In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
As Nissan’s merger talks with Honda have terminated, Nissan needs to review its options, both in regard to its restructuring plans and to entering new partnerships. Analyst Julie Boote reviews the automaker’s possible course of action and markets’ reaction.
Nissan and Honda’s share prices have been volatile since the announcement last December of a possible business integration. With the agreement deadline for June approaching rapidly, analyst Julie Boote comments here on the many factors at play, and on whether, and in what form, the deal could happen.
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Honda and Nissan Plan Merger for 2026 We discuss Honda and Nissan's announcement elaborating the possibility of a merger in 2026 and understanding of what conditions need to be met. Honda is clearly in the driver's seat.
Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.
As the earning season has concluded, investors are taking stock about the auto sector’s FY24 Q2 results and updated guidance numbers. Analyst Julie Boote reviews the key developments in the industry, and how these could affect automakers’ earnings in the second half of the fiscal year.
Given that the EV market is not a free market, led by demand and supply, but a distorted market, moved by political intervention in the form of subsidies (or lack of), making EV sales forecasts is very challenging indeed. This is a headache for analysts, but even more so for auto companies with a ten-year planning horizon. In this report, we outline the sales situation for different regions, as well as providing an outlook based on currently available information.
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
Rivals Nissan and Honda surprised markets with the announcement of a future collaboration on EVs and software. While it is still early days, the two companies seem keen to take advantage of scale and synergies in the highly competitive EV space. Given the industry’s rapid transition towards new mobility, analyst Julie Boote investigates whether a more comprehensive alliance or a merger could be possible and beneficial.
ASEAN has long been considered one of the global auto markets with the best growth prospects, but expectations have not been met. With China in trouble and ASEAN auto sales lacklustre, Japanese automakers need to review their positioning in Asia. Analyst Julie Boote provides a short-term outlook for the ASEAN auto market, and discusses Japanese assemblers’ options within this context.
Renault’s decision to cancel the IPO of its EV unit Ampere might be the right move considering the poor market conditions, but it is also an indication that Ampere’s operational and financial targets could be too ambitious. This raises questions about Nissan’s commitment to invest in Ampere. While Nissan states that its position towards Ampere has not changed, analyst Julie Boote questions whether this is true, or, indeed, wise.
While Japan’s automakers have upped their game in the EV space, they remain laggards on the global stage. With the EV markets now in trouble, analyst Julie Boote assesses whether or not the Japanese assemblers have been vindicated in their more cautious approach to electrification.
Honda has been enjoying a strong sales and profit rebound, thanks to near-perfect business conditions. Now, analyst Julie Boote suggests that there is a risk FY24 business results could disappoint as the earnings outlook deteriorates.
As electric vehicles are set to replace combustion engine cars over time, established automakers need to prove they can remain competitive in this new market. In this context, much attention has been given to battery technology, but the creation of an optimal EV auto platform is just as important. Here, the jury is still out, as we are in the early development days. Analyst Julie Boote discusses how the prefect EV platform should look like and where automakers are currently positioned.
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