La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt et de l’inflation devrait créer un climat plus favorable à l’investissement et permettre aux sociétés immobilières de poursuivre la mise en œuvre de leur feuille de route tout en faisant preuve de prudence. Dans ce contexte, le commerce et la logistique nous semblent les mieux positionnés et nous privilégions CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW, VGP comme les plus à même d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance su...
With stabilising interest rates and inflation creating a more favourable climate for investment, the stocks in our coverage universe should be able to continue to implement their roadmaps, while remaining cautious. On this basis, we think retail and logistics are the best positioned, and see CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW and VGP as the best placed to execute their growth strategies. We are upgrading WDP, Safestore and Instone, to Outperform, downgrading Big Yellow, Colonial-SFL, INEA, L...
We reiterate our BUY rating but raise our target price from €35.0 to €43.0 driven by our increased estimates on the back of the strong membership momentum and the consolidation of Clever Fit, which in our view provides attractive upside potential. Note that we have not yet modelled in the potential savings from a change in business model for the 24/7 gyms in France, but we did include the VAT increase in Belgium. We also underline that BFIT remains on the ING Benelux Favourites list.
The maturity profile of high-yield debt in the retail and personal & household goods (PHG) sectors shows a total of around € 5bn in maturities in 2026 and 2027, for which we expect a moderate € 3.5bn to € 4bn in conventional refinancing. However, a major wave of early refinancing of longer-dated notes could very well come onto the primary market this year in order to benefit from lower interest rates and spreads. Most of these bonds, issued in 2023-24 with high coupons, can be called from 2026 a...
L’échéancier de la dette high yield des secteurs Retail et Personal & Household goods (PHG) fait apparaitre un total d’environ 5 mds EUR de tombées obligataires en 2026 et 2027 au sein duquel nous attendons un montant modéré de 3,5 à 4 mds EUR de refinancements conventionnels. Toutefois, une vague importante de refinancements anticipés de maturités plus longues pourrait tout à fait venir s’inviter dans l’activité primaire cette année afin de profiter de la baisse des taux et des spreads depuis d...
Notre 29ième Forum vient de se dérouler (8 et 9 janvier) à Lyon. Il a réuni 222 sociétés. L’édition 2026 de ce Forum a accueilli près de 500 investisseurs, travaillant pour environ 200 institutions de 13 pays. Nous avons ainsi organisé l’équivalent de 5 300 investors meetings. Ce document synthétise nos feed-back concernant les émetteurs obligataires présents.
Air France-KLM was back into the bond market last week through the issuance of a € 650m (upsized from € 500m) 5Y bond priced at MS+150bps (i.e. a yield of 4.0%), which is below the price guidance (MS+155bps) and significantly tighter than the IPT (MS+190bps). Proceeds from the transaction will be used for general corporate purposes namely to refinance debt due in 2026. While the overall transaction is net leverage neutral, AF-KLM will see its annual interest payments reduce by c.€ 12m once the M...
Air France-KLM was back into the bond market last week through the issuance of a € 650m (upsized from € 500m) 5Y bond priced at MS+150bps (i.e. a yield of 4.0%), which is below the price guidance (MS+155bps) and significantly tighter than the IPT (MS+190bps). Proceeds from the transaction will be used for general corporate purposes namely to refinance debt due in 2026. While the overall transaction is net leverage neutral, AF-KLM will see its annual interest payments reduce by c.€ 12m once the M...
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