Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt et de l’inflation devrait créer un climat plus favorable à l’investissement et permettre aux sociétés immobilières de poursuivre la mise en œuvre de leur feuille de route tout en faisant preuve de prudence. Dans ce contexte, le commerce et la logistique nous semblent les mieux positionnés et nous privilégions CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW, VGP comme les plus à même d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance su...
With stabilising interest rates and inflation creating a more favourable climate for investment, the stocks in our coverage universe should be able to continue to implement their roadmaps, while remaining cautious. On this basis, we think retail and logistics are the best positioned, and see CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW and VGP as the best placed to execute their growth strategies. We are upgrading WDP, Safestore and Instone, to Outperform, downgrading Big Yellow, Colonial-SFL, INEA, L...
Notre 29ième Forum vient de se dérouler (8 et 9 janvier) à Lyon. Il a réuni 222 sociétés. L’édition 2026 de ce Forum a accueilli près de 500 investisseurs, travaillant pour environ 200 institutions de 13 pays. Nous avons ainsi organisé l’équivalent de 5 300 investors meetings. Ce document synthétise nos feed-back concernant les émetteurs obligataires présents.
Air France-KLM was back into the bond market last week through the issuance of a € 650m (upsized from € 500m) 5Y bond priced at MS+150bps (i.e. a yield of 4.0%), which is below the price guidance (MS+155bps) and significantly tighter than the IPT (MS+190bps). Proceeds from the transaction will be used for general corporate purposes namely to refinance debt due in 2026. While the overall transaction is net leverage neutral, AF-KLM will see its annual interest payments reduce by c.€ 12m once the M...
Air France-KLM was back into the bond market last week through the issuance of a € 650m (upsized from € 500m) 5Y bond priced at MS+150bps (i.e. a yield of 4.0%), which is below the price guidance (MS+155bps) and significantly tighter than the IPT (MS+190bps). Proceeds from the transaction will be used for general corporate purposes namely to refinance debt due in 2026. While the overall transaction is net leverage neutral, AF-KLM will see its annual interest payments reduce by c.€ 12m once the M...
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