In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Frontera Energy, Aegea, Braskem, YPF, Petrobras, Millicom, Iochpe-Maxion, Canacol, Geopark, Rumo, C&W Communications, Telecom Argentina, Minerva, LATAM Airlines, Aeromexico, Movida
Millicom has reported a solid set of results with improving service revenue trends, a nice reversal in Home Broadband nets adds (driven by Colombia) and strong EFCF this quarter. The company has lifted its FY24 guidance for EFCF to ~$650m from “more than $600m previously” – though consensus is close to this level for FY24.
AMX reported a good set of Q3 numbers yesterday after close. Both revenue and EBITDA beat consensus by ~4%. Service revenue growth accelerated to 5.5% in Q3 vs. 4.7% last quarter and EBITDA growth accelerated to 7.3% from 6.9% in Q2. Almost all geographies beat.
A series of transactions, involving four separate parties, have been proposed by Millicom (and with a MOU with Telefonica) which could take the patchy Colombian telco market to an effective duopoly, with Millicom as a strong no2. The deal could yet stumble (multiple parties, involves a formal privatization, regulation), will take a little while to consummate, leaves question marks over WOM (which filed for protection locally in April), but we think can comfortably create over $1 billion of syner...
AMX and Totalplay emerged as the strong performers in Q2, in terms of KPIs (Telmex the highest BB subs again) and financials (TPLAY 16% EBITDA y/y growth). MEGA continued good momentum, slowing perhaps a touch (and with weaker Corporate). Izzy (Televisa) continues to back off from chasing growth and focus more on FCF - helped by a cut in Cable capex (from $630m to $590m, or 22% of sales to 20%) and with deal synergies to come (MXN400m per Q).
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