reports
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Solid Q1 leaves upside skew to FY24e; Buy
Q1 Results Beat Estimates – Greek banks kicked off the year with strong Q1 results, with adj. net profit remaining flat qoq at €1.26bn and soaring 45% yoy exceeding both our and consensus estimates by >10%, as a result of resilient NII and lower-than-expected underlying CoR (at 64bps vs EEe of 77bps). In more detail, sector-wide NII surged 15.5% yoy in Q1 (NIM +42bps), slipping just 2.6% qoq (NIM down by 8bps) after a record-breaking Q4’23, in line with our estimates, with Eurobank showing the m...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Solid Q1 leaves upside skew to FY24e; Buy
Q1 Results Beat Estimates – Greek banks kicked off the year with strong Q1 results, with adj. net profit remaining flat qoq at €1.26bn and soaring 45% yoy exceeding both our and consensus estimates by >10%, as a result of resilient NII and lower-than-expected underlying CoR (at 64bps vs EEe of 77bps). In more detail, sector-wide NII surged 15.5% yoy in Q1 (NIM +42bps), slipping just 2.6% qoq (NIM down by 8bps) after a record-breaking Q4’23, in line with our estimates, with Eurobank showing the m...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PZU PW; WPL PW; PPC GA; HSBK LI; CEZ CP; KMGZ KZ; GPP PW; ...
HEADLINES: • PZU: posts solid 1Q24, confirming growth trends in the non-life segment; strategy from new management update due in 4Q24E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: 1Q24 EBITDA jumps, but bottom line disappoints NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: 1Q24 highlights and notes from the conference call NEUTRAL • CEZ: proposes CZK 52 DPS from the 2023 earnings NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: Board recommends KZT 491....
- Pedro Fonseca
Alpha Bank - Q1 beat, buy-back proposal
Alpha Bank’s Q124 profit after tax reached a record €211m, up by 90% y-o-y, 75% q-o-q and 8% above consensus. The beat was driven by better trading gains and impairment losses, with net interest income (NII) and operating expenses largely in line. Adjusted return on tangible equity (RoTE) was 13.5%, ahead of the full-year target of 13%. Alpha also announced a change in proposed FY23 profit distribution. The previously indicated €0.05 dividend (€122m distribution) is now proposed to be split 50:5...
Eurobank Ergasias Services And Holdings: 1 director
A director at Eurobank Ergasias Services And Holdings sold 10,000 shares at 2.140EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...
- Egor Fedorov
- James Wilson
EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly
After some relief for markets on the data front this week, a period of quiet in terms of macro news should offer a further window for new supply to come from EM issuers ahead of an expected summer lull. Spread levels remain well anchored and EM credit should continue to see robust demand from yield-seeking investors.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CGEO LN; ELPE GA; GPW PW; BOCH CY; ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; BFT...
HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: announces two new buyback programmes POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q24 results – mildly above expectations POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line miss and further margin compression in the 1Q24 results NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q24 highlights POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q24 highlights – trading-related beat, but NIM and fees evolve better than expected • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q24 highlights – helped by trading income, but good quarter ove...
KRKG KRKA D.D.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
4IG 4IG NYRT
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
- Jerôme Bodin
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/15/2024 Date Performance sin...
With 71% of the companies in the Stoxx 600 having released their Q1 2024 results, the picture at this stage is encouraging, with 58% of positive surprises on results. Materials and financials were the sectors that delivered the most positive surprises. If the Q4 2023 earnings season put an end to a downward revision of EPS, the Q1 2024 earnings season has triggered the start of an upward EPS revision, more markedly in the US than in Europe. In terms of sectors, re-rating effects conti...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
TNG TRANSGENE SA
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
TRI TRIGANO SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
WLN WORLDLINE SA
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
NHH NH HOTEL GROUP SA
CGG CGG
BSGR B&S GROUP S.A.
MEDCL MEDINCELL SA
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
INPST INPOST S.A.
