reports
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
Another abrupt change
The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD.
MAERSK B A.P. MOLLER - MAERSK A/S CLASS B
ODF ODFJELL ASA
WAWI WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN LOGISTICS ASA
WWI WILHELM WILHELMSEN HOLDING
SBLK STAR BULK CARRIERS CORP.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
AMSC AMERICAN SHIPPING COMPANY ASA
SN6 STOLT-NIELSEN LTD.
BWLPG BW LPG LTD.
GOGLO GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD
AVACF AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD
HUNT HUNTER GROUP ASA
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
FLNG FLEX LNG LTD.
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
2020 2020 BULKERS LTD
KCC KLAVENESS COMBINATION CARRIERS
EGLE EAGLE BULK SHIPPING
MPCC MPC CONTAINER SHIPS AS
HAUTO HOEGH AUTOLINERS ASA
WEST WESTERN BULK CHARTERING
HAFNI HAFNIA
COOL COOL COMPANY LTD.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
- Jørgen Lian
Himalaya Shipping (Hold, TP: NOK63.00) - Added cushion into better mar...
We have made slight positive estimate revisions following recent rate movements and the announcement of fixed rates for two of its vessels. Furthermore, last night’s private placement and ~USD15m of added liquidity sets the company up well for a constructive long-term backdrop in the sector. Hence, we believe the risk/reward looks more balanced, and have upgraded to HOLD (SELL), and have raised our target price to NOK63 (51).
- Jørgen Lian
‘The times they are a-changin’
The recurring theme at our 18th Energy & Shipping Conference was geopolitical uncertainty and a potential trade war, warranting a wait-and-see approach, particularly on the Trump 2.0 effect. The consensus view pointed to high asset values, with no rush to the yards, aligning with below-NAV valuations across most of our coverage. However, panellists generally saw less downside risk than the 25% average discount to steel for our Tanker, Dry Bulk and Gas coverage. Overall, the day highlighted uncer...
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD.
MAERSK B A.P. MOLLER - MAERSK A/S CLASS B
ODF ODFJELL ASA
WAWI WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN LOGISTICS ASA
WWI WILHELM WILHELMSEN HOLDING
SBLK STAR BULK CARRIERS CORP.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
AMSC AMERICAN SHIPPING COMPANY ASA
SN6 STOLT-NIELSEN LTD.
BWLPG BW LPG LTD.
GOGLO GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD
AVACF AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD
HUNT HUNTER GROUP ASA
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
FLNG FLEX LNG LTD.
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
2020 2020 BULKERS LTD
KCC KLAVENESS COMBINATION CARRIERS
EGLE EAGLE BULK SHIPPING
MPCC MPC CONTAINER SHIPS AS
HAUTO HOEGH AUTOLINERS ASA
WEST WESTERN BULK CHARTERING
HAFNI HAFNIA
COOL COOL COMPANY LTD.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
PMT PENNYMAC MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST
BKD BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC.
WBA WALGREENS BOOTS ALLIANCE INC
PLOW DOUGLAS DYNAMICS INC.
NSP INSPERITY INC.
NEU NEWMARKET CORPORATION
MDLZ MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
HSY HERSHEY COMPANY
DLTR DOLLAR TREE INC.
BMRN BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC.
BAX BAXTER INTERNATIONAL INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
CYH COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC.
LKO LAKES OIL N.L.
AWK AMERICAN WATER WORKS COMPANY INC.
CWT CALIFORNIA WATER SERVICE GROUP
TNC TENNANT COMPANY
NGVT INGEVITY CORPORATION
KALV KALVISTA PHARMACEUTICALS
SSTI SHOTSPOTTER
VIAC VIACOMCBS INC. CLASS B
STTK SHATTUCK LABS
CSTM CONSTELLIUM SE CLASS A
LUNG PULMONX
BBWI BATH & BODY WORKS INC
UWMC UWM HLDGS CORP
UDMY UDEMY INC
AMGN AMGEN INC
NYMT NEW YORK MORTGAGE TRUST INC.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
PCH PICOMAT PLASTIC JSC
- Jørgen Lian
Himalaya Shipping (Sell, TP: NOK51.00) - No imminent relief
We still see challenging fundamentals for dry bulk near-term and forecast the benchmark Capesize spot rate to remain below the company’s Capesize equivalent cash break-even rate for H1. Hence, we see limited dividend potential over the same period, coupled with downside risk to elevated asset valuations (24% downside risk to a 5-year-old Capesize on historical multiples). Thus, we believe risk remains skewed to the downside. We reiterate our SELL, but have raised our target price to NOK51 (45) o...
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD.
MAERSK B A.P. MOLLER - MAERSK A/S CLASS B
ODF ODFJELL ASA
WAWI WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN LOGISTICS ASA
WWI WILHELM WILHELMSEN HOLDING
SBLK STAR BULK CARRIERS CORP.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
AMSC AMERICAN SHIPPING COMPANY ASA
SN6 STOLT-NIELSEN LTD.
BWLPG BW LPG LTD.
GOGLO GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD
AVACF AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD
HUNT HUNTER GROUP ASA
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
FLNG FLEX LNG LTD.
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
2020 2020 BULKERS LTD
KCC KLAVENESS COMBINATION CARRIERS
EGLE EAGLE BULK SHIPPING
MPCC MPC CONTAINER SHIPS AS
HAUTO HOEGH AUTOLINERS ASA
WEST WESTERN BULK CHARTERING
HAFNI HAFNIA
COOL COOL COMPANY LTD.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
- Jørgen Lian
Himalaya Shipping (Sell, TP: NOK45.00) - Navigating rough seas
While the share price is down ~30% since mid-November, alleviating the majority of downside risk, we find the remaining risk still skewed towards the downside. This is due to: 1) the company’s high leverage amid deteriorating asset values; 2) our ~1% dividend yield for H1e; 3) increased LNG costs hurting the value of its dual fuel propulsion; and 4) an overly optimistic consensus. Hence, we reiterate our SELL and have cut our target price to NOK45 (64).
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
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