reports
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: August 2025 – refining still buzzing
Brent crude oil prices declined USD 2.4/bbl vs. the previous month, to USD 67.2/bbl, due to OPEC+ quota increases. In July, OPEC production hit its highest level, again, since November 2023. Our benchmark margin fell by USD 1.7/bbl in August, to USD 12.6 /bbl, but is still very high. Most petrochemicals margins weakened further.
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland – worst performer in August
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
OPTIMAr ELM CO
AQ OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB BANK OF CYPRUS
ALPHA ZABKA GROUP
PE RO ALPHA BANK S.A.
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALE PW; HU Macro; PBK RO; PE RO; 4IG HB; CAI AV; M RO; SFG...
HEADLINES: • Allegro: August is harvest time (downgraded to HOLD) • Hungary macro: challenging conditions keeping fiscal pressure high • Patria Bank: solid delivery in 2Q25 POSITIVE • Premier Energy: 2Q25 normalised EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • 4iG: 2Q25 results review – 11% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, 3% above our estimate NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 2Q25 – continued progress with disposals; cancels treasury shares, launches new buyback • MedLife: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings ...
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
HAL HAL TRUST
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
MOB MOBILEZONE HOLDING AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SUNN SUNRISE
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
HAL HAL TRUST
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
MOB MOBILEZONE HOLDING AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SUNN SUNRISE
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PZU PW; DOM PW; BHW PW; EUR PW; DAT PW; TPE PW; CAI AV; MO...
HEADLINES: • PZU: 2Q25 results – beat on the bottom line, but insurance operations show some weakness and delivered below expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q25 results – beat driven by stellar 37% gross profit margin POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: neutral 2Q25 results – beat on underlying bottom line driven by bond sales gains; negative NII trend NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 2Q25 – slightly above low expectations; new strategy publication in November POSITIVE • DataWalk: 2Q25 actual numbers fully in li...
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
RICHT RICHTER
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DUNAHOUS HB; BFT PW; PKN PW; BHW PW; EME Macro/Strategy We...
HEADLINES: • Duna House: strong 2Q25, guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: 2Q25 adjusted EBIT up 17% yoy, marginally above our forecast NEUTRAL • Orlen: partner makes significant oil discovery in Norway POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: may pay out PLN 449m of 2019 net profit as a dividend NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (18-24 August) • Gentoo Media: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PE RO; PL Banks; DNP PW; BDX PW; KAP LI; MBR PW; CPS PW; T...
HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- Konrad Zomer
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
EVD CTS EVENTIM AG & CO. KGAA
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Konrad Zomer
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
EVD CTS EVENTIM AG & CO. KGAA
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: GPW PW; KMGZ KZ; CPS PW; MBR PW; PKN PW; BGEO LN; GEV CP; ...
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ECH PW; PKN PW; KAP LI; TLV RO
HEADLINES: • Echo Investment: sells 5.3k Resi4Rent units to TAG POSITIVE • Orlen: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 August) NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25E results preview (due on 22 August) NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2Q25E results preview (due on 28 August) • Short News (PCF)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: NLBR SV; DIGI RO; DOC AV; PL Macro; PL Banks; MBR PW; CEZ ...
HEADLINES: • NLB Group: still cheap, despite the rally (stays BUY) • DIGI Communications: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA down 1% yoy, 2% below our estimate NEGATIVE • DO & CO: 1Q FY26 results above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: GDP growth steady in 2Q • Polish banks: tax on obligatory reserve remuneration may be announced in the coming weeks NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: consortium with MBR signs PLN 30m “eco bomb” contract POSITIVE • CEZ: E.ON negotiating, reportedly, with CEZ on the sale of ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ACP PW; PKO PW; ESLT IT; MGROS TI; PGSUS TI; LOGO TI; IGN1...
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: unjustifiably expensive (downgraded to SELL) • PKO BP: very solid 2Q25; our ambitious forecasts seem achievable; market valuation appears to be pricing it in NEUTRAL • Elbit Systems: 2Q25 results – strong operating performance and a big contract win in Europe • Migros: 2Q25 results – bottom line misses expectations NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q25 – weaker margins yoy, as expected • Logo Yazilim: 2Q25 results – in line; FY25E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Ignitis Gro...
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
DAT DATAWALK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SOLUTION AB; TBCG LN; ALARABIA AB; JAHEZ AB; CAR PW; ACAG ...
HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: balance of risks to the upside (upgraded to BUY) • TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: weak 2Q25 financial results, with significant pressure on the EBITDA margin NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth accelerates marginally, to 11% yoy NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 1H25E earnings preview (due on 28 August)
- Can Demir
WOOD Flash – TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights
TBC has announced GEL 346m in net income (before minorities) for 2Q25, up 8% qoq and 5% yoy. This was 1% lower than our EUR 348m estimate and 3% lower than the GEL 358m consensus. The group-level results were in line, supported by an 8% beat in Georgia (GE), driven by a 40bps qoq NIM expansion and the NII coming in 8% above our estimate. That said, our overall bias on 2Q25 is negative, due to a significant 44% earnings miss in Uzbekistan (UZ) (our forecast at GEL 58m, vs. the GEL 32m actual UZ n...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CDR PW; PZU PW; MOL HB; ELPE GA; NLBR SV; CCC PW; AKCNS TI...
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: opening the next chapter (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: CEO Klesyk dismissed NEGATIVE • MOL: 2Q25 results hit by one-off charge NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • NLB Group: material bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mainly to provisions and impairments released POSITIVE • CCC: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 1-5%, on the top line POSITIVE • Akcansa: 2Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Brisa: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Cimsa:...
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
NLBR NLB GROUP
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: July 2025 – diesel for successful invest...
Brent crude oil prices were flat vs. the previous month, at USD 69.6/bbl, after disruption fears eased. A subsequent OPEC+ decision has made little difference at the start of August. Our benchmark margin increased by USD 1.3/bbl in July, to USD 14.3/bbl, a significant increase, which takes it to the highest level since February 2024. Once again, the less said about petrochemicals margins, the better, in our view.
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