reports
- David Barden
Not unexpectedly, SATS defaults on AMT leases – We quantify the readth...
AMT (Buy, PT $203), after the close today, shared that SATS has defaulted on its tower lease agreement payments. This was unsurprising following a similar revelation from CCI (Neutral, PT $93) on 1/12/26 (see our note). AMT says this action will have no impact on 2025 results. AMT did not mention the value of the remaining payments, but we assume it is similar to the ~$3.5bn (undiscounted) CCI cited.
- David Barden
Towers & interest rates, the biggest moving parts
Given recent news around future interest rate actions by the Fed, we performed a sensitivity analysis to better understand potential AFFO per share implications for each of the three major tower companies. Based on a detailed, tranche by tranche debt analysis, SBAC (Neutral, PT $212) has the largest near-term exposure given its short-term refinancing needs. CCI (Neutral, PT $93) has limited exposure given that we expect its debt reduction using proceeds from its small cells and fiber business sa...
- David Barden
Towers 4Q25 Estimates & Ratings Refresh
The last 3 months have seen substantial tower price dislocation catalyzed by news that SATS intends to invoke contractual clauses and stop paying the tower industry for current leases. We highlight some key industry developments impacting sentiment and preview 4Q results based on our catch-up conversations with the companies in recent weeks.
- Jonathan Moreland
LNG CHENIERE ENERGY INC.
WM WASTE MANAGEMENT INC.
VRSK VERISK ANALYTICS INC
SLGN SILGAN HOLDINGS INC.
SFNC SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORPORATION CLASS A
OHI OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS INC.
NCLH NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTD.
NBTB NBT BANCORP INC.
MTDR MATADOR RESOURCES COMPANY
MNRO MONRO INC
JBLU JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPORATION
GBCI GLACIER BANCORP INC.
FISV FISERV INC.
FFIN FIRST FINANCIAL BANKSHARES INC
DENN DENNY'S CORPORATION
CNS COHEN & STEERS INC.
AMT AMERICAN TOWER CORPORATION
ASA ASA
NEWT NEWTEK BUSINESS SERVICES INC.
NCBS NICOLET BANKSHARES INC
RLMD RELMADA THERAPEUTICS
URE UR-ENERGY
KMI KINDER MORGAN INC CLASS P
MSM MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO. INC. CLASS A
NSC NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORPORATION
AJG ARTHUR J. GALLAGHER & CO.
WINA WINMARK CORP.
FND FLOOR & DECOR HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
BX THE BLACKSTONE GROUP L.P.
MBIN MERCHANTS BANCORP
OBNK ORIGIN BANCORP
OSPN ONESPAN
FUSB FIRST US BANCSHARES INC
AVO MISSION PRODUCE
UTZ UTZ BRANDS INC (A)
OPCH OPTION CARE HEALTH INC
INTA INTAPP INC
CLVT CLARIVATE PLC
NVCT NUVECTIS PHARMA INC
BPRN BANK OF PRINCETON
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC.
NCDL NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LENDING CORP
GAM GENERAL DE ALQUILER DE MAQUINARIA
LAW CS DISCO INC
GF THE NEW GERMANY FUND
ASST INC.
ASSET ENTITIES INC.
American Tower Corp: 1 director
A director at American Tower Corp bought 5,554 shares at 178.990USD and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
- Jonathan Moreland
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Philip Burnett
- Philip Burnett
AMT: Quick thoughts following the 2Q25 call
This brief note covers thoughts on the drivers of the modestly lowered outlook for US organic growth this year, a further unpacking of the drivers of the changes to consolidated guidance, and updated thoughts on the impact of the USM-TMUS consolidation as well as risks from a potential EchoStar bankruptcy.
- Philip Burnett
AMT 2Q25 Quick Take: Site rental revenue in-line; services strong
Site rental revenues were in-line with consensus, while services and data center revenues were strong. Revenue benefited from higher straight-line impacts and a lower drag from FX. Site rental EBITDA was weak on underperformance in Latam, but consolidated EBITDA was ahead on strength in services and data centers. AFFO missed on higher maintenance capex and a larger adjustment for unconsolidated affiliates. The company increased guidance primarily on benefits from FX.
Moody's Ratings affirms American Tower's Baa3 ratings, changes outlook...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) today affirmed American Tower Corporation's (AMT or "the REIT") Baa3 senior unsecured rating, (P)Baa3 senior unsecured shelf rating and changed the outlook to positive from stable. The affirmation reflects the REIT's leading position in the global wireless infrastructure ...
- Jonathan Chaplin
- Jonathan Chaplin
AMT 1Q25 Quick Take: Property in-line; services strong
The property segment was slightly better than Consensus on revenue and gross margin with currency helping. Within property, US and Canada was a touch disappointing, while International was strong (helped by less of a currency headwind than expected). Services revenue and gross margin beat expectations handily, similar to SBAC last night.
- Jonathan Chaplin
AMT quick thoughts following the call
We picked up three small points from the call with implications for the wireless companies: one on FWA, one on spectrum supply / demand, and one on the impact of AI on network traffic. We don’t have insights to share on AMT specifically this quarter (but we will next quarter).
Moody's Ratings affirms American Tower's Baa3 senior unsecured debt ra...
Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") today affirmed American Tower Corporation's ("American Tower" or "the REIT") Baa3 senior unsecured rating, (P)Baa3 senior unsecured shelf programme rating, and maintained the stable outlook. The rating affirmation reflects our expectation that the REIT's leverage and cove...
- Jonathan Chaplin
The future of mobility and convergence – Day One
We just wrapped up the first day of the BCG and New Street Research Future Series conference, which this year is focused on the Future of Mobility and Convergence in the Era of AI . The first day featured discussions with American Tower, AWS, Cohere, Ericsson, IHS Towers, Microsoft, OpenAI, Qualcomm, Rakuten Symphony, T-Mobile, Verizon, and Veon.
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