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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CGEO LN; BIMAS TI; SOKM TI; KLKIM TI; AQ RO; SNG RO; RO Ma...

HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: multi-sector story (BUY - transfer of coverage) • BIM: solid operating results overshadowed by bottom-line miss in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: bottom line misses expectations in 2Q25 NEGATIVE • Kalekim: 2Q25 – strong set of results POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 2Q25 – eyeing +6% EBITDA margin for 2H25E POSITIVE • Romgaz: 2Q25 results – better than our forecasts POSITIVE • Romania macro: GDP heading into a tough 2H • DIGI Communications: key takeawa...

Haidje Rustau ... (+4)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bite, Digi Communications, Hapag-Lloyd, Borr Drilling, Motel One, Vedanta Resources

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Digi (Underweight) Q2 25: Some concerns on KPIs, Portugal fibre roll (...

Digi has reported a disappointing set of results with slower RGU adds in Portugal and Belgium than in Q1, weak ARPU in Spain, and seemed to push out the timetable for the Portugal fibre roll on the call.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: NLBR SV; DIGI RO; DOC AV; PL Macro; PL Banks; MBR PW; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • NLB Group: still cheap, despite the rally (stays BUY) • DIGI Communications: 2Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA down 1% yoy, 2% below our estimate NEGATIVE • DO & CO: 1Q FY26 results above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: GDP growth steady in 2Q • Polish banks: tax on obligatory reserve remuneration may be announced in the coming weeks NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: consortium with MBR signs PLN 30m “eco bomb” contract POSITIVE • CEZ: E.ON negotiating, reportedly, with CEZ on the sale of ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ACP PW; PKO PW; ESLT IT; MGROS TI; PGSUS TI; LOGO TI; IGN1...

HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: unjustifiably expensive (downgraded to SELL) • PKO BP: very solid 2Q25; our ambitious forecasts seem achievable; market valuation appears to be pricing it in NEUTRAL • Elbit Systems: 2Q25 results – strong operating performance and a big contract win in Europe • Migros: 2Q25 results – bottom line misses expectations NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q25 – weaker margins yoy, as expected • Logo Yazilim: 2Q25 results – in line; FY25E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Ignitis Gro...

Maria Mickiewicz ... (+3)
  • Maria Mickiewicz
  • Piotr Raciborski
  • CFA

Asseco Poland: unjustifiably expensive (downgraded to SELL)

We have downgraded Asseco Poland (ACP) to SELL (from Hold) and increased our price target (PT) to PLN 130.5 (from PLN 102.5), implying 32% downside potential. ACP’s stock price has rallied over 100% ytd, driven primarily by the sale of its treasury shares to Constellation Software, a strategic investor with an impressively strong M&A track record, which has drawn the attention of a new group of investors to Asseco Poland, we believe. However, we see very limited synergies (which, given no consol...

Haidje Rustau ... (+2)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Bite, Sasol, Digi Communications, Hapag-Lloyd, Solenis

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BGEO LN; CCOLA TI; PEO PW; TXT PW; EME Macro/Strategy Week...

HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...

Can Demir ... (+2)
  • Can Demir
  • Miguel Dias

Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD)

We have downgraded Lion Finance Group (BGEO) to HOLD, with a new price target (PT) of GBP 79.4. BGEO trades at 5.8x 2025E P/E and 1.5x P/TBV, which we see as fair, following a 114% USD return over the last 12M, and 566% over the past three years. After such a good earnings cycle, which leveraged on a superb macro backdrop, we see limited upside risk on our EPS forecasts and assumptions for the group’s long-term earnings power (ROTEs of 27% for Georgia and 22% for Armenia). We calculate that most...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SOLUTION AB; TBCG LN; ALARABIA AB; JAHEZ AB; CAR PW; ACAG ...

HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: balance of risks to the upside (upgraded to BUY) • TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: weak 2Q25 financial results, with significant pressure on the EBITDA margin NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth accelerates marginally, to 11% yoy NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 1H25E earnings preview (due on 28 August)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CDR PW; PZU PW; MOL HB; ELPE GA; NLBR SV; CCC PW; AKCNS TI...

HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: opening the next chapter (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: CEO Klesyk dismissed NEGATIVE • MOL: 2Q25 results hit by one-off charge NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • NLB Group: material bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mainly to provisions and impairments released POSITIVE • CCC: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 1-5%, on the top line POSITIVE • Akcansa: 2Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Brisa: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Cimsa:...

Maria Mickiewicz ... (+3)
  • Maria Mickiewicz
  • Piotr Raciborski
  • CFA

CD Projekt: opening the next chapter (upgraded to BUY)

We have upgraded CD Projekt (CDR) to BUY (from Sell), and increased our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 289 (from PLN 157), which offers 17% potential upside. So far, CDR has proven successful in filling the “gap” years with surprising content and attractive newsflow. With a sound performance from the back catalogue and some new, undisclosed projects, we believe that CDR could continue this way through to 2027E, when we assume The Witcher 4 release, opening a new chapter. The supportive newsflow ar...

MBank S.A.: 1 director

A director at MBank S.A. sold 671 shares at 874.850PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 61/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALR PW; RICHT HB; ASELS TI; THYAO TI; ISCTR TI; CIMSA TI; ...

HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...

Clément Genelot
  • Clément Genelot

Jeronimo Martins: H2 outlook pointing to slower recovery in Polish vol...

Following an ok-ish Q2 print (below css/slightly ahead of SFe on Biedronka LfL) and a cautious outlook for Biedronka LfL over H2, we foresee a slower recovery in Polish volumes. Buy reiterated with a €25 PT vs. €26 previously as we continue to see a rerating path from c.17x to >20x 12m fwd P/E,

Steven Gould
  • Steven Gould
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