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Anish Jog ... (+6)
  • Anish Jog
  • Daniel Ives
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Scott Devitt
  • Steven Wahrhaftig

M&A Set to Accelerate In Tech As AI Revolution Takes Hold; Top Tech Ta...

Figure 1: What Will the M&A Landscape Look Like Over the Next Decade?Source: Wedbush Securities, Inc.Funding Remains Strong Across Private AI Markets. With the AI Revolution hitting its next gear of growth, more AI companies across the public and private markets are starting to gain significant

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Now Arriving: September '25 Online Travel Trends

Key Findings:US hotel RevPAR growth averaged -1% Y/Y QTD through August, decelerating ~60bps from 2Q. RevPAR growth has been slightly negative the last three months after flat growth in May and April. Through the first two weeks of September, US hotel RevPAR has continued to stabilize.International

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Counting Clicks: August '25 Traffic Trends

Report Overview: Our analysis includes total web visits (desktop and mobile) to U.S. and international web domains, mobile app monthly active users (MAUs), daily active users (DAUs), and total time spent (where applicable). Throughout the report, we display Y/Y changes across each of these key metr

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The NSR AI datacenter economics cheat sheet

As we spend our days and many of our nights helping you understand what is going on in the world of AI infrastructure, we refine continuously our understanding of the cost of AI, combining our understanding of the economics of every step of the supply chain. We crystalized that in a digestible format today. Everything you need to know about a 1GW datacenter on a single slide.

Moody's Ratings assigns a Baa2 rating to Oracle's proposed senior unse...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa2 rating to Oracle Corporation's ("Oracle") proposed senior unsecured notes offering. Oracle's existing Baa2 senior unsecured and Prime-2 Commercial Paper ratings and negative outlook are unchanged. We expect the net proceeds to be used for general corporate pur...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle: What will life after giant RPOs look like?

Oracle entered a 4.5GW, $300bn, 5-year contract with OpenAI, starting 2027. In our note yesterday, we showed what we know of the deal suggests balanced and straightforward economics, over the life of the contract. Today we extend the analysis: GPUs aren’t scrapped after 5 years, and Oracle may in reality, after these contracts, boost profitability, monetizing fully depreciated assets, much like TSMC at the lagging edge.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle & OpenAI: All the economics of the $300bn deal, on a single sli...

Over the weekend we worked through the numbers to estimate the economics of Oracle’s $300bn contract with OpenAI. We have strong visibility on costs, supported by our long-standing work on AI datacenter economics, refined with players in every part of the supply chain, and on the ramp trajectory, informed by RPO maturity and OpenAI’s business plan. This allows us to estimate gross margins, FCF and IRR with a high degree of confidence.

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Takeaways from Skift Global Forum 2025

"Building Airbnb's Next Chapter":Brian Chesky, Co-Founder and CEO at AirbnbAirbnb CEO and Co-Founder Brian Chesky addressed Airbnb's lower-than-industry growth rate and shared his plan to reinvigorate growth to the teens-to-twenty percent range. The plan is centered around leveraging AI across the

Moody's Ratings says Oracle's $300 billion in contracts highlights ext...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) commented that Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) disclosed $300 billion of recently signed AI contracts do not affect the company's Baa2 rating or negative outlook. The contract size is staggering — highlighting the tremendous potential for Oracle's AI Infrastructure business. ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle RPOs: Who will buy all this compute? How big does than make Ora...

Oracle shocked the market this week with RPOs expanding 4x sequentially to nearly half a trillion dollars, calling for more to come and guiding Cloud revenues to 2029, growing 68% p.a. Click the link below for our full and final view.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Could Oracle capture all OpenAI’s compute by 2027? Implications for Mi...

Oracle’s RPO jumped by $320bn QoQ, which the WSJ tied to a 4.5GW, $300bn, 5-year contract with OpenAI starting in 2027. In the note below, we show how this compares with leaked projections of OpenAI’s compute needs.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle RPOs: Beginning of the bubble... or beginning of the AI era?

Dear all, After we spent the day trying to figure out where AI compute would sit over the next 10 years, Oracle blessed us with a powerful datapoint: Half a trillion dollar RPOs. We pulled out a note overnight digging into what we learnt last night and confronting it to our deep understanding of the current AI infrastructure landscape. Very interesting findings emerged, follow the link below for details.

Matthew Weiss ... (+2)
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Now Arriving: August '25 Online Travel Trends

Key Findings:US hotel RevPAR growth averaged -1.4% Y/Y in July, decelerating ~100bps from 2Q. RevPAR growth has been slightly negative the last two months after flat growth in May and April. Through the first three weeks of August, US hotel RevPAR growth has stabilized, averaging -1% Y/Y.Internatio

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