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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Guidance reiterated despite weaker-than-expected 1H25/26. Dutch Pension Buyouts: Regulator DNB's view, c.€7bn so far, insurers at 15% market share now. OCI: Dutch investor association VEB and other shareholders take legal action to block Orascom merger. Proximus: CFO Mark Reid to leave Proximus by end of January 2026. Staffing Sector: US temp volume YoY declined vs October; NFP jobs beat expectations. Var Energy: Boosting production bodes well for years to come. Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: CEO interview in local press. Ageas at ING conference in New York. ASR: Solvency gets +10 to +12% uplift, as expected but brings ASR to above 210% Sol 2 ratio. OCI: Exchange terms set for OCI/Orascom merger. Events Calendar

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

"Lockout Rally" Underway; Downgrading China We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25. After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. We will maintain our bullish intermediate...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?

Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?

Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Acomo: Acquires Manuzzi, expanding footprint in Southern Europe ASR: Ingrid de Swart to succeed Jos Baeten as CEO of ASR in May 2026 Fagron: Antitrust clearance for Brazilian Purifarma and Injeplast deals PostNL: Relaxation USO D+3 brought forward, pre-earnings analyst call 3Q25 Sofina: Over €0.5bn of additional firepower

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Small funeral deal, waiting for larger M&A. DEME Group: Bags another offshore wind contract. GBL: Sienna Investment Managers transaction pending. Kinepolis: Sept 2025 box office in US/Canada at 83% of pre covid levels, France at 84%

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