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Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?

Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?

Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Acomo: Acquires Manuzzi, expanding footprint in Southern Europe ASR: Ingrid de Swart to succeed Jos Baeten as CEO of ASR in May 2026 Fagron: Antitrust clearance for Brazilian Purifarma and Injeplast deals PostNL: Relaxation USO D+3 brought forward, pre-earnings analyst call 3Q25 Sofina: Over €0.5bn of additional firepower

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Small funeral deal, waiting for larger M&A. DEME Group: Bags another offshore wind contract. GBL: Sienna Investment Managers transaction pending. Kinepolis: Sept 2025 box office in US/Canada at 83% of pre covid levels, France at 84%

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Digi launches new mobile offer at €7 per month with 30GB D'Ieteren: Belgium Sept car registration, Febiac cuts 2025 outlook to 405-410k new cars Dutch insurance: Achmea Sixth Steet JV done, new entrant for buyouts for ASR and NN Heijmans: I'm a steamroller baby Prosus: Just Eat Takeaway offer unconditional WDP: €22m investment in Romania

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica, Cofinimmo: Update on the Belgian Competition Authority. Arcadis: Share buyback programme. ASR: Focus on rural Real Estate – Farmland Fund. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc: Disasters strike. Heineken: From green to red. Zabka: Raising medium term store opening guidance

Jason Kalamboussis
  • Jason Kalamboussis

ASR/Carrying the advantage/BUY

With the benefit of an unfolding stronger capital position, ASR is accelerating its buyouts as other players are stepping back. The recent placement of AEGON of 6% of its ASR stake bringing it down to 24% is a positive step that allows ASR to better manage its excess capital expectations. Core messages for us coming out of our ING London conference is the potential ASR has for longevity deals that will lead to further releases of capital in 2026-27, and the integration speed that already incorpo...

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