.3% YoY. There was a minor milestone income in the amount of HUF 0.08bn in Q3/22 received from Abbvie for the the acceptan...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter Gedeon - Cheap Valuation Vs. Strong Ability To Constantly Driv...

We raise our 12-month TP from HUF 9,900 per share to HUF 10,325, recognizing Richter’s ability to improve profitability and maintain growth, which is primarily driven by its innovative specialty products and significant FX tailwinds (ie. the weakening in HUF against the EUR, RUB and USD). Our new 12-month TP leaves a 28% upside potential from the current share price. We note that Richter may continue to pay dividend in the coming years which would imply a DIVY of ca. 4% on the basis of the cu...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 16.09.2022

 ATX indices review - FFF changes in S IMMO and Flughafen Wien, small NoS changes in IMMOFINANZ and Marinomed; Andritz to replace voestalpine in the ATX five;  CECE index review - No additions/deletions but changes in FFF and/or NoS in Colt, Moneta, Magyar Telekom, OTP, PKN, PGE  FTSE Index September review - AllWorld (ML) add: Medlife, One United Properties; AllWorld (ML) del: CD Projekt, Cyfrowy Polsat, ams-OSRAM; M->L: Moneta Money Bank, MOL, Gedeon Richter, Banca Transilvania, OMV Petrom ...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 22.08.2022

 FTSE Index September review - AllWorld (ML) add: Medlife, One United Properties; AllWorld (ML) del: CD Projekt, Cyfrowy Polsat, ams-OSRAM; M->L: Moneta Money Bank, MOL, Gedeon Richter, Banca Transilvania, OMV Petrom  DE: Encavis - Encavis acquired a solar park portfolio in the Netherlands (neutral)  RO: One United Properties - Q2 22 net profit a.m. of RON 146 mn (+56% yoy) on the back of lower expenses for inventory property (positive)  SK: Ratings - Slovakia receives another outlook downgr...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter Gedeon - Q2/22 Best Ever Net Income Fuelled By FX Gains

Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 43.3bn (+20% YoY) on net sales HUF 192.9bn (+24% YoY) for Q2/22. Clean EBIT was slightly worse than the consensus estimate of HUF 44.3bn while net revenue beat consensus forecast of HUF 186bn. Clean EBIT margin stood at 22.5% compared to consensus estimate of 23.8% and 23.2% YoY. Richter booked milestone income in the amount of HUF 8.6bn in Q2/22 received from Abbvie for the the acceptance by the FDA for review of the sNDA request related to MDD indication of car...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter Gedeon - Q2/22 Best Ever Net Income Fuelled By FX Gains

Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 43.3bn (+20% YoY) on net sales HUF 192.9bn (+24% YoY) for Q2/22. Clean EBIT was slightly worse than the consensus estimate of HUF 44.3bn while net revenue beat consensus forecast of HUF 186bn. Clean EBIT margin stood at 22.5% compared to consensus estimate of 23.8% and 23.2% YoY. Richter booked milestone income in the amount of HUF 8.6bn in Q2/22 received from Abbvie for the the acceptance by the FDA for review of the sNDA request related to MDD indication of car...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter Gedeon-Q1/22 earnings beat consensus estimates

Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 37.5 bln (+54% YoY) on net sales HUF 168.1 bln (+19% YoY) for Q1/22, exceeding consensus estimates of HUF 161.1 bln and HUF 32.8 bln, respectively, but it lagged behind our estimate of HUF 41 bln due to lower than projected Russian and other US sales than royalty revenue from Vraylar. Key positives: EU15 sales exceeded our estimate by ca.7% (+30% YoY in HUF) on the back of faster than projected Evra sales and newly introduced WHC brands. WHC sales incre...

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter Gedeon - Record FY2021 results, uncertain future

We will reduce our 12-month TP from HUF 10,900 per share to HUF9,805, mainly due to the heighted risks arising from the military conflictbetween Russia and Ukraine. The discounted value of Richter's direct exposures in Russia andUkraine (including fixed and current assets) and the expected futurecash flows from these countries together represent approximately HUF1,100 per share (15 percent of the current market capitalization), whichwe completely ignored when setting our new target price. 

Attila Vago
  • Attila Vago

Richter Gedeon - Robust earnings

o Richter posted clean EBIT of HUF 41.8 bln (+27% YoY) on net sales HUF 176.3 bln(+17% YoY) for Q4/21, exceeding both consensus and our estimates of HUF 35.6 bln,respectively. 

RICHTER GEDEON reduced its risk exposure resulting in an upgrade to Sl...

RICHTER GEDEON (DE), a company active in the Pharmaceuticals industry, reduced its market risk and raised its general evaluation. The independent financial analyst theScreener awarded an improved star rating to the company, which now shows 2 out of 4 possible stars; its market behaviour has improved and can be considered as defensive. theScreener believes that this new assessment merits an overall rating upgrade to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date February 18, 2022, the closing price w...

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