Stay Defensive We downgraded our global (MSCI ACWI) near-term outlook to neutral in our 3/17/26 Int'l Macro Vision, following ACWI-US breaking below $141.50 support. The bottom line is that we do not see the S&P 500 (SPX) or MSCI ACWI breaking out to new highs – at least not until we see more downside first. The growing list of concerns that we have discussed since early-February remains a problem for global equities -- notably global Energy (IXC-US) leading, with defensive Sectors Consumer Sta...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Buys Within Global Energy, Health Care, and Utilities Global growth stocks that have significantly outperformed since the October 2023 lows are starting to pull back, and we believe a continued pause/pullback is likely in these growth areas. Meanwhile, we are seeing a clear shift into value and defensives, and we recommend adding exposure to these areas. This type of Sector rotation is common during bull markets, as various areas of the market get their turn to shine. Reasons We Remain Bullish...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
BAM: 3Q beats and BAM raises FY outlook. Belgian telcos: Peer Telenet 3Q23 results. Euronav: Outlook not as strong as 3Q23 thus far. Lotus Bakeries: Mondelez International 3Q23 results. Shell plc: In line 3Q23, share buyback +$1bn. Van Lanschot Kempen: Net inflows in 3Q, sale to generate €23m book gain in 4Q. Vopak: Feedback from CMD
We continue to be positive on Shell after its capital markets day on 14 June. In our view headed by the new CEO Wael Sawan there will be more focus on better performance, more discipline while also further steps will be taken on its portfolio. We think it will support Shell's performance, especially vs peers. We also find the expansion of shareholders' remuneration to be positive. At the same time, Shell's multiples have an undemanding average EV/EBITDA23-25F of 3.4x and a marginal premium to it...
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