GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Healthcare: The rising robotic surgical system market in China. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$128.90/Target: HK$165.00): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers better-than-expected double-digit growth. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$19.58/Target: HK$31.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat on forex gain and associate profit. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$31...
FR reported 1Q25 net profit of US$63m (+75% yoy) which met our and consensus expectations at 24%/26% of respective forecasts. The sharp yoy rise in earnings was driven particularly by stronger upstream contributions while downstream profitability also improved. Despite our lower revised CPO price assumption for 2025, this would be partly offset by earnings accretion from its newly-acquired landbank in PT Austindo Nusantara Jaya (PT ANJ). Maintain BUY with revised target price of S$1.65.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) today affirmed First Industrial, L.P.'s ('First Industrial' or the 'REIT') Baa2 senior unsecured rating and its Baa2 backed senior unsecured rating. The rating outlook is stable. The affirmation reflects the REIT's strong portfolio quality and diversified asset mix, which...
Expecting SPX Rally to Fizzle at 5490-5500 or 5785 Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass) we were expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity. However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in our 4/1/25 Compass how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious, citing several concerning developments which led us to believe a break below 5500 and the potential for a prolonged downturn was likely. A historic selloff ensued. ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Preview of property policies from two sessions; improvement in sentiment for Hong Kong's primary market. Sector Internet: Potential implications from implementation of social security insurances. Update Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$5.22/Target: HK$7.71): Takeaways from luncheon: On the way to becoming a connectivity hub. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp390/Target: Rp480): Key brand might gradually mitigate regula...
FR reported FY24 core net profit of US$229m (+56% yoy) which met our expectations but exceeded the street’s, at 104%/113% of respective full-year forecasts. 4Q24 earnings rose 33% qoq, driven by higher ASPs, while production continued to grow on a yoy basis. Management anticipates continued nucleus FFB growth of 5% yoy in 2025. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$1.75.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Adding RSTON, UMSH, SIE, CICT And Removing CVL, VMS, LREIT Our Alpha Picks portfolio underperformed the STI in Feb 25, falling 3.6% mom on a market cap-weighted basis. Adding RSTON, UMSH, SIE and CICT; removing CVL, VMS and LREIT. Sector REITs S-REITs monthly update (Feb 25). Results First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$1.59/Target: S$1.75) FY24: Results in line with our expectations but exceeded the street’s, with full-year nucleus FFB growth of 6.4% ex...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) upgraded Coeur Mining, Inc.'s ("Coeur") corporate family rating ("CFR") to B2 from B3, its probability of default rating ("PDR") to B2-PD from B3-PD, and the rating on its senior unsecured notes to B3 from Caa1. The company's speculative grade liquidity rating ("SGL") was u...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
During the UOB Kay Hian Palm Oil Seminar 2025 held yesterday, our speakers forecast palm oil production in Malaysia to remain stagnant in 2025 but expect Indonesia’s output to rise. Our speakers also flagged falling palm oil exports demand amid widened price premiums vs rival vegoils, and foresee inventories building up followed by price corrections later this year. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on Indonesia and Singapore planters, and MARKET WEIGHT on Malaysian planters. Top picks: Hap Seng Plantations a...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Regional Plantation: Guest speakers at our Palm Oil Seminar 2025 flag diverging palm production prospects between Malaysia and Indonesia, alongside downside risks to CPO prices. Results Aztech Global (AZTECH SP/HOLD/S$0.725/Target:S$0.650): 2024: Results slightly below expectations; outlook remains uncertain. PropNex (PROP SP/BUY/S$1.14/Target: S$1.30): 2024: Earnings missed due to timing of revenue recognition; strong 1H25 as a result. Maintain BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Azte...
REGIONAL Sector Plantation Guest speakers at our Palm Oil Seminar 2025 flag diverging palm production prospects between Malaysia and Indonesia, alongside downside risks to CPO prices. GREATER CHINA Results Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$462.00/Target: HK$630.00) 4Q24: Earnings beat; continuous efforts in international expansion. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ...
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