A director at Land and House Public CoLtd bought 1,000,000 shares at 4.800THB and the significance rating of the trade was 59/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last t...
We expect extra gains from asset divestment to drive 4Q24 earnings growth, marking the quarterly peak for the year. While 4Q24 presales may improve from a low base, the residential segment remains under pressure due to a low backlog and weak gross margins. Concerns also linger over dividend payment capacity amid cash flow management and vulnerable performances. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Bt6.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt5.60/Target: Bt5.10) Supply issues are resolved in the short term, but the long term needs to be monitored closely. Land and Houses (LH TB/HOLD/Bt5.25/Target: Bt6.00) Extra gains to boost bottom line in 4Q24; the residential segment’s outlook remains challenging. PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/HOLD/Bt24.10/Target: Bt24.50) 4Q24 performance recovers, but net loss remains. The Erawa...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mainly stable except for weakness in real estate. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$87.20/Target: HK$130.00) 2QFY25: Seeking high quality growth and gradual monetisation. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/HOLD/HK$5.13/Target: HK$5.50) 9M24: Disappointing results; targets positive revenue growth in 2025. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$14.16/Target: HK$22...
The SETPROP index outperformed the SET index, gaining 15% vs the latter’s 10% increase. However, we maintain a cautious view on the residential market, with conditions expected to remain unchanged in 2H24. High interest rates and tightening banking policies continue to pose challenges to the sector. We recommend a selective BUY − AP. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Exports rebounded in August but outlook remains challenging. Sector IT Hardware Maintain preference for the more defensive AI-device plays as uncertainty remains high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/HOLD/Rp7,250/Target: Rp7,760) 7M24: Strong ...
GREATER CHINA Results BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$27.65/Target: HK$42.50) 1H24: Results missed on margins. Expect peak season to bolster profitability in 2H24. China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$4.04/Target: HK$5.22) 1H24: Steady profit growth; accelerated revenue expansion in 2H24. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.16/Target: HK$6.10) 1H24: Below expectations; power generation dragged by low wind speed. ...
LH reported a net profit of Bt1.0b for 2Q24 (-30% yoy, -17% qoq), below our estimates and consensus forecasts. In 3Q24, earnings are expected to be pressured by competition. Earnings are then expected to rebound in 4Q24, underpinned by numerous projects to be launched and the divestment of an asset. We cut 2024-26 earnings by 23-32%. LH’s residential business remains vulnerable and still lacks new catalysts. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price: Bt6.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt30.00) 2Q24: Earnings below expectations; positive earnings outlook in 2H24. AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.85/Target: Bt11.30) 2Q24: Results within expectations; expect 3Q24 earnings to improve qoq. Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB/BUY/Bt7.75/Target: Bt11.60) 2Q24: Earnings in line. Banpu PCL (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.60/Target: Bt5.00) ...
LH posted a net profit of Bt1,231m in 1Q24 (-9% yoy, -65% qoq), below our and consensus expectations. The lower results were affected by decreased transfers and gross margin. The performance in 2Q24 is expected to be unexciting, but there are plans for project launches and divestment of assets that might improve the residential business in 2H24. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt9.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt22.70/Target: Bt30.00) 1Q24: Results miss on lower gross margin. Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB/BUY/Bt8.20/Target: Bt11.60) 1Q24: Earnings in line; rail business maintains its positive gross margin. Berli Jucker (BJC TB/HOLD/Bt25.00/Target: Bt27.00) 1Q24: Results slightly missed expectations; lack of share price catalysts. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt112.00/Target: Bt150.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
LH's net profit in 4Q23 was Bt3.5b (+75% yoy, +195% qoq) due to extra gains from selling hotels. While LH's residential business outlook is challenging, we anticipate that core earnings will recover by 2024. We recommend trading BUY as it has an undemanding valuation and an upcoming dividend. Target price: Bt9.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB/BUY/Bt8.10/Target: Bt11.60) 4Q23: Earnings beat, Double Deck lined up in 2024. Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/HOLD/Bt44.50/Target: Bt46.00) 4Q23: Earnings in line with our forecast and better than consensus’. Charoen Pokphand Foods (CPF TB/BUY/Bt19.00/Target: Bt22.00) 4Q23: Softer-than-expected earnings; strong turnaround in 2024. Land and Houses (LH TB/BUY/Bt7.55/Target: Bt9.00) 4Q23: Results slightly above our estimates. Ngern T...
In 2024, LH plans to launch 11 projects worth Bt30.2b and targets presales of Bt31b, up 35% yoy. We expect earnings to recover in 2024 from a low base. However, we are still cautious about our forecast amid many challenges. 4Q23 earnings are expected to be outstanding, driven by gains from selling hotels. In addition, the company offers a dividend yield of about 7%. We maintain BUY on LH. Target price: Bt9.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Marginal improvement in secondary market seen in Jan 24; Budget speech to be a focus in near term. INDONESIA Update Summarecon Agung (SMRA IJ/BUY/Rp590/Target: Rp800): Capitalising VAT incentives to drive 2024 marketing sales growth. MALAYSIA Sector Construction: Promising sector backed by stronger replenishment prospects, ramp-up of progress billing and margin improvements. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Update Hume Industries (HUME MK/BUY/RM2.61/Target: RM3.03): Rollo...
We expect a significant boost in 4Q23 presales, driven by increased stock of highdemand projects and the launch of a new condo. We expect a recovery in 4Q23 earnings due to expected higher performance in the core businesses as well as extra gains. We cut 2023-25 earnings forecasts by 16-23% to reflect weak presales and the low backlog level. However, its share price has already priced in these negative factors. Maintain BUY. Target price decreased to Bt9.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Banpu PCL (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt7.70/Target: Bt8.00) 3Q23: Net profit rebounds qoq. BEC World PCL (BEC TB/HOLD/Bt5.80/Target: Bt5.50) 3Q23: Earnings far below estimates; dim outlook to persist going forward. Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/BUY/Bt45.00/Target: Bt52.00) 3Q23: Another disappointing set of results, but should have bottomed out. COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt26.00/Target: Bt32.50) 3Q23: Lower-than-expected 3Q23 results. Expect yoy improvement in 4Q23. CP ALL (CPALL TB/B...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare: A brighter outlook in 2024. INDONESIA Results Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ/BUY/Rp10,575/Target: Rp14,800): 3Q23: In line with expectations. THAILAND Results COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt26.00/Target: Bt32.50): 3Q23: Lower-than-expected 3Q23 results; expect yoy improvement in 4Q23. CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt55.75/Target: Bt76.00): 3Q23: Strong earnings improvement. Energy Absolute (EA TB/BUY/Bt44.25/Target: Bt81.00): 3Q23: Core profit increased yoy but decreased qoq; OCF saw an im...
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