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Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - Expected To Continue Reporting Rob...

ADVANC's 2Q25 net profit is projected to rise 29% yoy and 5% qoq to Bt11.0b, mainly on strong revenue, robust gross margin, and low SG&A-to-sales. We estimate 2Q25 revenue at Bt57.9b (+13% yoy, +3% qoq), supported by core service revenue, especially from the FBB business. EBITDA margin should be flat qoq due to high net operating expenses. Looking ahead, we believe the strong earnings will continue in 2H25. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt340.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Monday, July 07, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt279.00/Target: Bt340.00) Expected to continue reporting robust earnings in 2Q25. PTT Exploration & Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt110.00/Target: Bt155.00) 2Q25 earnings to be pressured by high unit costs but yield remains attractive.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+8)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, July 7, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Logistics: Recent logistics sector data remains healthy; expect solid 2Q25 sector financial performance. Maintain OVERWEIGHT, with JDL remaining as our top pick. INDONESIA Sector Banking: Loan growth slows, all eyes on fiscal spending acceleration. MALAYSIA Update Sunway Construction (SCGB MK/HOLD/RM5.99/Target: RM5.55): Outlook remains optimistic with robust orderbook replenishment and multiple catalysts, but fairly priced in after ytd share price rally. Maintain HOLD. S...

Chong Lee Len ... (+15)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 02, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+8)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Philip Wong
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, July 01, 2025

INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlight Energi Mega Persada (ENRG IJ/NOT RATED/Rp328) A clear turning point. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Loans growth improved to 5.3% from 5.1% in May 25. The absence of strong earnings catalysts has prompted us to maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Results Sapura Energy (SAPE MK/BUY/RM0.05/Target: RM0.07) 1QFY26: Core losses are in line on poorer rig utilisation and lu...

Thailand Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

THAILAND STRATEGY – 1Q25 Results Review

In 1Q25, earnings under our coverage are at Bt201.14b (-0.1% yoy, +46.2% qoq). The qoq increase was due to seasonality. The banking, telecommunications and consumer staples sectors reported remarkable results. For 2025 we reduce earnings growth by 3.8%, but opportunities remain in domestic and external plays. Overall, we lower 2025F EPS to Bt80 from Bt94and our SET target to 1,280 (from 1,500 in 1Q25) based on 16.0x forward PE. Top picks are ADVANC, RATCH, BCH, IVL, PTTGC.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+11)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Guan An Tan
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Philip Wong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, May 06, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+9)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 09, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - Expect Strong 1Q25 Earnings On Rev...

ADVANC's 1Q25 net profit is projected to rise 14% yoy and 4% qoq to Bt9.76b, mainly on the back of revenue improvement and cost reduction. We estimate 1Q25 revenue at Bt55.4b (+4% yoy, -2% qoq), supported by the mobile and FBB businesses. EBITDA margin should be strong due to the high base of SG&A in 4Q24 brought about by increased performance-based staff costs, the impact of TTTBB consolidation, and provisions for obsolete assets. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt330.00.

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit ... (+2)
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Thailand Research Team

Thailand Daily- Wednesday, April 02, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Selective Buy On Individual Stocks We maintain our cautiously optimistic view on the Thai equities market in Apr 25. We decide to take profit on TFG and cut losses on CPALL and MAJOR. We also add ADVANC, BJC, and PTTEP. Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt281.00/Target: Bt330.00) Expect strong 1Q25 earnings on revenue improvement and cost reduction.

Ejann Hiew ... (+10)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, April 02, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Mar 25 GGR slightly above expectations. MALAYSIA Results Yinson Holdings (YNS MK/BUY/RM2.20/Target: RM3.15): FY25: FPSO income misses expectations against the lower income base as per its inaugural Enterprise Reporting, and higher-than-expected financing costs. Update IJM Corporation (IJM MK/BUY/RM2.10/Target: RM3.00): Prospects remain resilient with a robust pipeline of infrastructure and industrial contract flows. Maintain BUY and target price of RM3.00. SI...

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - 4Q24: Results In Line With Our For...

ADVANC’s 4Q24 net profit of Bt9.3b is in line with our forecast but exceeds consensus by 5%. Net profit grew strongly (+32% yoy, +5% qoq), driven by higher revenue, improved gross margin and a lower SG&A-to-sales. The ARPU trend continued to rise qoq due to seasonal effects. 2024 full-year earnings totalled Bt35.0b (+32% yoy). We expect ADVANC’s earnings growth to continue in 2025. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt330.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+4)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Monday, February 10, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt280.00/Target: Bt330.00) 4Q24: Results in line with our forecast but above consensus. Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB/BUY/Bt17.40/Target: Bt22.00) 4Q24: Results in line; impressive recovery momentum. SVI (SVI TB/BUY/Bt6.90/Target: Bt8.00) 4Q24: Earnings improve qoq and yoy, above expectations. Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.74/Target: Bt5.00...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+11)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, February 10

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Seasonal demand lifted downstream inflation. Update Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$36.25/Target: HK$52.00) Expects significant expansion in 2025; targeting revenue of Rmb20b in 2027. INDONESIA Results Bank Syariah Indonesia (BRIS IJ/BUY/Rp3,020/Target: Rp3,450) 2024: Net profit up 22%, above expectations; upgrade earnings forecasts. MALAYSIA...

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - Still Anticipate Impressive Result...

ADVANC's core profit for 4Q24 is projected to rise 26% yoy and 5% qoq to Bt8.9b, in line with revenue and gross margin trends. Yoy revenue growth should be supported by the FBB, enterprise, and mobile businesses and qoq revenue growth should be driven by the handset subsidy business. EBITDA margin should also grow continuously yoy and qoq. We fine-tune 2024-25 earnings. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt330.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Monday, January 06, 2025

Update Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt285.00/Target: Bt330.00) Still anticipate impressive results in 4Q24; maintain BUY. Thai Oil (TOP TB/HOLD/Bt26.50/Target: Bt27.00) Announces additional investment in CFP and postpones operations to 3Q28.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+10)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, January 06, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Shipping And Ports: Expect 2025 to be a volatile year, with several geopolitical and industrial events posing key uncertainties. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. BUY CSP, CMP and OOIL. INDONESIA Strategy 2024 JCI Return Analysis: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Strategy 1H25 Strategy: The FBMKLCI should again deliver energising returns in 2025, charged up mainly by domestic liquidity ...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+19)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, November 04, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls Add Hansoh Pharma, Sands China, CSCEC and BYDE to our BUY list. Add Sinopharm to our SELL list. Sector Aviation – China Airlines: 3Q24 earnings a slight miss; expect losses in seasonally weak 4Q24. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Macau Gaming Oct 24 GGR up 7% yoy and...

TWOU 2U INC.
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
5162 VSTECS
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CDB CELCOMDIGI BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) - 3Q24: Results In Line; Expect Stro...

ADVANC's net profit for 3Q24 came in at Bt8.8b, in line with our and market forecasts. Net profit increased yoy due to higher revenue and margin growth. Meanwhile, earnings was flat qoq, impacted by higher SG&A-to-sales. For its operations, mobile ARPU increased yoy, but was flat qoq due to the seasonal impact. EBITDA margin was stronger yoy due to to higher core service revenue from TTTBB’s contribution. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt310.00

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Thailand Daily - Monday, November 04, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt267.00/Target: Bt310.00) 3Q24: Results in line; expect stronger earnings outlook in 4Q24.

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