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Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

LatAm Telcos – TIM/Vivo to Neutral; Wireless MVNO threats - NuCel / Br...

As well as a broader regional recap, we focus on wireless MVNO threats: NuCel in Brazil, recapping also the experience of AMX in Mexico with Bait (Walmart).

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

Liberty LA (BUY, TP: $11, +61%) Liberty LA (BUY) - Puerto Rico: LILA ...

Following Q3 results, PR guidance pull and a call with CFO, Chris Noyes, we are cutting estimates on Puerto Rico; we now value the local equity at zero ($3/share previously).

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Filipe Botelho ... (+3)
  • Filipe Botelho
  • Josseline Jenssen
  • Lorena Reich

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Frontera Energy, Aegea, Braskem, YPF, Petrobras, Millicom, Iochpe-Maxion, Canacol, Geopark, Rumo, C&W Communications, Telecom Argentina, Minerva, LATAM Airlines, Aeromexico, Movida

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

TIGO (Buy, TP: $34, +29%) Millicom - Q3 24: Solid quarter; raised EFCF...

Millicom has reported a solid set of results with improving service revenue trends, a nice reversal in Home Broadband nets adds (driven by Colombia) and strong EFCF this quarter. The company has lifted its FY24 guidance for EFCF to ~$650m from “more than $600m previously” – though consensus is close to this level for FY24.

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

VIVT3 (Buy, TP: R$61, +15%) TIMS3 (Buy, TP: R$23, +43%) AMX (Buy, TP: ...

Rounding off the reporting season, Vivo reported solid Q3s results with a 3% beat at EBITDA and the best postpaid net adds in Brazil this quarter.

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

Mexican Cable/FTTH - Q3 24: MEGA and TPLAY the strongest performers; T...

The Mexican fixed market experienced a slight slowdown in revenue and EBITDA trends in Q3 but KPIs remained robust with 423k net additions and continued growth in Broadband penetration.

Felix Fischer ... (+4)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Filipe Botelho
  • Josseline Jenssen
  • Lorena Reich

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Latam

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: LATAM Airlines, Minerva, Azul, Vale, Aeromexico, Sigma Alimentos, Millicom, Petrobras, Alpek, CEMEX, Ultrapar

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

AMX(Buy, TP: $22, +34%) America Movil - Q3 24: Accelerating growth, 4...

AMX reported a good set of Q3 numbers yesterday after close. Both revenue and EBITDA beat consensus by ~4%. Service revenue growth accelerated to 5.5% in Q3 vs. 4.7% last quarter and EBITDA growth accelerated to 7.3% from 6.9% in Q2. Almost all geographies beat.

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath

A look into the Colombia potential

A deeper look into the potential in Colombia after the proposed M&A. We see 9% equity FCF accretion potential in our scenario. BUY: 15-16% '25e-'26e FCF yield plus attractive call option value.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

Millicom (Buy, TP: $30, +17%) Multiple M&A’s: Millicom (BUY) in Colom...

A series of transactions, involving four separate parties, have been proposed by Millicom (and with a MOU with Telefonica) which could take the patchy Colombian telco market to an effective duopoly, with Millicom as a strong no2. The deal could yet stumble (multiple parties, involves a formal privatization, regulation), will take a little while to consummate, leaves question marks over WOM (which filed for protection locally in April), but we think can comfortably create over $1 billion of syner...

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

AMX (Buy, TP: $22, +32%) Televisa (Neutral, TP: $3.5, +58%) Megacable ...

AMX and Totalplay emerged as the strong performers in Q2, in terms of KPIs (Telmex the highest BB subs again) and financials (TPLAY 16% EBITDA y/y growth). MEGA continued good momentum, slowing perhaps a touch (and with weaker Corporate). Izzy (Televisa) continues to back off from chasing growth and focus more on FCF - helped by a cut in Cable capex (from $630m to $590m, or 22% of sales to 20%) and with deal synergies to come (MXN400m per Q).

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