reports
- James Ratzer
European Telecoms for 2026 Industry action required for further outpe...
Over the past 3 years, the EU telecoms sector has had a great run – up >50%, despite modest underlying revenue/ EBITDA growth. This has almost entirely come from a deserved upwards re-rating in the multiple as the risk profile across the sector diminishes – which has been a key theme of ours in the past few years given improved regulation. So, we feel this has now largely played out.
BT Group: 1 director
A director at BT Group bought 4,900,000 shares at 179p and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +26%) Safaricom buyout: More FCF accretive than ...
Vodafone and Vodacom have announced today that they will be taking control of Safaricom. Given the structure of the deal with Kenyan Government involving pre-paying dividends, we think the deal could offer better than expected accretion to Vodafone’s reported FCF for limited capital outflow.
- James Ratzer
Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +30%) H1 26 - Multiple re-rating in play
Vodafone has reported a decent set of H1 results and guidance has been moved to the upper-end of the guidance range (albeit us and consensus were already there). We think there is still a story for the multiple to be re-rated further – and even though there is new dividend guidance today, we also think there is potential for incremental cash return to come at the FY results.
- Emira Sagaama
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
DHLN DHL GROUP
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
LRC LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
G1A GEA GROUP AG
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
GFC GECINA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
RF EURAZEO SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
ORSTED ORSTED
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
CRG CRH PLC
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
RAA RATIONAL AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
INX IMCD N.V.
LDO LEONARDO SPA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
CTPNV CTP NV
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
SYENS SYENSQO
UN0 UNIPER SE
AENA AENA S.M.E. SA
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Snam, Veolia, Engie, CTP, Vonovia, SES, BT...
Utilities: Snam posted robust 9M25 financials, Veolia 9M25 results show continued strong growth, Engie weak 9M25 results – spread tightening limited. Telecom: SES reports weak 3Q25 earnings, BT reports soft 1H26 results, Swisscom 3Q25 results look mixed, Telecom Italia reports solid 3Q25 results, KPN guides for somewhat higher leverage. Real Estate: CTP 9M25 - robust operating trends, Vonovia 9M25 - guidance confirmed
- Emira Sagaama
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
DHLN DHL GROUP
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
LRC LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
GFC GECINA SA
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
RF EURAZEO SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
ORSTED ORSTED
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
CRG CRH PLC
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
RAA RATIONAL AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
INX IMCD N.V.
LDO LEONARDO SPA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
CTPNV CTP NV
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
SYENS SYENSQO
UN0 UNIPER SE
AENA AENA S.M.E. SA
- Stephane Beyazian
- Stephane Beyazian
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- James Ratzer
TalkTalk (Neutral) H1 review – New outlook, new model
TalkTalk’s H1 results show that customer momentum remains a challenge for them given the price competitive nature of the UK market which allow customers to switch with more ease than in the past. Working capital outflow has also been higher than expected.
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Si Yong Ng
- Tanvi Arora
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Tanvi Arora
- Filipe Botelho
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Trung Nguyen
- Haidje Rustau
- Peter Low
- Trung Nguyen
- Felix Fischer
- Haidje Rustau
- Jayanth Kandalam
- Peter Low
- Si Yong Ng
- James Ratzer
TalkTalk (1st lien: From Overweight to Neutral) Update on new initiat...
In early June, we upgraded the TalkTalk 1st lien debt to Buy – and it has since rallied from 45 to 75. We have also now seen a good degree of the Consumer changes that TalkTalk highlighted were coming earlier this year and based on what we have seen, we see no reason to change our existing forecasts. In this note, we therefore run through the new initiatives, the valuation and hence, the driver of our decision to move the 1st lien bonds back to Neutral.
- James Ratzer
- Russell Waller
Why you should be reading the Tariff Tracker – a leading SR indicator
We publish monthly front book pricing data in our Tariff Tracker product. In this report we show some new analysis looking at how front book tariffs are a good leading indicator for service revenue trends in mobile and fixed, including new work looking at discounted and undiscounted prices.
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