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ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Olav Bakke
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Olav Bakke
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Olav Bakke
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Olav Bakke
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Petter Haugen
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Another abrupt change

The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Himalaya Shipping (Hold, TP: NOK63.00) - Added cushion into better mar...

We have made slight positive estimate revisions following recent rate movements and the announcement of fixed rates for two of its vessels. Furthermore, last night’s private placement and ~USD15m of added liquidity sets the company up well for a constructive long-term backdrop in the sector. Hence, we believe the risk/reward looks more balanced, and have upgraded to HOLD (SELL), and have raised our target price to NOK63 (51).

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

‘The times they are a-changin’

The recurring theme at our 18th Energy & Shipping Conference was geopolitical uncertainty and a potential trade war, warranting a wait-and-see approach, particularly on the Trump 2.0 effect. The consensus view pointed to high asset values, with no rush to the yards, aligning with below-NAV valuations across most of our coverage. However, panellists generally saw less downside risk than the 25% average discount to steel for our Tanker, Dry Bulk and Gas coverage. Overall, the day highlighted uncer...

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Himalaya Shipping (Sell, TP: NOK51.00) - No imminent relief

We still see challenging fundamentals for dry bulk near-term and forecast the benchmark Capesize spot rate to remain below the company’s Capesize equivalent cash break-even rate for H1. Hence, we see limited dividend potential over the same period, coupled with downside risk to elevated asset valuations (24% downside risk to a 5-year-old Capesize on historical multiples). Thus, we believe risk remains skewed to the downside. We reiterate our SELL, but have raised our target price to NOK51 (45) o...

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
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