NA9 NAGARRO
HGEA HGEARS AG
TUI TUI AG
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
ORP ORPEA
- Jerôme Bodin
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 15/05/2024 Date Performance dep...
Alors que 71% des sociétés du Stoxx 600 ont publié, le bilan est à ce stade positif avec 58% de surprises positives sur les résultats. Matériaux et Financières sont les secteurs ayant apporté le plus de surprises positives. Le consensus – qui avait stoppé sa baisse durant les publications T4-23, est désormais reparti à la hausse, plus nettement aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe. Sectoriellement, les effets de rerating ont continué de dominer les révisions de BPA. - ...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
TNG TRANSGENE SA
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
TRI TRIGANO SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
WLN WORLDLINE SA
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
NHH NH HOTEL GROUP SA
CGG CGG
BSGR B&S GROUP S.A.
MEDCL MEDINCELL SA
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
INPST INPOST S.A.
NA9 NAGARRO
HGEA HGEARS AG
TUI TUI AG
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
ORP ORPEA
- Stefano Toffano
- Wim Gille
InPost : Continuing to deliver
>Another good set of results - InPost published yet another good set of results, with good progress on almost all KPIs. Group parcel volumes grew +22.1% yoy (ccs and AAOBe +21.8%), which, combined with continued benefits from the repricing of contracts, pushed group revenues up +21.5% yoy (+25.6% excl. FX, ccs +22.3%). InPost was able to continue to generate operating leverage, expanding the group’s adj. EBITDA margin by +3.4ppt yoy to 31.3% (ccs 30.1%, AAOBe 31.2%). ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GSPARK HB; SFG RO; H2O RO; DIGI RO; AROBS RO; PG...
HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
- Philip Wong
Alpha IVF Group (ALPHA MK) - Bringing Alhaya To Life
Bringing Alhaya To Life Alpha IVF’s new fertility centre Alhaya exhibits early promising signs. Fully operational and equipped with its own lab, operations have already turned profitable within its first month of operations amid minimal marketing activity. Commercial success has been matched with operational success rates. The latter is critical to Alpha IVF replicating its best practices to its wider regional growth ambitions. Maintain BUY and target price of RM0.40.
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Leow Huey Chuen
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Philip Wong
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, May 15, 2024
INDONESIA Update Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF IJ/BUY/Rp6,175/Target: Rp9,600): Steady growth at attractive valuation. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Gloves: Tariff hike announced by US authorities on China’s medical-grade gloves beginning 2026 is poised to revitalise investors’ sentiment. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Heineken Malaysia (HEIM MK/BUY/RM23.68/Target: RM29.20): 1Q24: Within expectations. Earnings saw a seasonal boom following the CNY celebrations. Maintain BUY with a higher target pr...
ING Bank Śląski S.A.: 1 director
A director at ING Bank Śląski S.A. sold 937 shares at 302.500PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...
HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...
MOL MOL NYRT
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CCC CCC SA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
4IG 4IG NYRT
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
- Egor Fedorov
- James Wilson
- Oleksiy Soroka
- CFA
EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly
Some signs of cooling economic data out of the US, and the start of DM rate-cutting cycles has offered some optimism for EM assets, with the grind tighter in credit spreads continuing as seen for much of this year. We expect the benign environment to offer further opportunities for new issuance, while spread levels look fairly tight.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PKO PW; KRU PW; BHW PW; NLBR SV; PGSUS TI; ADNOCDIS UH; CT...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: strong 1Q24, with 9% beat, but big part due to lower quarterly tax charge POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q24 results in line with earlier communication; strong trend continues, but digested by the market already NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: books neutral 1Q24, questions on future capital management NEUTRAL • NLB Group: guidance upgrade spices up vanilla 1Q24 bottom-line beat POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 in line, guidance for mild margin compression and 10-12% ASK growth maintained NEUTR...
KRU KRUK S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
CTPNV CTP NV
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...
HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating
Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.
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