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Maxime Stranart ... (+3)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Ontex/1H25 postview: weak 1H25 and profit warning/HOLD

We reiterate our HOLD rating on Ontex but lower our target price from €8.2 to €7.4 following the group's profit warning in 1H25, leading to our Adj. EBITDA forecast to drop by 12% in 2025F. We continue to expect Ontex's heavy restructuring plan to remain a drag on short-term operational performance, despite an elevated capex spend over the year. At €7.4, Ontex would trade at 6.2/5.2x EV/Adj. EBITDA 2025/26F (incl. Factoring), a discount of 45-50% to branded Hygiene Products peers we deem warrant...

 PRESS RELEASE

Transparency Declaration Notification

Transparency Declaration Notification Regulatory information In accordance with the requirements of Article 14 of the Belgian Law of May 2, 2007 on the disclosure of significant shareholdings in listed companies, Ontex Group NV (“Ontex”) discloses the notifications of significant shareholding by the Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., that it has received on August 19, 20, 21 and 22, 2025.  On August 13, 2025, the Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., detained 94,311 Ontex voting rights and 2,425,641 equivalent financial instruments, representing 3.06% of voting rights combined. The combined holding thereb...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kennisgeving transparantieverklaring

Kennisgeving transparantieverklaring Gereglementeerde informatie In overeenstemming met de vereisten van artikel 14 van de Belgische wet van 2 mei 2007 over de openbaarmaking van belangrijke deelnemingen in emittenten, maakt Ontex Group NV (“Ontex”) de verklaringen van belangrijke deelnemingen door Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., bekend die op 19, 20, 21 en 22 augustus 2025 werden ontvangen.  Op 13 augustus 2025 bezat de Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., 94.311 stemrechten en 2.425.641 equivalente financiële instrumenten van Ontex, wat gecombineerd 3,06% van de stemrechten uitmaakt. De gecombineerd...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback 1H results conference call

Below are the highlights from the conference call. Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation t...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +8%, FY guidance maintained

Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumul...

 PRESS RELEASE

Transparency Declaration Notification

Transparency Declaration Notification Regulated information In accordance with the requirements of Article 14 of the Belgian Law of May 2, 2007 on the disclosure of significant shareholdings in listed companies, Ontex Group NV (“Ontex”) discloses the notifications of significant shareholdings by the Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., that it has received on August 13 and 14, 2025. On August 7, 2025, the Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., detained 2,559,642 Ontex voting rights or equivalent financial instruments, representing 3.11% of voting rights, and thereby crossed upward the threshold of 3.0%. On Au...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kennisgeving transparantieverklaring

Kennisgeving transparantieverklaring Geregelementeerde informatie In overeenstemming met de vereisten van artikel 14 van de Belgische wet van 2 mei 2007 over de openbaarmaking van belangrijke deelnemingen in emittenten, maakt Ontex Group NV (“Ontex”) de verklaringen van belangrijke deelnemingen door Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., bekend die op 13 en 14 augustus 2025 werden ontvangen. Op 7 augustus 2025 bezat Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., 2.559.642 stemrechten of equivalente financiële instrumenten van Ontex, wat 3,11% van de stemrechten voorstelt. Zij hebben daarmee de drempel van 3,0% opwaarts ...

Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Tessenderlo/Model update ahead of 1H25/BUY

We update our model to reflect recent macro and FX trends as well as Tessenderlo's 2025F guidance. We lower our target price to €30 per share from €32 previously, mainly as a result of our lower estimates. We stick to our BUY on valuation grounds.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau
AXA AXA
CEC CECONOMY AG ... (+13)

Credit Morning 08/01/2025

S&P lowers outlook to negative vs. stable on ELO's 'BB-' rating|ZF H1 25 results: Better than one could have feared… but some water into the wine|Emeria announces the sale of Assurimo|Viridien: Profitability improvement, good FCF generation, and guidance confirmed|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau
AXA AXA
CEC CECONOMY AG ... (+13)

