EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: 4Q25 review – net profit up 4.5x yoy, in line with the consensus; 2026 backlog up 19% yoy NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 4Q25 numbers fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kety: preliminary 1Q26 EBITDA and net profit above our expectations POSITIVE • PGE: decent 4Q25 preliminary results (adjusted recurring EBITDA 17% above expectations), distorted by one-offs POSITIVE • Tauron: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: announces tender to acquire own...
HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY) • Zabka: beat in 4Q25; FY26E guidance of continued rapid expansion and stable profitability POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q25 results review – beat related to other operating income and income tax POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 4Q25E preview – 16% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 April) • LPP: 4Q25E results preview – 32% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 4Q25 above our expectations, backlog in line, materi...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: 4Q25 – below both our and the consensus estimates • Bank Pekao: management proposes PLN 19.77 DPS • PGE: URE orders PLN 605m payment to the Price Difference Payment Fund NEUTRAL • OPAP: online competition in Greece set to intensify as Superbet preps market entry NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT on hold, as expected
HEADLINES: • European Oil and Gas Monthly: February 2026 – trouble brewing in Hormuz • EME Macro/Strategy: Hungary – the Tisza policy programme • cyber_Folks: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 72% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Shoper: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 14% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 3% above our expectations POSITIVE • Vercom: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 25% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: outlook imp...
HEADLINES: • Synektik: healthcare play, with multiple tailwinds (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EEMEA macro: early takes on the Iran conflict • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 21.21%, while WP TV at 0.51% in February 2026 NEUTRAL • Primoco UAV: EUR 4m order for Spanish Guardia Civil POSITIVE • Richter: acquires WHC discovery portfolio of Celmatix NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: acquisition of six minority stakes and sale of stake in ...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • Turkish food retailers: resilient in transition (BIM and Migros stay BUY, Sok Marketler stays HOLD) • Budimex: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with the January guidance NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25E results preview – adjusted EBITDA expected to grow by 13% yoy (due on 12 March) NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB delivers long-awaited rate cut • Richter: 4Q25E preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H25 results at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 4Q25E...
HEADLINES: • NLB Group: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • Polish banks: CJEU rules on WIBOR case, in line with the General Attorney's opinion, issued on 11 September 2025 NEUTRAL • DataWalk: issues shares worth PLN 116.3m POSITIVE • Allegro: changes in MOV are negative for lockers NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 2026-29 incentive programme net profit condition set at PLN 5.0bn NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 4Q25E preview – 11% yoy organic net profit growth expected (due on 31 March) • OPAP: Al...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • OPAP: waiving of the 5% exit threshold paves the way for the Allwyn merger NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 4Q25E – 4% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 18 February) • Bank Pekao: 4Q25E preview (due on 19 February) • Bank Handlowy: 4Q25E preview (due on 17 March) • MONETA Money Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 3 February) • Komercni Banka: 4Q25E preview (due on 6 February)
HEADLINES: • Dom Development: sells 4.4k apartments in 2025, an all-time high POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to add PLN 487m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Polish banks: Puls Biznesu on M&A in the Polish banking sector • Titan: Titan America enters agreement to acquire Keystone Cement Company POSITIVE • OPAP: Allwyn merger passes EGM; focus shifts to 9 February exit-right deadline NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 2025 sales +7%, to EUR 1.23bn, as expected; declares EUR 0.50 special DPS NEUTRAL • Turk...
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
We discontinue our coverage of the following stocks, with immediate effect: PCF Group Patria Bank Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising Jahez Sipchem Gentoo Media We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks.
HEADLINES: • LPP: profitable growth (stays BUY) • Premier Energy: M&A-driven growth on track (upgraded to BUY) • Polish telecoms: Revolut enters the Polish mobile market NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 2H25 in line with guidance; FY26 EBITDA and earnings growth guidance of 9%+ and 25%+, 2025-30E EBTDA CAGR of 9%+ POSITIVE • CEZ: cabinet approves step to lower utility bills NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB softens its hawkish tone • OPAP: EGM for merger with Alwyn set for 7 January; preference shares scrapped...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets have repriced • Text: 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – EBITDA down 29% yoy, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: strong 3Q25 beat on EBITDA and net profit, following the strong gross margin and cost discipline POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q25 results review – 3Q25 EBITDA up 92% yoy, 11-15% above our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • PGE: stable to declining recurring EBITDA outlook for 2026E NEUTRAL • H...
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