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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...

Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials and Arizona State University Celebrate Opening of ‘M...

Applied Materials and Arizona State University Celebrate Opening of ‘Materials-to-Fab’ Center TEMPE, Ariz., Oct. 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. and Arizona State University (ASU) today marked the official opening of the Materials-to-Fab Center, a shared world-class $270 million research, development and prototyping facility inside the university’s  at in Tempe. A ribbon-cutting event was held at the Center as semiconductor industry leaders from around the globe gathered in nearby Phoenix for the SEMICON West conference. Applied Materials executives, including Dr. P...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicap and the $3tn AI bull-case: material upside, but well below the...

We published earlier this week our updated view on the Semicap rally, looking at the implication of AI spending tripling by 2030 for WFE spending. Today, we publish a follow-up looking at the implications of the $3tn AI bull case for Semicap on a single slide.

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials Unveils Next-Gen Chipmaking Products to Supercharge ...

Applied Materials Unveils Next-Gen Chipmaking Products to Supercharge AI Performance Kinex™ is the industry’s first integrated die-to-wafer hybrid bonding system; enables production of higher performance, lower power advanced logic and memory chips Xtera™ system enables higher performance Gate-All-Around transistors at 2nm and beyond by depositing void-free, uniform epitaxial layersPROVision™ 10 eBeam metrology system improves yield of complex 3D chips by providing sub-nanometer resolution, fast throughput and deep imaging SANTA CLARA, Calif., Oct. 07, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Ma...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral

The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials and GlobalFoundries Partner to Accelerate AI-Powered...

Applied Materials and GlobalFoundries Partner to Accelerate AI-Powered Photonics Applied is leveraging its leadership in materials engineering to provide the highest quality waveguides for augmented reality glasses SANTA CLARA, Calif. and SINGAPORE, Sept. 23, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced a strategic collaboration with GlobalFoundries (GF) to establish a state-of-the-art waveguide fabrication facility at GF Singapore to accelerate the emerging photonics inflection driven by AI. The collaboration marks a significant milestone in the evolution of photon...

Moody's Ratings assigns A2 rating to Applied Materials' new senior uns...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned an A2 rating to Applied Materials Inc.'s (Applied) new senior unsecured notes (New Notes). The A2 rating on Applied's existing senior unsecured notes, the P-1 short-term rating, and the stable outlook are unchanged. Net proceeds from the New Notes will be used to...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 229 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides. Please follow the link below for more details.

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials Announces Cash Dividend

Applied Materials Announces Cash Dividend SANTA CLARA, Calif., Sept. 12, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced that its Board of Directors has approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.46 per share payable on the company’s common stock. The dividend is payable on Dec. 11, 2025 to shareholders of record as of Nov. 20, 2025. The cash dividend is a key component of Applied’s capital allocation strategy. In March 2025, Applied announced a 15-percent increase in the quarterly dividend per share, from $0.40 to $0.46, marking eight consecutive years of dividend increas...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ASML investing in Mistral – Strategic core or distraction?

Media reported yesterday that ASML will invest €1.3bn in Mistral AI, a French start-up developing frontier AI models, as part of a €1.7bn Series C funding round valuing Mistral at €10bn pre-money. Click on the link below for our quick read.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Semicap: Cautious view justified; expectations at risk fo...

Today, we are publishing the Semicap section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, PCs, Enterprise IT and Foundry. 2Q25 semicap revenues up 2% QoQ, 2% above consensus. China up 19% after a 17% decline in 1Q, with manufac...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Memory: margins of conventional DRAM to expand as HBM gro...

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry and Semicap Equipment. DRAM COGS up 25% YoY and 21% QoQ, driven by seasonality,...

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences

Applied Materials to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences SANTA CLARA, Calif., Aug. 21, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced that members of management will participate in fireside chats at upcoming investor conferences. Brice Hill, Senior Vice President and CFO, will participate at the Deutsche Bank 2025 Technology Conference on Thursday, Aug. 28 beginning at 11:00 a.m. PT / 2:00 p.m. ET. Gary Dickerson, President and CEO, will participate at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference on Tuesday, Sept. 9 beginning at 10:50 a.m. PT / 1:50 ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

CoreWeave profitability; DeepSeek’s ASIC try; Semicap; PC pull-forward...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 9 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results

Applied Materials Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results Record revenue $7.30 billion, up 8 percent year over yearGAAP gross margin 48.8 percent and non-GAAP gross margin 48.9 percentGAAP operating margin 30.6 percent and non-GAAP operating margin 30.7 percentGAAP EPS $2.22 and record non-GAAP EPS $2.48, up 8 percent and 17 percent year over year, respectively SANTA CLARA, Calif., Aug. 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) today reported results for its third quarter ended Jul. 27, 2025. “Applied Materials delivered record performance in our third fiscal ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials Joins Apple and Texas Instruments in Strengthening U...

Applied Materials Joins Apple and Texas Instruments in Strengthening U.S. Chip Manufacturing Applied is providing American-made equipment from its Austin, Texas facility to TI’s U.S. factories to manufacture foundational semiconductors for Apple productsNew $200 million investment in Arizona components factory adds to more than $400 million Applied has invested in its U.S. manufacturing footprint over the past five years SANTA CLARA, Calif., Aug. 06, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. is working with Apple and Texas Instruments (TI) to bolster the semiconductor manufacturin...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

AI capex & replatforming; semicap into 2026; Apple, Arm & more.

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 34 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

LAM 4FQ25: China drives beat. We are cautious. Neutral, $105 Target P...

LAM reported 4FQ25 last night. Please click the link below for our take on the print.

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials to Report Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 Results on Augus...

Applied Materials to Report Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 Results on August 14, 2025 SANTA CLARA, Calif., July 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced that it will hold its fiscal third quarter 2025 earnings conference call on Thursday, August 14, 2025, at 4:30 p.m. ET / 1:30 p.m. PT. The call will be webcast live at: . A replay will be available on the same day beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT. About Applied MaterialsApplied Materials, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMAT) is the leader in materials engineering solutions that are at the foundation of virtually every new ...

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