reports
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Auto sector FY24 Q2 Results and Outlook Revi...
As the earning season has concluded, investors are taking stock about the auto sector’s FY24 Q2 results and updated guidance numbers. Analyst Julie Boote reviews the key developments in the industry, and how these could affect automakers’ earnings in the second half of the fiscal year.
- Julie Boote
- Julie Boote
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: The Fraught Path to Electrification
Given that the EV market is not a free market, led by demand and supply, but a distorted market, moved by political intervention in the form of subsidies (or lack of), making EV sales forecasts is very challenging indeed. This is a headache for analysts, but even more so for auto companies with a ten-year planning horizon. In this report, we outline the sales situation for different regions, as well as providing an outlook based on currently available information.
RNO RENAULT SA
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
TSLA TESLA INC
F FORD MOTOR COMPANY
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
600104 SAIC MOTOR CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
000270 KIA MOTORS CORPORATION
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7211 MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION
7269 SUZUKI MOTOR CORP.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
7270 SUBARU CORP
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
A0M32L CHONGQING CHANGAN AUTOMOBILE COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
GM GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
005380 KS HYUNDAI MOTOR UNTITLED
VOLV-B VOLVO AB-B SHS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
XPEV XPENG INC. ADR SPONSORED CLASS A
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
PSNY GORES GUGGENHEIM INC
MBG MERCEDES BENZ GROUP AG
02015 LI AUTO INC
VOLCAR-B VOLVO CAR AB
- Julie Boote
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly 2024 Q4
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
6754 ANRITSU CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
3107 DAIWABO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
8473 SBI HOLDINGS INC.
6954 FANUC CORPORATION
4324 DENTSU GROUP INC.
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6988 NITTO DENKO CORP.
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
3064 MONOTARO CO. LTD.
5801 FURUKAWA ELECTRIC CO. LTD.
5715 FURUKAWA CO. LTD.
7205 HINO MOTORS LTD.
6501 HITACHI LTD.
6305 HITACHI CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY CO. LTD.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7012 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
9107 KAWASAKI KISEN KAISHA LTD.
6971 KYOCERA CORPORATION
8316 SUMITOMO MITSUI FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
6503 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP.
5632 MITSUBISHI STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
5706 MITSUI MINING AND SMELTING COMPANY LIMITED
6966 MITSUI HIGH-TEC INC.
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
4666 PARK24 CO. LTD.
6268 NABTESCO CORPORATION
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8136 SANRIO COMPANY LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
5802 SUMITOMO ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES LTD.
6762 TDK CORPORATION
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
6315 TOWA CORPORATION
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
4208 UBE INDUSTRIES LTD.
8698 MONEX GROUP INC.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
2160 GNI GROUP LTD.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
3445 RS TECHNOLOGIES CO. LTD.
6269 MODEC INC
3769 GMO PAYMENT
68900 FERROTEC CORPORATION
9519 RENOVA
4385 MERCARI INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
3626 JT TIS INC
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
7071 AMVIS HOLDINGS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
4443 JT SANSAN (4443 JT)
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3394 JT MONEY FOWARD
4480 MEDLEY
RRRP3 3R PETROLEUM OLEO E GAS
6532 JT BAYCURRENT CONSULTING (6532 JT)
3697 JT SHIFT INCORPORATED (3697 JT)
4483 JMDC
4180 JP APPIER GROUP
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
4194 VISIONAL INC
9552 M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
9616 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
9552 JT M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE (9552 JT)
6544 JT JAPAN ELEVATOR SERVICES HOLDINGS (6544 JT)
6200 JT INSOURCE (6200 JT)
2154 JT OPEN UP GROUP (2154 JT)
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Nissan and Honda: A Match Made in Heaven?
Rivals Nissan and Honda surprised markets with the announcement of a future collaboration on EVs and software. While it is still early days, the two companies seem keen to take advantage of scale and synergies in the highly competitive EV space. Given the industry’s rapid transition towards new mobility, analyst Julie Boote investigates whether a more comprehensive alliance or a merger could be possible and beneficial.
