reports
Eurobank Ergasias Services And Holdings: 1 director
A director at Eurobank Ergasias Services And Holdings sold 9,823 shares at 2.130EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the ...
Alpha Services and Holdings S.A: 1 director
A director at Alpha Services and Holdings S.A sold 30,000 shares at 1.695EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last tw...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Solid Q1 leaves upside skew to FY24e; Buy
Q1 Results Beat Estimates – Greek banks kicked off the year with strong Q1 results, with adj. net profit remaining flat qoq at €1.26bn and soaring 45% yoy exceeding both our and consensus estimates by >10%, as a result of resilient NII and lower-than-expected underlying CoR (at 64bps vs EEe of 77bps). In more detail, sector-wide NII surged 15.5% yoy in Q1 (NIM +42bps), slipping just 2.6% qoq (NIM down by 8bps) after a record-breaking Q4’23, in line with our estimates, with Eurobank showing the m...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Solid Q1 leaves upside skew to FY24e; Buy
Q1 Results Beat Estimates – Greek banks kicked off the year with strong Q1 results, with adj. net profit remaining flat qoq at €1.26bn and soaring 45% yoy exceeding both our and consensus estimates by >10%, as a result of resilient NII and lower-than-expected underlying CoR (at 64bps vs EEe of 77bps). In more detail, sector-wide NII surged 15.5% yoy in Q1 (NIM +42bps), slipping just 2.6% qoq (NIM down by 8bps) after a record-breaking Q4’23, in line with our estimates, with Eurobank showing the m...
- Pedro Fonseca
Alpha Bank - Q1 beat, buy-back proposal
Alpha Bank’s Q124 profit after tax reached a record €211m, up by 90% y-o-y, 75% q-o-q and 8% above consensus. The beat was driven by better trading gains and impairment losses, with net interest income (NII) and operating expenses largely in line. Adjusted return on tangible equity (RoTE) was 13.5%, ahead of the full-year target of 13%. Alpha also announced a change in proposed FY23 profit distribution. The previously indicated €0.05 dividend (€122m distribution) is now proposed to be split 50:5...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CGEO LN; ELPE GA; GPW PW; BOCH CY; ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; BFT...
HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: announces two new buyback programmes POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q24 results – mildly above expectations POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line miss and further margin compression in the 1Q24 results NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q24 highlights POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q24 highlights – trading-related beat, but NIM and fees evolve better than expected • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q24 highlights – helped by trading income, but good quarter ove...
KRKG KRKA D.D.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
4IG 4IG NYRT
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
- Philip Wong
Alpha IVF Group (ALPHA MK) - Bringing Alhaya To Life
Bringing Alhaya To Life Alpha IVF’s new fertility centre Alhaya exhibits early promising signs. Fully operational and equipped with its own lab, operations have already turned profitable within its first month of operations amid minimal marketing activity. Commercial success has been matched with operational success rates. The latter is critical to Alpha IVF replicating its best practices to its wider regional growth ambitions. Maintain BUY and target price of RM0.40.
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Leow Huey Chuen
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Philip Wong
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, May 15, 2024
INDONESIA Update Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF IJ/BUY/Rp6,175/Target: Rp9,600): Steady growth at attractive valuation. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Gloves: Tariff hike announced by US authorities on China’s medical-grade gloves beginning 2026 is poised to revitalise investors’ sentiment. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Heineken Malaysia (HEIM MK/BUY/RM23.68/Target: RM29.20): 1Q24: Within expectations. Earnings saw a seasonal boom following the CNY celebrations. Maintain BUY with a higher target pr...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...
EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CTPNV NA; GE Macro; RBI AV; AIRA LI; TPEIR GA; ALK MS; ETE...
HEADLINES: • CTP: better late than never (upgraded to BUY) • Georgia macro: protests in Tbilisi • Raiffeisen Bank International: posts solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance (but only on ex. Russia and Belarus basis), facing huge pressure to address Russia and Belarus exposures from officials • Air Astana Group: 1Q24 – 15% ASK growth, RASK down slightly yoy, but CASK stable • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 1Q24 highlights NEUTRAL • Alkaloid: 1Q24 numbers a strong start to the year POSITIVE • National Ban...
- Can Demir
WOOD Flash - National Bank of Greece: 1Q24 highlights
NBG has reported EUR 358m in net income in 1Q24, with a 9% beat vs. the EUR 328m consensus. On a one-off adjusted basis, NBG’s EUR 380m net income from continuing operations is an 11% beat vs. the consensus (EUR 343m). The beat was due mainly to trading and other income (EUR 60m actual vs. the EUR 35m consensus). There is also a small EUR 10m beat in the core revenues (NII+fees). Overall, we see this as a decent quarter, particularly from the point of view of the capital generation. The bank add...
