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Ben Harwood
  • Ben Harwood

Grab 1Q25: guidance raise, as expected. We see further upside. $5.6 pr...

Grab reported 1Q25 earnings overnight. Please see the link below for our take on the print.

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials to Report Fiscal Second Quarter 2025 Results on May ...

Applied Materials to Report Fiscal Second Quarter 2025 Results on May 15, 2025 SANTA CLARA, Calif., April 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced that it will hold its fiscal second quarter 2025 earnings conference call on Thursday, May 15, 2025, at 4:30 p.m. ET / 1:30 p.m. PT. The call will be webcast live at: . A replay will be available on the same day beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT. About Applied MaterialsApplied Materials, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMAT) is the leader in materials engineering solutions used to produce virtually every new chip and advanced...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs – How would a recession affect our coverage?

The tariffs announced by the Trump administration in the last two weeks have resulted in major swings in the stock market and broader concerns regarding the global economy. We developed a framework to understand the situation and interpret its daily evolution last week and follow up today with an initial perspective on potential macro implications.

Pierre FerraguÊ ... (+2)
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Rolf Bulk

AMAT acquiring a 9% stake in Besi. Our take.

Yesterday afternoon, AMAT announced it has acquired a 9% stake in Besi. Please see the link below for the key facts and our take.

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials Announces a Strategic Investment in BE Semiconductor...

Applied Materials Announces a Strategic Investment in BE Semiconductor Industries Purchased 9 percent of outstanding shares to build upon four years of successful collaboration on hybrid bonding technology for advanced packaging SANTA CLARA, Calif., April 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced it has purchased 9 percent of the outstanding shares of the common stock of BE Semiconductor Industries N.V. (Besi), a leading manufacturer of assembly equipment for the semiconductor industry. Applied and Besi have been successfully collaborating since 2020, and rec...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs: Smartphones, PC, semicap equipment, and others excluded - Our...

As a follow-up to the baseline thesis we published on Friday about U.S. tariffs, we provide below our assessment of latest developments announced on Friday.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Getting over Tariffs – Step back. Rethink. Move on.

Swings observed in the last 10 days has been second to none. The Great Financial Crisis and Covid didn’t get us in a worst spot. Make no mistake: The markets are panicking today even more than when the world came to a COVID standstill, with the individual contributors to the vast majority of the world’s GDP locked down. How reasonable is that? Very little, in our view. The polarization of the political landscape has created a global brain freeze. Few analyses calmly assess the U.S. administrati...

Applied Materials Inc: 1 director

A director at Applied Materials Inc bought 50,000 shares at 137.302USD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semiconductors in the crash: Relative valuations walked back 15 years...

As we brace for another tough Monday, we share with you this morning our usual quarterly and extensive review of where fundamentals, expectations, and valuations stand in semis, although, this time, in light of the steep pullback of the last couple of days, and the last couple of months. Over the next 30 slides. We did our best to articulate our expectations for earnings revisions with where we stand on valuation already, and the fundamental backdrop, segment by segment. We conclude with a very...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q2

In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ARC-AGI-2: Pushing the measure of intelligence beyond test-time comput...

The ARC team has announced ARC-AGI-2 and published initial benchmarking results, after ARC-AGI-1 got saturated by o3. The race to AGI is reset. Fascinating. ​​​​​For what all investors need to understand about the most important benchmark of the industry, summarized on a single slide, see the attached article.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 4Q24

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 240 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q24: Enterprise IT – continued recovery in Legacy, stabilizatio...

Today, we are publishing the Enterprise IT section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Legacy IT spending recovery continued, with major players again reporting double-digit order growth across core legacy portfolios. Al server demand remained strong, although some revenue recognition ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q24 – Memory: AI HBM accelerating, cycle elsewhere close to a b...

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. DRAM COGS increased 7% QoQ, with HBM up 65%, accounting for virtually all the growth. HBM demand remains strong, with revenues expected to more than double in 2025. The non-datacenter outlook is still blea...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q24 – Mobility & Delivery: Healthy underlying growth

Today, we are publishing the Mobility & Delivery section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Later this week we will publish sections on Memory, Semicap, Enterprise IT, PC. Ride-sharing bookings decelerated slightly but still posted robust double-digit growth, while delivery bookings a...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q24 – Hyperscale & Cloud: material capex revisions, now consist...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Hyperscale revenues grew 11% YoY, with cloud services stabilizing in the mid-20%, driven by strong demand for both traditional & AI infrastructure. Capex grew 73% YoY and 25% QoQ, 11% above con...

 PRESS RELEASE

Applied Materials Increases Quarterly Cash Dividend by 15 Percent and ...

Applied Materials Increases Quarterly Cash Dividend by 15 Percent and Announces New $10 Billion Share Repurchase Authorization SANTA CLARA, Calif., March 10, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Applied Materials, Inc. today announced that its Board of Directors has approved a 15-percent increase in the quarterly cash dividend, marking eight consecutive years of higher dividends. The increase results in a quarterly dividend of $0.46 per share payable on June 12, 2025 to shareholders of record as of May 22, 2025. The Board also approved a new share repurchase authorization enabling Applied to buy bac...

Pierre FerraguÊ ... (+2)
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Rolf Bulk

Tokyo Electron’s 2025 CMD: What did we learn?

Tokyo Electron hosted its 2025 CMD. For a summary of our main takeaways, please follow the link below.

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