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / Mobility: ASEAN Auto Markets in Doldrums
ASEAN has long been considered one of the global auto markets with the best growth prospects, but expectations have not been met. With China in trouble and ASEAN auto sales lacklustre, Japanese automakers need to review their positioning in Asia. Analyst Julie Boote provides a short-term outlook for the ASEAN auto market, and discusses Japanese assemblers’ options within this context.
VIC VINGROUP JSC
4197 SIME DARBY BHD.
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7211 MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7269 SUZUKI MOTOR CORP.
7261 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
7270 SUBARU CORP
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
GM GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
005380 KS HYUNDAI MOTOR UNTITLED
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
VFS VINFAST
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos, New Mobility: EV Markets in Trouble – Have the Japanese Bee...
While Japan’s automakers have upped their game in the EV space, they remain laggards on the global stage. With the EV markets now in trouble, analyst Julie Boote assesses whether or not the Japanese assemblers have been vindicated in their more cautious approach to electrification.
FCAUN FORD MOTOR COMPANY
F ABCO ELECTRONICS CO. LTD.
036010 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
002594 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7267 MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION
7211 NIDEC CORPORATION
6594 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7201 SUZUKI MOTOR CORP.
7269 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
7261 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
7203 SUBARU CORP
7270 ABERDEEN STANDARD EUROPEAN LOGISTICS INCOME
ASLI HYUNDAI MOTOR CO
5380 GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY
GM VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
VOW MERCEDES-BENZ AG
0953660D STELLANTIS N.V.
REP 2CRSI SA
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Honda’s (7267 JT) Bounce-Back Could be Short...
Honda has been enjoying a strong sales and profit rebound, thanks to near-perfect business conditions. Now, analyst Julie Boote suggests that there is a risk FY24 business results could disappoint as the earnings outlook deteriorates.
- Julie Boote
PSA Global Autos / Mobility: Building the Perfect EV Platforms – A Pro...
As electric vehicles are set to replace combustion engine cars over time, established automakers need to prove they can remain competitive in this new market. In this context, much attention has been given to battery technology, but the creation of an optimal EV auto platform is just as important. Here, the jury is still out, as we are in the early development days. Analyst Julie Boote discusses how the prefect EV platform should look like and where automakers are currently positioned.
TSLA TESLA INC
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
005380 HYUNDAI MOTOR COMPANY
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
000270 KIA MOTORS CORPORATION
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
060310 3S KOREA
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7269 SUZUKI MOTOR CORP.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
APTV APTIV PLC
5380 HYUNDAI MOTOR CO
BNP BMW
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
RIVN RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / Mobility: Overview of Japanese Autos FY23 Q1 Results and O...
This has been an impressive earning season for Japanese automakers, with FY23 Q1 net sales and OP of the seven listed companies all surging by double-digit rates. Analyst Julie Boote takes us through the factors behind the performance and highlights the positives and negatives to consider going forward.
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Where Are Japan’s Auto Companies Headed?
It has been a mixed earning season for Japanese automakers, although most are predicting strong profit growth for FY23. Despite the positive outlook, the market’s reaction has been lukewarm, due to concerns over overoptimism for sales growth and rapidly rising expenses. Analyst Julie Boote explores what the most important share price drivers could be for the seven listed automakers for FY23.
- Aarti Magan
- Robert Streda
- Timothy O'Brien
The Future is Electric: Climate Change and the Global Automotive Secto...
Climate change risk already affects the major automotive issuers we rate; essentially all automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) have made substantial investments as they shift to electric vehicle (EV) production and away from internal combustion engine vehicles. In the near term, our outlook for the sector is neutral, with company credit profiles supported by reasonable profitability, robust liquidity positions, and conservative financial postures. Over the longer term, this EV tr...
TM.N TOYOTA MOTOR ADS
PCAR PACCAR INC
VOW VOLKSWAGEN AG
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
HMCn HONDA MOTOR ADS
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO.
NSANF LTD.
