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Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier

Scandic Hotels (Buy, TP: SEK75.00) - Solid outlook for Q2 and onwards

Q1 tends to be seasonally weak, in 2024 further weighted by the early Easter; however, the in-line Q1 report translated into minor forecast changes. With its strong financials, we see opportunities for growth initiatives and capital allocation. We expect a more eventful H2, with the likely upcoming convertible bond conversion to be offset by share buybacks, and the still-low valuation implying an attractive risk/reward. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK75 (71).

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

Scandic Hotels : Q1 results impacted by timing of Easter, cautious com...

>Weak Q1 2024 results, below expectations - Scandic this morning reported weak Q1 2024 results, below expectations. Group revenues amounted to SEK 4,419m, down 2.4% y-o-y (ODDO BHFe at SEK 4,642m and css Visible Alpha at SEK 4,554m). Group RevPAR in Q1 showed a slight decrease of 1.1% with a positive increase in average prices (i.e., +2%) but an occupancy rate of just 51.9% (vs 53.5% in Q1 2023), impacted by the timing of Easter falling earlier this year (the company ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

Scandic Hotels : Q1 results impacted by timing of Easter, cautious com...

>Weak Q1 2024 results, below expectations - Scandic this morning reported weak Q1 2024 results, below expectations. Group revenues amounted to SEK 4,419m, down 2.4% y-o-y (ODDO BHFe at SEK 4,642m and css Visible Alpha at SEK 4,554m). Group RevPAR in Q1 showed a slight decrease of 1.1% with a positive increase in average prices (i.e., +2%) but an occupancy rate of just 51.9% (vs 53.5% in Q1 2023), impacted by the timing of Easter falling earlier this year (the company ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/22/2024 Date Performance sin...

EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 22/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Continued growth for European hotels in March

>European hotels up 7.7% in March - In March, RevPAR growth came to +7.7% y-o-y for western Europe (according to STR figures), driven by both price increases (+6.2%) and a continued improvement in occupancy rates (OR up +0.9 pt). With the marked growth seen in January (+11.7%) and February (+9.3%), the cumulative change in Q1 works out at +8.9% (+1.7 pt for OR and +5.7% for ADR); for now, this is better than forecast and could, ultimately, render the estimates for lim...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Croissance continue de l’hôtellerie européenne en mars

>L’hôtellerie européenne est en croissance de 7.7% en mars - En mars, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +7.7% yoy pour l’Europe de l’Ouest (selon les chiffres STR), portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+6.2%) et par une progression continue des taux d’occupation (TO à +0.9 pt). Avec la forte hausse enregistrée en janvier (+11.7%) et en février (+9.3%), la variation cumulée sur le T1 ressort à +8.9% (+1.7 pt sur les TO et +5.7% sur les prix), c’est un chiffre qui...

Scandic Hotels Group AB: 1 director

A director at Scandic Hotels Group AB sold 40,000 shares at 60.000SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 76/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/20/2024

We are upgrading the energy sector to Overweight vs Neutral (excluding Oil Services, already on Overweight). The recent rebound in oil prices is set to continue, driven by short, medium and long-term factors: value, cyclical, little debt and good shareholder returns. Technical analysis reveals a strong trend that is only just beginning. GALP enters our Large Caps list; CellNex exits it. - ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 20/03/2024

Nous upgradons le secteur énergie à Surpondérer vs Neutre (hors Oil Services déjà à Surpondérer). Le rebond récent des prix du pétrole va se poursuivre, soutenu par des facteurs à court, moyen et long terme. Le secteur dispose en outre de 4 atouts dans la configuration de marché actuelle : value, cyclique, peu endetté et bon retour à l’actionnaire. L’analyse technique révèle une tendance forte qui ne fait que commencer. GALP fait son entrée dans notre liste Large Caps ; CellNex en so...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : European hotels: Spain stands out again

>European hotels still on course at the start of the year - Despite the geopolitical impacts and uncertainties surrounding the cycle, European hotels continue to perform well. In February, RevPAR growth came to +9.3% y-o-y, driven by both price increases (+5.8%) and steady growth in occupancy rates (occupancy rate up +3.3 points). With the strong increase recorded in January (+11.7%), the cumulative YTD change in February works out at +10.7%, a very good start to the ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Hôtellerie européenne : l’Espagne, encore l’Espagne !

>L’hôtellerie européenne garde le cap en ce début d’année - Malgré les impacts géopolitiques et les incertitudes liées au cycle, l’hôtellerie européenne continue de très bien performer. En février, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +9.3% yoy, portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+5.8%) et par une progression continue des taux d’occupation (TO à +3.3 pt). Avec la forte hausse enregistrée en janvier (+11.7%), la variation cumulée en février ytd ressort à +10.7%, s...

Kate Heseltine
  • Kate Heseltine

Scandic Hotels Group - Tender indeed is the North

Newly confirmed strong finances (just 0.6x net debt/adjusted EBITDA including convertible loan) and continued Nordic market resilience, allied with multiple growth initiatives, are justifiably reinforcing Scandic’s confidence. Moves into economy (Scandic Go) and Germany mark a widening and accelerating hotel pipeline with clear scope to grow (4% of the estate vs pre-pandemic 11%), while a step-change in digitalisation via the new Oracle OPERA Cloud and enhanced loyalty programme are expected to ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : January: further strong growth for European hotels

>European hotels post 11.7% growth y-o-y in January - The European hotel sector continues to improve despite concerns relating to the cycle. RevPAR in western Europe grew 11.7% y-o-y (according to STR data) versus +8.5% in December, +12% in November and +9.2% in October. The performance was driven by both occupancy rates, which rose 202 points, and prices, which rose +7.2% (or +21% compared with January 2019). European hotel market fundamentals remain robust with dema...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Janvier : toujours une forte croissance de l’hôtellerie europée...

>L’hôtellerie européenne progresse de 11.7% en yoy en janvier - L’hôtellerie européenne poursuit sa marche en avant malgré les appréhensions liées au cycle. Les RevPAR en Europe de l’Ouest sont en progression de 11.7% yoy (selon les données STR) contre +8.5% en décembre, +12% en novembre et +9.2% en octobre. Cette performance est tirée à la fois par les taux d’occupation (TO) qui progressent de 2.2 pt et par les prix à +7.2% (soit +21% comparé à janvier 2019). Les fon...

Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 02/16/2024

Indra should continue its positive sequence, with Q4 results and FY 2024 guidance set to be solid. The subsequent CMD will be an opportunity to set out new targets for 2024-2026 which we hope will beat the market’s cautious outlook. We also expect strategic announcements that could crystallise the value of some assets and/or reduce the factors underpinning the discount. We have raised our target price to € 21. Outperform rating reiterated. The stock joined our ODDO BHF European Midcap...

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