- Can Demir
WOOD Flash - Piraeus Financial Holdings: 1Q24 highlights
Piraeus has posted 1Q24 net income figures of EUR 233m and EUR 279m in reported and normalised terms, respectively. This indicates a 3% miss on the reported net income consensus (EUR 239m) and a 5% miss on the normalised net income consensus (EUR 295m). The miss was mainly revenue-driven, where other operating income/loss lines brought in a EUR 67m setback in the quarter, EUR 43m of which was related to the expenses associated with the HFSF stake sale. At first look, 1Q24 seems to have left us w...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Valuation remains out of sync with sustainable RoTEs
March underperformance sparked repositioning opportunity; risk-reward compelling – Greek bank shares had a strong start to 2024 (until Feb) closing the valuation gap vs EU periphery peers buoyed by the stellar 2023 profits (adj. RoTE of c16%), successful B/S de-risking (NPE ratio c4%) and improved market liquidity post HFSF’s placements. However, in March they suffered a bout of underperformance (>15%), with the relative 2024e P/TBV discount widening to c20% (and the P/E discount even higher) on...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Valuation remains out of sync with sustainable RoTEs
March underperformance sparked repositioning opportunity; risk-reward compelling – Greek bank shares had a strong start to 2024 (until Feb) closing the valuation gap vs EU periphery peers buoyed by the stellar 2023 profits (adj. RoTE of c16%), successful B/S de-risking (NPE ratio c4%) and improved market liquidity post HFSF’s placements. However, in March they suffered a bout of underperformance (>15%), with the relative 2024e P/TBV discount widening to c20% (and the P/E discount even higher) on...
- Philip Wong
Alpha IVF Group (ALPHA MK) - 3QFY24: Expected Sequential Recovery As E...
3QFY24: Expected Sequential Recovery As Earnings Meet Expectations Performance improved sequentially due to fewer doctors being on long leave. It is even more impressive given that the quarter is a seasonal low. Ultimately, earnings are within our expectations. The quarters ahead should grow from strength to strength, starting with Alhaya. We like Alpha IVF for its industry-leading success rates, growth off a low base, and superior margins relative to its peers. Maintain BUY. Target price: RM0.4...
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Ceilica Su Rui
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Philip Wong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, April 17, 2024
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: 1Q24 surprises with 5.3% yoy growth. Sector Hong Kong Property: Expect modest pull-back of primary sales in 2Q24; we prefer retail landlords over developers. Top pick: Wharf REIC. INDONESIA Sector Consumer: Cocoa price spikes accompanied by increases in sugar and coffee prices. MALAYSIA Initiate Coverage Sime Darby (SIME MK/BUY/RM2.76/Target: RM3.13): A conglomerate giant speeding to the top. Results Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.34/Target: RM0.40): 3QF...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; ETE GA; TPEIR GA; CPS PW; PKN PW; ING ...
HEADLINES: • Greek banks: life after the windfall (Alpha, Eurobank, NBG and Piraeus – transfer of coverage) • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orlen: announces PLN 1.6bn of probable trading losses NEGATIVE • ING BSK: AGM approves PLN 33.35 DPS NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: partners with Mytilineos for 2GW solar portfolio NEUTRAL • InPost: PPF realises option to buy 10% stake • ONE United Properties: founders and others selling up to 9.5% in ABB • PKO BP: ...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
INPST INPOST S.A.
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
- Can Demir
- Miguel Dias
Greek Banks: life after the windfall (Alpha, Eurobank, NBG and Piraeus...
We are revisiting and transferring coverage of the Greek banks. We estimate their earnings to plateau, and their ROTEs to normalise in 2024-26E, as the market expects short-term Euribor rates to decline. Capital and liquidity gain importance as there is less easy money. The emphasis will be on optimising balance sheets, returning capital, and minimising funding costs relative to Euribor. We like National Bank of Greece (NBG; BUY) for its profitability, simplicity, and potential to return capital...
- Philip Wong
Alpha IVF Group (ALPHA MK) - Fertilising Alpha Growth
Fertilising Alpha Growth A distinguished fertility group, Alpha IVF is poised to extend its established footprint into neighbouring countries. Strategic expansion into underserved markets and segments, alongside favourable industry trends, fuels our projected three-year earnings growth at an impressive three-year CAGR of 19.0% (FY23-36). Its margins surpass those of its peers, showcasing Alpha IVF’s leading capabilities and execution. Initiate coverage with BUY and target price of RM0.40.
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Jonathan Koh
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Philip Wong
- Sunny Chen
Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, April 09, 2024
GREATER CHINA Update Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK/BUY/HK$2.83/Target: HK$3.80): Enters into strategic partnership with Boehringer Ingelheim. MALAYSIA Initiate Coverage Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.33/Target: RM0.40): Initiate coverage on Alpha IVF with a BUY call. Alpha IVF offers industry-leading success rates, which are expected to be replicated across its exciting regional expansion. SINGAPORE Sector Banking: Higher for slightly longer. THAILAND Update CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt56.00/Target...
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