Morning Crédit 01/08/2025

ELO : S&P abaisse la perspective de stable à négative sur le rating BB-|ZF H1 25 results: Better than one could have feared… but some water into the wine|Emeria annonce la cession d’Assurimo|Viridien: Profitability improvement, good FCF generation, and guidance confirmed|

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: 2Q25 results. Air France-KLM: Nice beat, let's see how FY25 finishes. AMG: Uptrend continues in 2Q25 with 23% EBITDA beat and guidance up to +US$200m. Aperam: Slight 2Q25 EBITDA beat, 3Q25 seen down QoQ. Arcadis: EBITA margin held up well in 2Q25, order intake mixed. Ayvens: 2Q25 results. Azelis: Soft but largely in-line 2Q25 with EMEA offsetting weaker APAC. Bekaert: 1H25 miss and lowered outlook to result in c.5% consensus downside. Corbion: Taking it to the wire. dsm...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, F...

: ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, UCB BB, AZE BB, SYENS BB

 PRESS RELEASE

Ontex bevestigt resultaten 1ste jaarhelft met omzet- en margedaling in...

Ontex bevestigt resultaten 1ste jaarhelft met omzet- en margedaling in een zwakker dan verwachte markt, terwijl er verder geïnvesteerd wordt en belangrijke mijlpalen werden gehaald Gereglementeerde informatie Omzetdaling met 4% in 1ste halfjaar, voornamelijk veroorzaakt door een zwakke vraag naar babyverzorging in Europa;Aangepaste EBITDA-marge daalt met 2,2pp in 1ste halfjaar, als gevolg van een mindere absorptie van vaste kosten veroorzaakt door de lagere volumes, en als gevolg van stijgende kosten;Omzetdaling met lage enkelvoudige cijfers voorzien voor het volledige jaar 2025 en een aan...

 PRESS RELEASE

Ontex confirms H1 results with revenue and margin decrease in a weaker...

Ontex confirms H1 results with revenue and margin decrease in a weaker-than-expected market, while investing significantly and reaching key transformation milestones Regulated information Revenue drop by 4% in H1, caused mainly by weak baby care demand in Europe;Adj. EBITDA margin down by 2.2pp in H1, due to lower fixed cost absorption caused by lower volumes, and a rising cost environment;Expecting low single digit revenue contraction for full year 2025 and adj. EBITDA in €200-210 million range. CEO quote Gustavo Calvo Paz, Ontex’s CEO, said: “The weak first half of the year, while disa...

 PRESS RELEASE

Transparency Declaration Notification

Transparency Declaration Notification Regulated information In accordance with the requirements of Article 14 of the Belgian Law of May 2, 2007 on the disclosure of significant shareholdings in listed companies, Ontex Group NV (“Ontex”) discloses the notification of significant shareholdings that it has received on July 3, 2025. On July 22, 2025, Brandes investment partners, L.P., detained 6,182,739 Ontex voting securities or voting rights, representing 7.51% of voting securities, and thereby crossed upward the threshold of 7.5%. Notification details Reason for the notification: Acquisi...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kennisgeving transparantieverklaring

Kennisgeving transparantieverklaring Gereglementeerde informatie In overeenstemming met de vereisten van artikel 14 van de Belgische wet van 2 mei 2007 over de openbaarmaking van belangrijke deelnemingen in emittenten, maakt Ontex Group NV (“Ontex”) de verklaring van belangrijke deelnemingen bekend die op 3 juli 2025 werd ontvangen. Op 22 juli 2025 bezat BPCE SA, Brandes investment partners, L.P., 6.182.739 stemrechtverlenende effecten of stemrechten van Ontex, wat 7,51% van de stemverlenende effecten voorstelt. Zij hebben daarmee de drempel van 7,5% opwaarts overschreden. Kennisgevingsd...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/28/2025

15% tariffs on EU: exposure of the high-yield names in the luxury goods, retail and consumer sectors|Forvia: solid operating results in H1 and further savings to come|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 28/07/2025

Droits de douane à 15% sur l’Europe : valeurs high yield du secteur luxe/retail/consumer exposées|Forvia : un résultat opérationnel solide au S1 et davantage d’économies à venir|

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