Geopolitical risk has resurfaced, but the nearterm impact on European listed real estate remains contained. Rising energydriven inflation and rates are driving greater dispersion and sharpening the focus on balancesheet quality, while MIPIM 2026 highlighted a pragmatic investor approach. In this report, we adjust target prices and refresh our top picks, removing CTP and adding Irish Residential REIT. Geopolitics and energy: duration matters more than headlines
After a challenging first half of the year, Van de Velde returned to revenue growth in 2H25, driven by lingerie sales. Van de Velde indicated that the renewal of its assortment and the further expansion of the Direct-to-Consumer segment to strengthen brand experience are beginning to bear fruit in both the summer and winter seasons. This also translated into higher 2H26EBITDA. Recall that in 1H25 EBITDA decreased due to lower sales in Swim and the impact of US tarifs. The good 2H25 was countered...
Care Property Invest reports FY25 in line with its 3Q25 guidance. In line with previous quarters there was a negative leasing spread (-1.08%), but the EPRA cost ratio further improved to 15.6% (+110bps). The FY26 outlook of € 1.07 EPRA EPS is below our expectations (€ 1.09) and below the € 1.11 consensus estimates. The difference is driven by the Apricusa bankruptcy announced early January (- € 0.02 EPRA EPS impact), lower than expected indexation forecasts (i.e. 1.3% for BE) and rent cuts/provi...
Care Property Invest reports FY25 in line with its 3Q25 guidance. In line with previous quarters there was a negative leasing spread (-1.08%), but the EPRA cost ratio further improved to 15.6% (+110bps). The FY26 outlook of € 1.07 EPRA EPS is below our expectations (€ 1.09) and below the € 1.11 consensus estimates. The difference is driven by the Apricusa bankruptcy announced early January (- € 0.02 EPRA EPS impact), lower than expected indexation forecasts (i.e. 1.3% for BE) and rent cuts for B...
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