VOLVY AB VOLVO
GM GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY
NSAN NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD. CEDEAR
878849 RENAULT PART. CERT.
RNSDF RENAULT S.A.
TOYOF BMW AG
BMW5 FORD MOTOR COMPANY
1121Q MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC.
MG/A STELLANTIS N.V.
F MERCEDES-BENZ GROUP AG
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos: Fuel Cell Electric Trucks – A Silent Evolution
Whereas hydrogen fuel cell systems have not had a break-through in the passenger car market, the situation for the commercial vehicle market looks very different: For heavy-duty trucks in particular, FCVs are superior to BEVs when it comes to charging times, payload and driving range. In this report, analyst Julie Boote assesses the outlook for hydrogen fuel cell trucks and explains how the main global participants are positioned.
CMI CUMMINS INC.
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
TSLA TESLA INC
TOT.N TOTAL SE
CVX CHEVRON CORPORATION
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
600166 BEIQI FOTON MOTOR (A)
600006 DONGFENG AUTOMOBILE CO. LTD. A
600028 CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL CORPORATION CLASS A
7205 HINO MOTORS LTD.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7202 ISUZU MOTORS LIMITED
8088 IWATANI CORPORATION
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
D4D DONGFENG MOTOR GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATAMOTORS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
5021 COSMO ENERGY HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
COPN COSMO PHARMACEUTICALS NV
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
BLD BALLARD POWER SYSTEMS INC.
5380 HYUNDAI MOTOR CO
GM GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY
A2DSYC LINDE PLC
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
0953660D MERCEDES-BENZ AG
72820 TOYODA GOSEI COMPANY LIMITED
VOLV-B VOLVO AB-B SHS
CWR.L CERES POWER
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
IVG IVECO GROUP
688339 BEIJING SINOHYTEC CO LTD
- David Laterza
- Margarita Cargher
- Robert Streda
- Timothy O'Brien
Honda Motor Co., Ltd. & Honda Canada Finance Inc.: Rating Report
On February 9, 2023, DBRS Limited (DBRS Morningstar) confirmed Honda Motor Co., Ltd.'s Issuer Rating at A (high), and Honda Canada Finance Inc.'s Senior Unsecured Debentures and Commercial Paper ratings at A (high) and R-1 (middle), respectively. All trends are Stable.
- Margarita Cargher
- Robert Streda
- Timothy O'Brien
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos: The Global Electric Vehicle Market 2023
The transition to electrification remains the key focus for the auto industry, with EV sales performances by market and automaker being closely watched by investors. In 2022, China solidified its position as the global EV stronghold, a success that is encouraging its automakers to expand globally. Despite supply disruptions and concerns over falling subsidies and rising prices, the outlook for the EV market remains positive. In this in-depth report, analyst Julie Boote reviews major developments...
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
SIX2 SIXT SE
051910 LG CHEM LTD.
000270 KIA MOTORS CORPORATION
096770 SK INNOVATION CO. LTD
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
000660 SK HYNIX INC
7211 MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
601633 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS A
7270 SUBARU CORP
5380 HYUNDAI MOTOR CO
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
BNP BMW
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
0953660D MERCEDES-BENZ AG
REP RENAULT SA
XPEV XPENG INC. ADR SPONSORED CLASS A
NIO NIO INC
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos, New Mobility: Honda (7267 JT) – Motorcycle Division Update
Since FY10, Honda (7267 JT) has managed to keep the OPM of its motorcycle division above 10% in most years, proving that it is more profitable to sell two-wheelers than cars (most Japanese auto manufacturers have OPMs in the single-digit range). After consolidated sales hit a record high of 13.2mil units in FY18, demand was hurt first by the Covid-19 pandemic, and then by supply chain disruptions. However, we expect motorcycle sales to continue to increase in the coming years, with OPM remaining...
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos: Honda (7267 JT) – Supply Constraints Threaten Success of N...
Julie Boote assesses Honda's prospects of success as it takes on the EV era amid issues of low profitability, multiple calls on its R&D budget, and supply constraints. Noting Honda's low valuations, Julie considers whether these are justified.
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