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Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Logista : Q2 earnings beat our estimates. FY 2024 guidance reiterated

>Q2 2024 economic sales +1% y-o-y, in line with our forecast - Economic sales in Q2 (January-March 2024) were up 1% y-o-y to € 441m. This evolution is exclusively organic as the scope effect from recent acquisitions is now over and is broadly aligned with our estimate (-1pp) and the consensus (+1pp). Economic sales were solid in Iberia (+3% y-o-y) helped by a strong tobacco (+11% y-o-y), pharma (+8% y-o-y) and others contribution (+8%) that offset the soft transport ...

Juan Ros-Padilla ... (+2)
  • Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 06/02/2024

Nous faisons rentrer aujourd’hui CRH dans notre liste de valeurs recommandées Large Caps. Elle est exposée à l’économie américaine qui va continuer ,selon nous, de se montrer plus dynamique que l’économie européenne, comme en ont attesté les très bons chiffres de création d’emploi vendredi dernier. Elle réalise 75% de son EBITDA dans les 10 Etats américains à plus forte croissance et dispose en outre de catalyseurs techniques positifs comme sa future entrée dans les indices S&P TMI et...

Juan Ros-Padilla ... (+2)
  • Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 02/06/2024

Today we are adding CRH to the ODDO BHF European Large Caps Convictions List. It is exposed to the US economy, which we believe will continue to outperform the European economy, as borne out by the very robust job creation figures released last Friday. CRH generates 75% of its EBITDA in the 10 fastest-growing US states, and also has positive technical catalysts such as its future inclusion in the S&P TMI and Russell 1000 indices. - ...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Logista : Q1 earnings beat. FY24 outlook maintained

>Q1 2024 economic sales +7% y-o-y, a touch above forecasts - Economic sales in Q1 (October-December 2023) were up 7% y-o-y to € 426m. This evolution is exclusively organic as the scope effect from recent acquisitions is now over, and is somewhat above our estimate (3pp) and the consensus (2pp). Economic sales were very strong in Iberia (+5% y-o-y) helped by a strong transport (+12% y-o-y) and others contribution (+27%) that offset the apparently soft tobacco evolution...

Compania De Distribucion Integral Logista: 1 director

A director at Compania De Distribucion Integral Logista bought 6,000 shares at 26.500EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 66/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over...

Emira Sagaama ... (+3)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 01/24/2024

The ESG themes addressed during this year’s forum centred around the 3 “T”s: Transparency, with the implementation of the CSRD; Talent, a theme where the issues of attraction and retention are as relevant as ever; and Transition, with some companies in the process of adapting their business models to embrace sustainability-related topics. Our favorite ESG profiles are those of GEA Group, Intertek, Carbios, SPIE, Elis, UCB and, to a certain extent, Bekaert. - ...

Emira Sagaama ... (+3)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 24/01/2024

Cette année, les thématiques ESG abordées lors du Forum se dessinent autour des 3 « T » : Transparence, avec la mise en œuvre de la CSRD, Talents : les enjeux d’attraction et de rétention restent prégnants ; Transition : un virage des modèles d’activité vers des thématiques de durabilité est engagé pour certains acteurs. Côté valeurs, nous apprécions le profil ESG de GEA Group, Intertek, Carbios, SPIE, Elis, UCB et dans une certaine mesure, Bekaert. - ...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Logista : Q1 24 preview. We expect underlying EBIT in line with the gu...

>Q1 preview : EBIT growing at a mid-digit pace excluding POI/LOIs - Logista is due to publish its Q1 2024 results on 5 February. We expect sales to increase by 4% to € 415m. However, we estimate slower reported EBIT growth (+2%) explained by the absence in this quarter of non-recurrent profit-on-inventory (vs +€ 2m in Q1 2023). Once adjusted by last year’s POIs, we expect the underlying EBIT to slightly outgrow the reported sales figure (+5% y-o-y). Finally at the rep...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Logista : Q4 earnings in line. FY 2024 guidance as expected

>Q4 2023 economic sales +31% y-o-y, a touch above forecasts - Economic sales in Q4 (July-September 2023) were up +31% y-o-y to € 424m, positively impacted by the scope effect from Speedlink, Mosca and Carbó (we estimate they added 22pp though the company discontinued reporting organic growth), somewhat above our estimate (4pp) and the consensus (5pp). Economic sales were very strong in Iberia (+51% y-o-y vs +57% in Q3 and +72% in Q2) due to the positive contribution ...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/10/2023

Après un exercice 2023 bien meilleur qu’anticipé initialement sur le plan de la production automobile (+6% vs +2%), les catalyseurs nous semblent plus limités pour les équipementiers, à l’approche de 2024. L’environnement ne devrait pas être particulièrement porteur (nous abaissons nos estimations EBIT de 8% en moyenne) et les enjeux structurels pourraient peser durablement. Face à cela, nous préférons les constructeurs et resserrons davantage notre hiérarchie au sein des équipementie...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/11/2023

After a much better year than initially expected in 2023 in terms of light vehicle production (+6% vs +2%), we see less catalysts for suppliers as we head towards 2024. The environment is not likely to be particularly supportive (we reduce our EBIT estimates by an average of 8%) and structural challenges could prove a lasting drag for them. Given this, we prefer OEMs and further narrow our hierarchy among suppliers: we downgrade Forvia to Neutral after its good run YTD and now basical...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Logista : Q4 2023 earnings preview. We expect the company to achieve i...

>Q4 2023 earnings preview - Logista is due to publish its Q4 FY 2023 results on 8 November (year to end-September). We expect sales to increase by 25% to € 406m helped by a scope effect coming from the new transport businesses. However, we estimate slower EBIT growth (+6%) explained by the somewhat lower margin contribution from the transport business. We expect underlying EBIT to be c.€ 2m lower than the reported figure as the former will be positively impacted by pr...

Juan Ros-Padilla
  • Juan Ros-Padilla

Logista : Q3 results in line, FY 2023 guidance nuanced slightly upward...

>Q3 2023 economic sales +36% y-o-y, a touch above - Economic sales in Q3 (Apr-Jun 2023) were up +36% y-o-y to € 427m positively impacted by the scope effect of Speedlink, Mosca and Carbó (we estimate they added 22pp yet the company discontinued reporting the organic growth), slightly above our estimates (2pp) and consensus (2pp). Economic sales were very strong in Iberia (+57% y-o-y vs +72% in Q2 and +53% in Q1 2023) namely due to the positive contribution from new ac...

Emira Sagaama ... (+2)
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Juan Ros-Padilla
HCO HIGHCO SA
PGS PGS ASA ... (+11)

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 07/20/2023 Date Performance sin...

We believe TKWY is holding its fair market share in Europe, while losing some outside Europe. In addition we believe only TKWY and ROO are making sufficient progress to generate real profits. This in combination with increasing regulatory pressure will accelerate further rationalisation in Food Delivery. We expect TKWY to be the clear winner in Europe. Meanwhile we did a deep dive on online groceries. We believe this can be a nice add on to increase merchant supply, increase order fre...

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