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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+5)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/18/2024

As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+5)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 18/11/2024

Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...

Cor Kluis
  • Cor Kluis

Aegon : New SBB, higher OCG, more cash return clarity, sales was less,...

>Conclusion: New SBB, higher OCG, more cash return clarity, sales was less - It was positive that Aegon announced a new € 150m SBB which we expected, but not all in the market was expecting this we believe. And related to that it is good Aegon announced now to bring the cash at holding down from about est. € 1.66bn end 2024 to about € 1bn end 2026 giving up to € 0.9bn discretionary cash for e.g. new SBB’s over 2025-2026. The Q3 OCG capital generation was better than e...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/15/2024

Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Cor Kluis
  • Cor Kluis

Aegon : New SBB, Q3 OCG better, increased OCG target FY24, Q3 sales wa...

>Conclusion: New SBB, Q3 OCG better, higher OCG target, Q3 sales was less - It was positive that Aegon announced a new € 150m SBB which we expected, but not all in the market was expecting this we believe. And related to that it is good Aegon announced now to bring the cash at holding down from about est. € 1.7bn end 2024 to about € 1bn end 2026 giving more room for new SBB’s. The Q3 OCG capital generation was better than expected. The Solvency was marginally less. Th...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Smart Grids under control, but tough charging equipment market...

>Feedback analyst conference call - Alfen’s analyst call was hosted by CEO Marco Roeleveld, CCO Michele Lesh and CFO Onno Krab. Key topics were the following:Outlook per sector:- Smart Grid Solutions, substation production is to increase to c. 100 per week in Q4, but in H1 2025 will drop back to 70 per week because of customer constraints. Hopes H2 2025 to be able to up production further, but dependent on clients. Key clients are the grid operators as small...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Smart Grids under control, but tough charging equipment market...

>Feedback analyst conference call - Alfen’s analyst call was hosted by CEO Marco Roeleveld, CCO Michele Lesh and CFO Onno Krab. Key topics were the following:Outlook per sector:- Smart Grid Solutions, substation production is to increase to c. 100 per week in Q4, but in H1 2025 will drop back to 70 per week because of customer constraints. Hopes H2 2025 to be able to up production further, but dependent on clients. Key clients are the grid operators as small...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

mdxhealth FIRST LOOK: 3Q24 results come with upgraded FY24 guidance

mdxhealth reported 3Q24 revenue growth of 21% y/y, while management upgraded FY24 guidance to $ 87-89m (previously $ 85-87m) reflecting increased confidence in utilisation from healthcare providers. The goal to reach positive adjusted EBITDA by 1H25 remains on track, and now starts to come into view, while management guided for 20% topline growth for FY25. We reiterate our $ 4.2 TP and Buy rating.

Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Alfen: Q3 results, big Q4 ahead

Alfen published Q3 2024 figures yesterday. Revenue came in at EUR106m (-18% QoQ vs. EUR129m in Q2 2024, -22% YoY vs. EUR136m in Q3 2023) pointing to EUR352m YTD (vs. cons. eyeing EUR489m for FY24). Q3 numbers were mostly impacted by modest revenue growth in Smart Grids (+1% YoY) and a sluggish pace

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Outlook for Q4 and 2025 seems weaker than before

>Q3 better than consensus FY24 outlook slightly weaker = weaker Q4 - Revenues in-line, with strength in Smart Grids offsetting weakness in EV Charging. Revenues in 24Q3 were down 22% y-o-y to € 106.2m (1% below consensus of € 107.4m) with Smart Grid Solutions up 1% to € 50.3m (14% above consensus of € 44.3m), EV Charging Equipment down 6% to € 32.9m (14% below consensus of € 38.3m), and Energy Storage Systems down 55% to € 23.1m (consensus € 23.5m). Profitabil...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB...

: AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB, TESB BB, ALFEN NA

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...

With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...

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