GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
ADVANC's 1Q25 net profit is projected to rise 14% yoy and 4% qoq to Bt9.76b, mainly on the back of revenue improvement and cost reduction. We estimate 1Q25 revenue at Bt55.4b (+4% yoy, -2% qoq), supported by the mobile and FBB businesses. EBITDA margin should be strong due to the high base of SG&A in 4Q24 brought about by increased performance-based staff costs, the impact of TTTBB consolidation, and provisions for obsolete assets. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt330.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Selective Buy On Individual Stocks We maintain our cautiously optimistic view on the Thai equities market in Apr 25. We decide to take profit on TFG and cut losses on CPALL and MAJOR. We also add ADVANC, BJC, and PTTEP. Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt281.00/Target: Bt330.00) Expect strong 1Q25 earnings on revenue improvement and cost reduction.
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Mar 25 GGR slightly above expectations. MALAYSIA Results Yinson Holdings (YNS MK/BUY/RM2.20/Target: RM3.15): FY25: FPSO income misses expectations against the lower income base as per its inaugural Enterprise Reporting, and higher-than-expected financing costs. Update IJM Corporation (IJM MK/BUY/RM2.10/Target: RM3.00): Prospects remain resilient with a robust pipeline of infrastructure and industrial contract flows. Maintain BUY and target price of RM3.00. SI...
ADVANC’s 4Q24 net profit of Bt9.3b is in line with our forecast but exceeds consensus by 5%. Net profit grew strongly (+32% yoy, +5% qoq), driven by higher revenue, improved gross margin and a lower SG&A-to-sales. The ARPU trend continued to rise qoq due to seasonal effects. 2024 full-year earnings totalled Bt35.0b (+32% yoy). We expect ADVANC’s earnings growth to continue in 2025. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt330.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt280.00/Target: Bt330.00) 4Q24: Results in line with our forecast but above consensus. Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB/BUY/Bt17.40/Target: Bt22.00) 4Q24: Results in line; impressive recovery momentum. SVI (SVI TB/BUY/Bt6.90/Target: Bt8.00) 4Q24: Earnings improve qoq and yoy, above expectations. Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.74/Target: Bt5.00...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Seasonal demand lifted downstream inflation. Update Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$36.25/Target: HK$52.00) Expects significant expansion in 2025; targeting revenue of Rmb20b in 2027. INDONESIA Results Bank Syariah Indonesia (BRIS IJ/BUY/Rp3,020/Target: Rp3,450) 2024: Net profit up 22%, above expectations; upgrade earnings forecasts. MALAYSIA...
ADVANC's core profit for 4Q24 is projected to rise 26% yoy and 5% qoq to Bt8.9b, in line with revenue and gross margin trends. Yoy revenue growth should be supported by the FBB, enterprise, and mobile businesses and qoq revenue growth should be driven by the handset subsidy business. EBITDA margin should also grow continuously yoy and qoq. We fine-tune 2024-25 earnings. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt330.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Shipping And Ports: Expect 2025 to be a volatile year, with several geopolitical and industrial events posing key uncertainties. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. BUY CSP, CMP and OOIL. INDONESIA Strategy 2024 JCI Return Analysis: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Strategy 1H25 Strategy: The FBMKLCI should again deliver energising returns in 2025, charged up mainly by domestic liquidity ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. Sector Aviation – China Airlines: 3Q24 earnings a slight miss; expect losses in seasonally weak 4Q24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Macau Gaming Oct 24 GGR up 7% yoy and...
ADVANC's net profit for 3Q24 came in at Bt8.8b, in line with our and market forecasts. Net profit increased yoy due to higher revenue and margin growth. Meanwhile, earnings was flat qoq, impacted by higher SG&A-to-sales. For its operations, mobile ARPU increased yoy, but was flat qoq due to the seasonal impact. EBITDA margin was stronger yoy due to to higher core service revenue from TTTBB’s contribution. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt310.00
ADVANC's core profit for 3Q24 is projected to rise 5% yoy but remain flat qoq at Bt8.5b, in line with revenue and gross margin trends. Yoy revenue growth should be supported by the FBB, enterprise, and mobile businesses. However, revenue is expected to remain flat qoq due to seasonal factors affecting ARPU, including a decrease in tourist numbers and lower spending on prepaid packages. We are reinitiating coverage with a BUY recommendation and a new target price of Bt310.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt267.00/Target: Bt310.00) Expect earnings to improve yoy but decline slightly qoq due to seasonality. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt136.50/Target: Bt160.00) 3Q24 net profit expected to decline due to higher unit cost.
GREATER CHINA Sector Metals And Mining Gold: Rally takes a breather; downside cushioned by escalating geopolitical tensions. INDONESIA Update Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/HOLD/Rp850/Target: Rp930) 2Q24: Revenue from non-tower business jumps 30% yoy. Downgrade to HOLD. MALAYSIA Strategy Budget 2025 Preview: Building Sustainable Growth While Budget 2025 is seen as market-neutral, it is suppor...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising The M&A And Monetisation Bets: Our Alpha Picks marginally beat the KLCI. Jul 24 picks: Ekovest, Gamu...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal amid share price pullback; eyes on interim dividend surprise. Sector Automobile ...
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