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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KSPI US; ALARABIA AB; SOLUTION AB; HTO GA; GR macro/banks;...

HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: agrees to acquire Türkiye's Hepsiburada NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q24 highlights - on track to meet guidance NEUTRAL • Al Arabia: MBC Group sells 4.9% of shares of Al Arabia NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: establishment of JV with Jedco completed NEUTRAL • OTE: ANAF imposes EUR 33.5m in additional tax charges related to alleged VAT and CIT miscalculations NEGATIVE • Greece macro/banks: BOG increases the countercyclical capital buffer rate to 0.25%, with effect from October 2025E N...

 PRESS RELEASE

Notice of Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders of Kaspi.kz

Notice of Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders of Kaspi.kz ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Oct. 18, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Board of Directors of JSC Kaspi.kz (Nasdaq: KSPI) hereby announces the Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders of JSC Kaspi.kz will be held on 19 November 2024 at 10:00 Astana time at: 154 “А”, Nauryzbai Batyr Street, Almaty, Kazakhstan, 050013. If a quorum is not met, a repeated General Meeting of Shareholders will be held on 20 November 2024 at 10:00 Astana time at: 154 “А”, Nauryzbai Batyr Street, Almaty, Kazakhstan, 050013. Agenda of the Extraordinary G...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kaspi.kz 3Q and 9M 2024 Financial Results

Kaspi.kz 3Q and 9M 2024 Financial Results ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Oct. 18, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (“Kaspi.kz”, “we”) (Nasdaq:KSPI) which operates the Kaspi.kz Super App for consumers and Kaspi Pay Super App for merchants, today publishes its unaudited consolidated IFRS financial results for the quarter and nine months ended 30 September 2024 (“3Q & 9M 2024”). 9M 2024 Highlights Timing of marketing campaigns has distorted GMV growth between 2Q and 3Q. 9M 2024 is more representative of business performance with revenue and net income up 34% and 23% respectiv...

 PRESS RELEASE

E-commerce champions join forces: Kaspi.kz to become controlling share...

E-commerce champions join forces: Kaspi.kz to become controlling shareholder in Türkiye’s Hepsiburada ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Oct. 18, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz (“Kaspi.kz” NASDAQ: KSPI) has announced that it has signed a definitive agreement with Hanzade Doğan, the founder and controlling shareholder of D-Market Electronic Services & Trading (“Hepsiburada” NASDAQ: HEPS), and Vuslat Doğan Sabancı, Begüm Doğan Faralyalı, Arzuhan Doğan Yalçındağ and Işıl Doğan to acquire 65.41% of all the total outstanding Class A and Class B shares of Hepsiburada. Founded in 2000 b...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KRU PW; ALE PW; MCOVB SS; SOLUTION AB; EBS AV; CBF PW; APR...

HEADLINES: • Kruk: announces PLN 356m of net profit in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Allegro: introduction of spirits suspended NEGATIVE • Medicover: seeking approval to acquire laboratories in Romania • Solutions by STC: signs contract with Saudi Telecom Company • Erste Bank: 3Q24E preview (due on 31 October) • cyber_Folks: 3Q24E results preview – 24% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 13 November) • Auto Partner: 3Q24E EBITDA down 6% yoy (due on 19 November) • Short News (4iG)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GSPARK HB (stays BUY); OMV AV; SNP RO; WPL PW; Polish tele...

HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: still great value (stays BUY) • OMV: 3Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: real users in September 2024 NEGATIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q24 NEUTRAL • EME macro/strategy: macro all-in-one (30 September-6 October)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; BFT PW; PCF PW; Polish consumer staples; 11B PW; ...

HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: summer traffic in line, but consensus seems too bullish on earnings • Benefit Systems: net additions of 20k sport cards in 3Q24 POSITIVE • PCF Group: earnings call takeaways - Echo to be smaller than the other WFH projects NEUTRAL • Polish consumer staples: Netto plans to open 350 discount stores in Poland by 2028E NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: delays the release of The Alters to 1Q25E NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: September bookings estimate up 10% mom, but flat for the flagship ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greece rebounds, elsewhere mostly ...

EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
KLKIM VERCOM SA
SHO KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
4071 SHOPER SA
TRESTATES ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
GEV TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
NOVAL GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR NOVAL PROPERTY
BANK OF CYPRUS
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MCOVB SS (BUY – initiation of coverage); HTO GA (upgrade t...

HEADLINES: • Medicover: private healthcare pioneer keeps on rolling (BUY - initiation of coverage) • OTE: safe dividend play (upgraded to BUY) • National Bank of Greece: HFSF launches the sale of a 10% stake in NBG NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 2Q24 results in negative territory, below our expectations NEGATIVE • mBank: issues traditional profit warning related to the CHF mortgage saga, ahead of 3Q24E results NEUTRAL • InPost: 4.9% price hike for Allegro NEUTRAL • Allegro: introduction of spirits from 21...

George Grigoriou ... (+3)
  • George Grigoriou
  • Piotr Raciborski
  • CFA

OTE: safe dividend play (upgraded to BUY)

We have upgraded our rating on OTE to BUY from Hold, with a price target (PT) of EUR 20.3 (from EUR 18.8), implying 26% upside potential. We appreciate the strong investor remuneration that we expect it to offer: on our estimates this should reach 7.3% in 2024E and 7.6% in 2025-26E, and could also be supported by proceeds from the sale of the Romanian business. We also see an easing in the competitive pressure in Greece as positive. On our estimates, OTE trades at 2025-26E EV/EBITDAs of 5.1-5.0x...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: 11B PW (downgraded to HOLD); LAMDA GA (stays BUY); GE macr...

HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: risk profile increased materially (downgraded to HOLD) • Lamda Development: breaking ground (stays BUY) • Georgia macro: important elections approaching • CTP: 2024 CMD, the demand led growth continues • NEPI Rockcastle: buys Magnolia Park in Wroclaw for EUR 373m POSITIVE • PZU: has paid more than PLN 111m of claims related to floods, and serviced 70% of filed cases so far POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: incoming CEO talks to Forbes • 11 bit studios: interview with the CEO on...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; GEKTERNA GA; BELA GA; LPP PW; PEO PW; CPS PW; MB...

HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • GEK Terna: 1H24 EBITDA climbs 7%, to EUR 269m, as broadly expected NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H24 results in line, EGM approves share buyback plan NEUTRAL • LPP: key takeaways from the 2Q24 results call POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: appoints Marcin Zygmanowicz and dismisses Magdalena Zmitrowicz from the management board NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Solorz announces plans to dismiss his children from the company NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs new PLN 12.2m contract for “e...

Research Team
  • Research Team
KRU KRUK S.A.
CCC CCC SA ... (+6)

WOOD Daily: KRU PW; CCC PW; VGO PW; KSPI US; HU Macro; 11B PW; ETE GA

HEADLINES: • Kruk: forging forward (stays BUY) • CCC: 2Q24 results a notch above prelims; positive trends maintained in 2Q24 POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: miss on adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • Kaspi.kz: issues response to short seller report • Hungary macro: MNB resumes the easing cycle • 11 bit studios: Frostpunk 2 falls to 20th position on Steam top seller list, player reviews recover marginally NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: HFSF to sell up to 12% of its stake

 PRESS RELEASE

Kaspi.kz Responds to Investor Questions

Kaspi.kz Responds to Investor Questions ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Sept. 24, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Kaspi.kz’s mission is to improve people’s lives by developing innovative mobile products and services. To deliver upon this we operate a unique two-sided Super App model – Kaspi.kz Super App for consumers and Kaspi Pay Super App for merchants. We are proud of the business we have built, which we are continuing to grow by serving consumers and businesses across Kazakhstan. Here are some important facts we think you should know about our business and our robust efforts to ensure local and interna...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kaspi.kz to Announce 3rd Quarter and 9 Months 2024 Financial Results o...

Kaspi.kz to Announce 3rd Quarter and 9 Months 2024 Financial Results on 21st October ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Sept. 23, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Kaspi.kz (KSPI US) will report its financial results for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2024, on Monday, 21st October, 2024. On that day, management will hold a conference call and webcast at 8.00am EST (1pm GMT, 5.00pm Astana time) to review and discuss the company's results for the period. 3rd Quarter & 9 months 2024 Financial Results Conference Call Monday, 21st October, 2024 To pre-register for this call, please go to the foll...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KSPI US; KTY PW; LOGO TI; WIZZ LN; AUG1L LH

HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: stock down 17% yesterday on report by short seller Culper • Kety: 3Q24 preliminary results close to our expectations NEUTRAL • Logo Yazilim: CMC approves cancellation of treasury shares POSITIVE • Wizz Air: 24-hour strike called for 24 September by third-party Italian union • AUGA Group: coverage discontinued • Short News (CEZ)

 PRESS RELEASE

Kaspi.kz Statement on Misleading short-seller research

Kaspi.kz Statement on Misleading short-seller research ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Sept. 19, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The company is issuing the following statement following the research report published by Culper Research today: In our view, the report is misleading, inaccurate and misrepresents our business. Being the first company from Kazakhstan to successfully list on Nasdaq has obviously raised our profile amongst short sellers. For those investors who have known us over the years, our reputation speaks for itself. About Kaspi.kz Kaspi.kz’s mission is to improve people’s li...

 PRESS RELEASE

Kaspi.kz receives first international credit rating

Kaspi.kz receives first international credit rating ALMATY, Kazakhstan, Sept. 19, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Kaspi.kz has received its first international credit rating. Fitch rates Kaspi.kz investment grade BBB- with a stable outlook. This rating is separate from Kaspi Bank, a component of Kaspi.kz’s Fintech Platform, which has been tracked by international rating agencies for many years. Fitch also rates Kaspi Bank investment grade BBB- with a stable outlook. According to Fitch, the rating reflects Kaspi.kz’s unique business profile, leading nationwide franchise and one of the strongest ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALARABIA AB; NOVAL GA; MOH GA; CAR PW; LAMDA GA; MBK PW; C...

HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to HOLD) • Noval Property: 1H24 – recurring results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: fire at refinery NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: another land plot sales tranche, to lift NAV by 6% POSITIVE • mBank: UniCredit seeks regulator's approval to reach 30% stake in Commerzbank • CTP: raises EUR 300m through an ABB, at EUR 16.0/share • 11...

Dmitry Vlasov ... (+3)
  • Dmitry Vlasov
  • Piotr Raciborski
  • CFA

Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to...

We have downgraded our rating for Al Arabia to HOLD (from Buy), with an updated price target (PT) of SAR 214, which offers 7% upside. We still like Al Arabia for its market-leading position, strong growth prospects, position as an Outdoor Advertising champion, and as one of the beneficiaries of the Vision 2030 programme. We note, however, that the upcoming revenue growth will be slower than originally expected, with more pressure on the gross margin, while new projects are yet to be announced. T...

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