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Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Fortum : Une bonne publication mais peu de perspectives

>Un résultat supérieur aux attentes - L'EBITDA comparable s'est élevé à 622 M€ (-20 %YoY), au-dessus de nos attentes de 525 M€ et du consensus Vara de 549 M€. L’EBIT comparable s'élève à 530 M€ (-24%) au-dessus de notre prévision et du consensus à 452 M€. Le résultat net a également été meilleur qu'attendu à 430 M€ (-11%) contre 350 M€ attendus (ODDO BHF et consensus). Par division la surprise vient de l’activité génération électrique avec un EBIT de 513 M€ (-29%) con...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Fortum : A good publication but limited prospects

>Earnings top estimates - Comparable EBITDA totalled € 622m in Q1 2024 (-20% y-o-y), above our expectations of € 525m and the Vara consensus estimate of € 549m. Comparable EBIT was € 530m (-24%), above our forecast and the consensus of € 452m. Net profit was also better than expected, at € 430m (-11%) against an expected € 350m (ODDO BHF and the consensus). By division, the surprise came from the electricity generation business, which performed better than expected, ...

 PRESS RELEASE

City of Oceanside and ENGIE Announce a 30-year Comprehensive Energy P...

City of Oceanside and ENGIE Announce a 30-year Comprehensive Energy Project Oceanside, California and Houston, May 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The City of Oceanside, in collaboration with ENGIE North America (ENGIE), announced plans for a transformative energy initiative aimed at enhancing sustainability, reducing costs and fostering community engagement. This comprehensive 30-year initiative is projected to generate more than $26,000,000 in net savings for the City. It includes significant energy efficiency gains through a series of strategic measures, including: integrating 1.6 mega...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Fortum : Good result but significant degradation in hedged position

>Good performance in the Q1 2024… - For the Q1 2024 Comparable EBITDA was € 622m (-20% y-o-y), above our assumptions at € 525m and Vara consensus estimate of € 549m. Comparable operating profit totalled € 530m (-24%) above our forecast and consensus at € 452m. Net income was also better than expected at € 430m (-11%) vs € 350m expected (ODDO BHF and consensus). In spite of lower prices, the drop in earnings was more limited than anticipated in the generation business ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Fortum : Good result but significant degradation in hedged position

>Good performance in the Q1 2024… - For the Q1 2024 Comparable EBITDA was € 622m (-20% y-o-y), above our assumptions at € 525m and Vara consensus estimate of € 549m. Comparable operating profit totalled € 530m (-24%) above our forecast and consensus at € 452m. Net income was also better than expected at € 430m (-11%) vs € 350m expected (ODDO BHF and consensus). In spite of lower prices, the drop in earnings was more limited than anticipated in the generation business ...

 PRESS RELEASE

ENGIE sees continued strong growth in renewables in the U.S.

ENGIE sees continued strong growth in renewables in the U.S. ENGIE ranks #1 globally as corporate clean power seller during record year in industry. HOUSTON, April 22, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- , a leader in the Net Zero energy transition, envisions continued strong customer demand for its renewables solutions in the U.S. and aims to grow its number of integrated projects substantially. ENGIE was recently named the top corporate seller of clean power purchase agreements (PPAs) globally in what was a record year for PPAs, according to BloombergNEF’s (BNEF) 2023 full year rankings. Accor...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: mixed market performances in March

EME Equity Market – March 2024 Market performance – mixed performances in March, with the Romanian BET outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 0.4% mom in USD in March. The Romanian BET reported the strongest performance, adding 7.1% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Czech PX and the Polish WIG20 (+4.1% and 1.0% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). Greece saw a relatively muted performance (-0.2% mom in EUR terms), while Hungary (-1.1% mom in EUR terms) and Tür...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ONE CTP NV
GPP ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
AROBS GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
4071 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
H2O ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIR ASTANA JSC
Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/20/2024

We are upgrading the energy sector to Overweight vs Neutral (excluding Oil Services, already on Overweight). The recent rebound in oil prices is set to continue, driven by short, medium and long-term factors: value, cyclical, little debt and good shareholder returns. Technical analysis reveals a strong trend that is only just beginning. GALP enters our Large Caps list; CellNex exits it. - ...

Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 20/03/2024

Nous upgradons le secteur énergie à Surpondérer vs Neutre (hors Oil Services déjà à Surpondérer). Le rebond récent des prix du pétrole va se poursuivre, soutenu par des facteurs à court, moyen et long terme. Le secteur dispose en outre de 4 atouts dans la configuration de marché actuelle : value, cyclique, peu endetté et bon retour à l’actionnaire. L’analyse technique révèle une tendance forte qui ne fait que commencer. GALP fait son entrée dans notre liste Large Caps ; CellNex en so...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Engie : A growing consistency

>Corporate PPA, visibility, renewables, three recurring themes - We organised a road show over several days on the east coast of the US with Engie’s management and investor relations teams. Of course many topics were discussed but three themes largely recurred in conversations. These covered the advantages stemming from the development of corporate PPA, the improvement in visibility on the outlook and opportunities in the renewables sector. One theme came up again and...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Engie : Une cohérence qui s’affirme

>Corporate PPA, visibilité, renouvelable, 3 thèmes récurrents - Nous avons organisé sur plusieurs jours un roadshow côte Est américaine avec le management et les équipes de relation investisseurs d’Engie. De nombreux sujets ont bien sûr été discutés mais de manière générale trois thèmes sont revenus de manière récurrente dans les échanges. Il s’agit des atouts que procurent le développement des corporate PPA, de l’amélioration de la visibilité sur les perspectives et ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Good result for 2023. Hedge taken in 2024-2025 in line with ...

>Good performance in 2023 slightly above our forecast - Verbund achieve a strong business performance in 2023. A shade above our forecast with an EBITDA increase of 42% to € 4,491m vs € 4,361m expected. The reported group result rose by 32% to € 2,266.1m and the group result after adjustment for non-recurring effects was up 49.1% to € 2,616m vs € 2,412m expected. The hydro coefficient was 2 points below the long-term average, but 12 points above FY 2022. Hence, hydro ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Good result for 2023. Hedge taken in 2024-2025 in line with ...

>Good performance in 2023 slightly above our forecast - Verbund achieve a strong business performance in 2023. A shade above our forecast with an EBITDA increase of 42% to € 4,491m vs € 4,361m expected. The reported group result rose by 32% to € 2,266.1m and the group result after adjustment for non-recurring effects was up 49.1% to € 2,616m vs € 2,412m expected. The hydro coefficient was 2 points below the long-term average, but 12 points above FY 2022. Hence, hydro ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; GE Macro; CEZ CP; ALE PW; VER AV; CCOLA TI; OPAP...

HEADLINES: • Aselsan: quo vadis? New contracts, new products and upcoming transition to inflation accounting POSITIVE • Georgia macro: NBG cuts policy rate by 75bps • CEZ: press reports CEZ has won tender for 55% of GasNet, could weigh on the 2023 dividend payout NEGATIVE • Allegro: 4Q23 results above expectations; guidance for a strong 1Q24E POSITIVE • Verbund: 4Q23 results in line with guidance NEUTRAL • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q23 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • OPAP: 4Q23 results and FY...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: VERBUND AG: Jahresergebnis 2023: VERBUND mit starker Geschäf...

EQS-News: VERBUND AG / Schlagwort(e): Jahresergebnis VERBUND AG: Jahresergebnis 2023: VERBUND mit starker Geschäftsentwicklung im Jahr 2023 14.03.2024 / 07:58 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Die strategische und wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des VERBUND-Konzerns im Jahr 2023 war in einem sehr komplexen Umfeld wesentlich von geopolitischen Ereignissen, makro- und mikroökonomischen Faktoren, sektorspezifischen Entwicklungen und regulatorisch/politischen Entscheidungen geprägt. Insgesamt blicken wir auf ein sehr erfolgreich...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: VERBUND AG: 2023 annual results: VERBUND posts encouraging b...

EQS-News: VERBUND AG / Key word(s): Annual Results VERBUND AG: 2023 annual results: VERBUND posts encouraging business performance in 2023 14.03.2024 / 07:58 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. The VERBUND Group’s strategic and economic development in 2023 took place in a highly complex environment that was impacted in no small measure by geopolitical turmoil and macro- and microeconomic factors, along with sector-specific developments and regulatory/political decisions. Overall, 2023 was a very successful year for our Group, an...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: February mostly green, despite det...

EME Equity Market – February 2024 Market performance – a positive February, with the Polish WIG20 outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 4.2% mom in EUR terms and 3.7% mom in USD in February. The Polish WIG20 saw the strongest performance, adding 6.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE (+4.2% mom), the Turkish ISE30 (+4.0% mom) and the Romanian BET (+2.6% mom) (all in EUR terms). There was a relatively muted performance in Hungary (+0.6% mom in EUR terms) and a decline in the Cze...

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
ONE KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
ELPE ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
SHO HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 SHOPER SA
BOROUGE ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
H2O BOROUGE
AQ HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
AQUILA PART PROD COM
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