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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, £1.30, +20%) Q3 26 – The pricing vs. volume dynamic in...

Market reaction to Vodafone’s Q3 might be dominated by the weaker German broadband net adds figure, but we think the pricing trends look more encouraging and we see these as a reasonable set of results with all guidance reiterated.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

TalkTalk (Equal Weight) Post-Q3 model update: The customer growth vs....

Following the Q3 results yesterday, we have updated our forecasts to reflect weaker-than-expected subscriber trends in the quarter. While FY26 revenue guidance remains intact, the deterioration in customer volumes leads us to reduce our medium-term subscriber assumptions and, in turn, our longer-term revenue expectations. We assess the impact this has on value and the potential for higher future SAC spending.

Felix Fischer ... (+3)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Peter Low

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Assemblin Caverion, CEMEX, TalkTalk, Virgin Media O2, Atalian, AMS Osram, EVOCA, Pfleiderer

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

TalkTalk (Equal Weight) Q3: Financial guidance intact, but customer v...

TalkTalk has reported Q3 results (ending Nov 2025) and will host an analyst call later this morning. Aside from the recent M&A speculation, the company’s operational performance remains challenged with subscriber trends weaker in the quarter, despite new advertising campaigns around the rebrand

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: TalkTalk, Nissan Motor, Benteler International, Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Bombardier

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

TalkTalk (Equal weight) Up for sale again! Our take

Sky News is reporting that TalkTalk has begun contacting potential acquirers for its consumer (TTC) and wholesale (PXC) divisions. We also believe that this could also involve a sale of the whole business. We explore our latest thoughts on next steps.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

European Telecoms for 2026 Industry action required for further outpe...

Over the past 3 years, the EU telecoms sector has had a great run – up >50%, despite modest underlying revenue/ EBITDA growth. This has almost entirely come from a deserved upwards re-rating in the multiple as the risk profile across the sector diminishes – which has been a key theme of ours in the past few years given improved regulation. So, we feel this has now largely played out.

BT Group: 1 director

A director at BT Group bought 4,900,000 shares at 179p and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +26%) Safaricom buyout: More FCF accretive than ...

Vodafone and Vodacom have announced today that they will be taking control of Safaricom. Given the structure of the deal with Kenyan Government involving pre-paying dividends, we think the deal could offer better than expected accretion to Vodafone’s reported FCF for limited capital outflow.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +30%) H1 26 - Multiple re-rating in play

Vodafone has reported a decent set of H1 results and guidance has been moved to the upper-end of the guidance range (albeit us and consensus were already there). We think there is still a story for the multiple to be re-rated further – and even though there is new dividend guidance today, we also think there is potential for incremental cash return to come at the FY results.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Snam, Veolia, Engie, CTP, Vonovia, SES, BT...

Utilities: Snam posted robust 9M25 financials, Veolia 9M25 results show continued strong growth, Engie weak 9M25 results – spread tightening limited. Telecom: SES reports weak 3Q25 earnings, BT reports soft 1H26 results, Swisscom 3Q25 results look mixed, Telecom Italia reports solid 3Q25 results, KPN guides for somewhat higher leverage. Real Estate: CTP 9M25 - robust operating trends, Vonovia 9M25 - guidance confirmed

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian
Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian
Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: TalkTalk, Telecom Italia, Ardagh, Encore Capital (formerly Cabot), Adler Pelzer, Air Baltic, Borr Drilling, Klockner Pentaplast, Teva, Picard

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