Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Greater China Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit ...
FR is expected to report flat qoq 4Q25 earnings, driven by higher output and sales tonnage albeit offset by lower ASPs. For 2026, we forecast earnings to contract slightly by xx% yoy based on our latest CPO price assumption of RM4,250/tonne for the year and after incorporating Indonesia’s latest round of palm oil export levy hike of 2.5%. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$2.53.
Greater China Sector Update | IT Hardware We see an acceleration in China’s AI development progress in 2026, with NVIDIA successfully obtaining the US government’s approval on H200 sales to China, which will provide a major boost to the Chinese the AI application users. We also believe that the shipment volume of domestic AI chips will receive minimal impact, with foreign chips acting as a “demand gap filler” while the establishment of a capable local supply chain remains the highest priorit...
We remain bullish on the Singapore market in 2026 given positive earnings growth prospects as well as funds flow momentum. We forecast a 2026 year-end target of 5,000 for the STI, implying an 8% upside from current levels. Key stock picks are CLAR, CLI, CIT, DFI, FR, GENS, KEP, OCBC, SE, ASL, CAREIT, CSE, FEH and VALUE.
Highlights • We remain bullish on the Singapore market in 2026 given positive earnings growth prospects as well as funds flow momentum. • We forecast a 2026 year-end target of 5,000 for the STI, implying an 8% upside from current levels. • Key stock picks are CLAR, CLI, CIT, DFI, FR, GENS, KEP, OCBC, SE, ASL, CAREIT, CSE, FEH and VALUE.
Top Stories Company Results | First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$2.05/Target: S$2.30) FR reported 9M25 earnings of US$240m which came in above both our and market expectations. Production is on track to hit management’s growth forecast of 20-25% in 2025, boosted by the fresh acquisition of ANJ’s assets, whereas 4Q25 is expected to be the peak production quarter this year. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$2.30 (from S$1.97), based on 10x 2026F PE. Company Results | SATS (SATS SP/BUY/S$3.4...
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity Industrial production growth slowed sharply to 4.9% yoy in Oct 25 (-1.6ppt mom). FAI also stayed weak, falling 1.7% yoy ytd (-1.2ppt mom), dragged by property FAI which dropped 14.5% yoy ytd. Retail sales growth edged lower to 2.9% yoy (-0.1ppt yoy). On a positive note, unemployment improved to 5.1%. Overall, the data points to a weakening growth momentum. Indonesia Company Results | XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,720/Target: Rp3,10...
FR reported 9M25 earnings of US$240m which came in above both our and market expectations. Production is on track to hit management’s growth forecast of 20-25% in 2025, boosted by the fresh acquisition of ANJ’s assets, whereas 4Q25 is expected to be the peak production quarter this year. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$2.30 (from S$1.97), based on 10x 2026F PE.
A director at Coeur Mining Inc sold 22,001 shares at 15.050USD and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) placed Coeur Mining, Inc.'s ("Coeur") ratings on review for upgrade, including its B2 corporate family rating ("CFR"), its B2-PD probability of default rating ("PDR"), and the B3 rating on its senior unsecured notes. Previously, the outlook was stable. The rating action f...
Top Stories Company Update | First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$1.70/Target: S$1.97) FR’s firm earnings momentum is set to carry on into 2H25, with strong output growth led by both its pre-existing and newly-acquired plantations. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$1.97 (from S$1.85), based on 8.5x 2026F PE. Its dividend yield remains appealing at an implied 6.8% for 2025. Company Update | Keppel (KEP SP/BUY/S$9.01/Target: S$10.85) Strong 3Q with its portfolio streamlined, execution risk re...
Greater China Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite marg...
FR’s firm earnings momentum is set to carry on into 2H25, with strong output growth led by both its pre-existing and newlyacquired plantations. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$1.97 (from S$1.85), based on 8.5x 2026F PE. Its dividend yield remains appealing at an implied 6.8% for 2025.
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
FR reported a 1Q25 net profit of US$149m (+44% yoy) which exceeded expectations at 61% of both our and consensus full-year forecasts. The positive variance was driven by both its upstream and downstream segments, with the latter’s EBITDA contribution surging nearly fourfold yoy amid higher biodiesel blending volume. Integration of its newly-acquired landbank is on track and is guided to be completed by end-25. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$1.85.
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