La surperformance des Small&Midcaps au S1 reste marquée par un contexte de i/ momentum sans dynamique haussière (sauf peut-être en Italie ou en Espagne), alors que les devises impacteront T2&T3, ii/ géopolitique instable, iii/ fébrilité : les 2 plus grandes puissances économiques (Chine et USA) sont en phase de pivot et/ou présentent certaines fragilités, iv/ valorisations toujours attractives (décote de 30% par rapport aux large caps, et multiples sous leurs niveaux historiques). Nous sommes ra...
The outperformance of small and mid caps in H1 was marked by i/ the absence of upward revision momentum (except perhaps in Italy and Spain), while forex effects are set to dent Q2 and Q3, ii/ geopolitical turmoil, iii/ a jittery market: the two biggest economic powers (China and the US) are in a period of transition and/or showing signs of weakness, iv/ attractive valuations (30% discount to large caps and multiples below historical levels). We are reasonably optimistic about small and mid caps ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, OHLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS. Pendientes de la negociación comercial A la espera de las negociaciones comerciales (EE.UU. parece estar priorizando eliminar barreras legales contra las grandes empresas tecnológicos estadounidenses) las bolsas europeas terminaron con comportamiento mixto (-0,8% el DAX vs Ibex plano y +0,3% el FTSE 100). En cuanto al STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y Retail frente a las mayores caídas que correspo...
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, OHLA. Trade talks in the spotlight With all eyes on trade talks (the US seems to be prioritising the elimination of legal barriers against large US tech companies), European stock markets were mixed (DAX -0.8%, IBEX flat and FTSE 100 +0.3%). In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Retail, with Industrials and Banks posting the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, June’s final manufacturing PMI was raised +0.1%, with Spain ris...
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, REDEIA. Lower trade and geopolitical risks It was a week of gains on European stock markets, underpinned by the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and the expectations of a trade agreement with the US. Thus, in the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors on the week were Construction and Travel & Leisure, whereas Food and Energy ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone June’s economic confidence index worsened unexpectedly. In Spain, June’s prelim...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, REDEIA. EUROPA: KERING Menores riesgos comerciales y geopolíticosSemana de ganancias en los índices europeos, apoyados por el alto al fuego entre Israel e Irán y las expectativas de acuerdo comercial con EE.UU. Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores de la semana fueron Construcción y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Alimentación y Energía terminaron con las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona el índice de confianza económica de ju...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IBERDROLA, OHLA, REDEIA, REPSOL. El mercado de divisas, nuevo foco de atención Jornada mixta en las bolsas europeas, que cotizaron divididas con la vista puesta en el dólar y el nuevo retroceso que sufrió ayer, cayendo a mínimos de 2022. En el STOXX 600 R. Básicos e Industriales fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a las mayores caídas de Hogar y B. de Consumo (sectores con bastante exposición a dólar). Por el lado macro, en EE.UU. el PIB 1...
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, OHLA, REDEIA, REPSOL. Spotlight now on the currency market It was a mixed session on European stock markets, which were a mixed bag with all eyes on the dollar and the drop it suffered yesterday, falling to a low since 2022. In the STOXX 600, Basic Materials and Industrials were the sectors rising the most, with Household Goods and Consumer Goods falling the most (sectors highly exposed to the USD). On the macro side, in the US the 1Q’25 GDP was lowered in its third rea...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA/ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AMPER, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. Stock markets looking to return to 2025 highs The ceasefire between Iran and Israel continued to fuel stock markets at both sides of the Atlantic, with the Ibex returning to 14,000 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600, all sectors except Energy (due to the drop in oil prices) saw gains, led by Travel&Leisure and Construction. On the macro side, in Germany the IFO index climbed slightly more than expected for the sixth consecutive ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AMPER, IBERDROLA, NEINOR HOMES. Las bolsas con ganas de volver a los máximos del año El alto el fuego entre Irán e Israel siguió impulsando las bolsas a ambos lados del Atlántico, con el Ibex recuperando los 14.000 puntos. En el STOXX 600 todos los sectores menos Energía (por la caída del precio del petróleo) subieron, liderados por Viajes&Ocio y Construcción. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el IFO repuntó ligeramente más d...
NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS. Stock markets welcome the possible truce between Iran and Israel, as opposed to crude oil The strikes on Iran nuclear sites had a limited impact on European stock markets, which ended with drops below -0.5%. US indices saw greater gains and crude oil fell sharply after Iran’s failed missile attack to the US base in Qatar, followed by a 12-hour truce between Iran and Israel announced by D. Trump. In the STOXX 600, Utilities and Technology were the best performers whereas B...
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