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ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Herman Caspersen
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Herman Caspersen
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Herman Caspersen
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Herman Caspersen
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
ABGSC IT Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Norway: Rebound to continue

Positive or neutral estimate revisions for most companies. Best risk/reward over Q2 in Crayon, Link, NOD. Top picks: Atea, Crayon, Link, Pexip.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

More design wins the next trigger

2024 likely to be back-end loaded. Company still expects 3-5 more design wins in 2024. Guidance implies P/E of 4.1-8.2x.

Napatech AS: 1 director

A director at Napatech AS sold 5,500,000 shares at 32.000NOK and the significance rating of the trade was 79/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

ABGSC IT Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
ABGSC IT Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

First major design win secured

First IPU design win with Tier 1 server OEM. We lift '26e EBIT by 111%. New guidance implies P/E of 3.6-7.3x.

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Strategic partnerships starting to materialise

Challenging year outweighed by record large order in ’23 Could play a role in further market consolidation Fair value range of NOK 13-18/share

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Challenging 2022, but 2023 looks promising

Sales 37% below ABGSC, down 33% y-o-y Lower guidance somewhat outweighed by large ‘23 order Cons ’22 EBITDA down 25-35%, small changes to ‘23

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Low gross margin due to timing of order

Sales 2% below and GM of 51% vs ABGSC at 70% Reiterates 2022 outlook with GM of 69-70% Expect small negative changes to 2022 consensus

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Steadily approaching large growth opportunity

Q1e sales to be slightly affected by supply chain issues Limited estimates changes Peers point to a share price range of NOK 6-17

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Q4: Lower costs than expected

Q4 beat: lower opex than expected 2022 EBITDAC guidance above ABGSC Expect slightly lower costs in ‘22’23e

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Lower estimates on supply issues & deferrals

Q4 revenues affected by indirect supply issues Napatech indicates 27-38% y-o-y growth in 2022 Peers point to a share price of NOK 5-19

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Q4 revenues affected by indirect supply issues

‘21E sales guidance -12% due to indirect supply issues Expects ‘22E revenues ~7% below ABGSCe Cons’ ’21-22E revenues to come down by ~6-11%

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Investing to capture large growth opportunity

Q3 sales below, but 2021e outlook is unchanged Higher inv. in ‘22e to target Virtualisation opportunity Peer EV/Sales points to share price of NOK 9-30

Eirik Thune Øritsland ... (+2)
  • Eirik Thune Øritsland
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard

Napatech - Q3 sales below, but upside to our Q4 estimates

Q3 sales 2% below, 7% underlying growth Reiterates 2021 guidance: ‘21e sales 5% above ABGSC Overall positive report: small positive changes to cons

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