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ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Lars Trongaard Brattli
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Lars Trongaard Brattli
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Lars Trongaard Brattli
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Semiconductors and Technology Leading the Way We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 5700-5785 (up from 5500). We continue to be buyers in the 5700-5785 range if it gets there, and we would also be buyers at 5804-5854 gap support. We are expecting all-time highs soon on the SPX. Technolo...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Stian Wibstad
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Equinor reported Q1 results in line with expectations. However, we continue to see valuation downside due to Empire Wind risks and a likely sharp YOY drop in 2026e buybacks. OKEA also reported in-line Q1 results. In other news, Equinor announced it agreed to sell its 60% Peregrino stake at a solid price, although we believe the proceeds would have to support near-term shareholder returns to drive a positive share price reaction.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Vår Energi reported Q1 results very much in line with expectations. The company also reaffirmed its 2025 guidance and maintained its dividend. Also, OKEA reported a solid Q1, with production and prices slightly above our estimates. While a technical goodwill impairment reduces its dividend basket for 2025, we view this as non-material, as we do not expect any dividends before 2027. Meanwhile, we are 5% below consensus on Q1e EBIT ahead of Equinor’s Q1 results on 30 April (07:00 CET), ...

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