As the earning season has concluded, investors are taking stock about the auto sector’s FY24 Q2 results and updated guidance numbers. Analyst Julie Boote reviews the key developments in the industry, and how these could affect automakers’ earnings in the second half of the fiscal year.
Given that the EV market is not a free market, led by demand and supply, but a distorted market, moved by political intervention in the form of subsidies (or lack of), making EV sales forecasts is very challenging indeed. This is a headache for analysts, but even more so for auto companies with a ten-year planning horizon. In this report, we outline the sales situation for different regions, as well as providing an outlook based on currently available information.
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
Rivals Nissan and Honda surprised markets with the announcement of a future collaboration on EVs and software. While it is still early days, the two companies seem keen to take advantage of scale and synergies in the highly competitive EV space. Given the industry’s rapid transition towards new mobility, analyst Julie Boote investigates whether a more comprehensive alliance or a merger could be possible and beneficial.
ASEAN has long been considered one of the global auto markets with the best growth prospects, but expectations have not been met. With China in trouble and ASEAN auto sales lacklustre, Japanese automakers need to review their positioning in Asia. Analyst Julie Boote provides a short-term outlook for the ASEAN auto market, and discusses Japanese assemblers’ options within this context.
While Japan’s automakers have upped their game in the EV space, they remain laggards on the global stage. With the EV markets now in trouble, analyst Julie Boote assesses whether or not the Japanese assemblers have been vindicated in their more cautious approach to electrification.
Honda has been enjoying a strong sales and profit rebound, thanks to near-perfect business conditions. Now, analyst Julie Boote suggests that there is a risk FY24 business results could disappoint as the earnings outlook deteriorates.
As electric vehicles are set to replace combustion engine cars over time, established automakers need to prove they can remain competitive in this new market. In this context, much attention has been given to battery technology, but the creation of an optimal EV auto platform is just as important. Here, the jury is still out, as we are in the early development days. Analyst Julie Boote discusses how the prefect EV platform should look like and where automakers are currently positioned.
This has been an impressive earning season for Japanese automakers, with FY23 Q1 net sales and OP of the seven listed companies all surging by double-digit rates. Analyst Julie Boote takes us through the factors behind the performance and highlights the positives and negatives to consider going forward.
It has been a mixed earning season for Japanese automakers, although most are predicting strong profit growth for FY23. Despite the positive outlook, the market’s reaction has been lukewarm, due to concerns over overoptimism for sales growth and rapidly rising expenses. Analyst Julie Boote explores what the most important share price drivers could be for the seven listed automakers for FY23.
Climate change risk already affects the major automotive issuers we rate; essentially all automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) have made substantial investments as they shift to electric vehicle (EV) production and away from internal combustion engine vehicles. In the near term, our outlook for the sector is neutral, with company credit profiles supported by reasonable profitability, robust liquidity positions, and conservative financial postures. Over the longer term, this EV tr...
Whereas hydrogen fuel cell systems have not had a break-through in the passenger car market, the situation for the commercial vehicle market looks very different: For heavy-duty trucks in particular, FCVs are superior to BEVs when it comes to charging times, payload and driving range. In this report, analyst Julie Boote assesses the outlook for hydrogen fuel cell trucks and explains how the main global participants are positioned.
On February 9, 2023, DBRS Limited (DBRS Morningstar) confirmed Honda Motor Co., Ltd.'s Issuer Rating at A (high), and Honda Canada Finance Inc.'s Senior Unsecured Debentures and Commercial Paper ratings at A (high) and R-1 (middle), respectively. All trends are Stable.
The transition to electrification remains the key focus for the auto industry, with EV sales performances by market and automaker being closely watched by investors. In 2022, China solidified its position as the global EV stronghold, a success that is encouraging its automakers to expand globally. Despite supply disruptions and concerns over falling subsidies and rising prices, the outlook for the EV market remains positive. In this in-depth report, analyst Julie Boote reviews major developments...
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