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Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Kuaishou 3Q24 Results: Near-Term Traffic Support Could Impact OMS

What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 3Q24 revs that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. OMS could decelerate in 4Q partly due to impact on closed-loop ads as Kuaishou continue to provide merchant traffic support during the major promotion event. Kuaishou would also continue to invest in subsidies related to short plays, e-commerce and local services in 4Q. We lower our PT from HKD70 to HKD60 on lowered outlook. Our updated PT of HKD60 implies 11.8x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK): 3Q24: Results in line; lukewarm revenue...

Kuaishou’s 3Q24 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 11% yoy to Rmb31b, within consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 3ppt yoy to 54%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 24% yoy to Rmb3.9b, in line with the street’s forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 4Q24 revenue growth of 10% with earnings estimated to grow 8% yoy to Rmb4.6b-4.7b, largely in line with consensus estimate. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$67.00.

Greater China Research Team ... (+3)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Thursday, November 21, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.55/Target: HK$67.00) Kuaishou’s 3Q24 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 11% yoy to Rmb31b, within consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 3ppt yoy to 54%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 24% yoy to Rmb3.9b, in line with the street’s forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 4Q24 revenue growth of 10% with earnings estimated to grow 8% yoy to Rmb4.6b-4.7b, largely in line with consensus estimate. Maint...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+8)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 21, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.55/Target: HK$67.00) 3Q24: Results in line; lukewarm revenue growth expected in 4Q24. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,075/Target: Rp12,000) Solid performance across the board in 10M24. MALAYSIA Results Hap Seng Plantations (HAPL MK/BUY/RM2.07/Target: RM2.25) 9M24: Within expectations; expect stronger contribution in 4Q24. My EG Services (MYEG MK/BUY/RM0.88/Ta...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Revitalising momentum evident in initial phase of 11.1...

Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude to a high single-digit GMV growth in 2024. We expect the combination of government trade-in subsidies and 11.11 discounts to stimulate consumer demand, particularly with home appliances and 3C digital products taking the spotlight. We anticipate stabilised competition between traditional and livestreaming e-commerce with a strong emphasis on shelf-based e-commerce. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 07, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet - China Revitalising momentum evident in initial phase of 11.11 campaign. Results LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$38.05/Target: HK$45.08) 1HFY25: DPU rises 3.7% yoy, meeting expectations; enhancing resilience amid macro headwinds. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$65.50/Target: HK$126.00) Solid NBP growth on improved sales and margins across few mar...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Encouraging monetisation visibility from adtech and LL...

Lately, internet companies convened their respective AI conferences, unveiling a wide range of upgraded AI products that showcase their AI infrastructure development and AI monetisation potential. We opine that the prevailing trend in adtech upgrades focuses on enhancing marketing efficiency and driving GMV growth, resulting in monetisation improvement. We remain optimistic in view of the favourable regulatory environment and industry development. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+12)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 05, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Hong Kong Developers And Landlords Top developer leads strong sales rebound in Oct 24; landlords continue to face challenges from GBA integration. Sector Internet - China Encouraging monetisation visibility from adtech and LLM upgrades. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$27.30/Target: HK$31.70) 3Q24 results preview: Robust growth in IoT se...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip.

The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Government policy rollout to boost consumption and dri...

In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Jonathan Koh ... (+9)
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
2013 WEIMOB INC
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
ITMAX ITMAX SYSTEMS BHD
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Kuaishou (1024 HK): Key takeaways from Kuaishou Investor Day 2024.

On 14 September, Kuaishou held its 2024 Investor Day where management outlined strategies and outlooks for key business segments including e-commerce, international expansion, local consumer services and AIGC. We believe the company’s proactive upgrade in technology and operations will help to cushion the impact of a challenging macro backdrop and intense competition. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$70.00.

Damon Shen ... (+8)
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, September 16, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Economic Activity August domestic activities remained weak, with both retail sales and industrial production growth trending lower and all three key indicators missing expectations. FAI ytd growth declined to 3.4% yoy in August, but implied growth improved slightly to 2.0% yoy. The government has hinted at further policy easing in the near term and we believe that at this juncture, more demand-side measures would be most effective. Sector Banking China banks repo...

Damon Shen ... (+10)
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, September 16, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: August domestic activities remained weak, more demand-side measures are needed. Sector Banking: 1H24 results wrap-up: Walking a tightrope. Cement: Weekly: Unfavourable weather condition and tail-heavy LGSB issuance holding back cement demand. Construction: The momentum of FAI is yet to improve; awaiting policy supports in 2H24. Update Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$38.15/Target: HK$70.00): Key takeaways from Kuaishou Investor Day 2024. SINGAPORE Update Singa...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outl...

2Q24 revenue growth was lukewarm, hampered by a subdued macro backdrop, but most earnings beats were delivered by internet companies. We expect consumers to continue switching to service- and experience-oriented, which will benefit OTA, local life services and online games amid the summer holiday period. Key catalysts in 2H24 that will drive internet companies’ valuation repair include shareholder returns, cross-border expansion, easing competition and more, in our view. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+12)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 10, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures rising. Sector Construction Building on the positive development of macroeconomic policies in 2H24-2025. Internet 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outlook remains promising. INDONESIA Small...

Greater China Research Team ... (+8)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - September 2022

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
OU8 CENTURION
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ES ESSO SOCIETE ANONYME FRANCAISE
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
STEC SINO-THAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION PCL
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ESSO ESSO (THAILAND)
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
EA ENERGY ABSOLUTE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
COM7 COM7
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600585 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
ORI1 ORIENT OVERSEAS (INTERNATIONAL) LIMITED
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
MAPI MITRA ADIPERKASA
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ROTI NIPPON INDOSARI CORPINDO
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
SE SEA ADS
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
PTTEP-R PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PCL NVDR
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
SMM SEMBCORP MARINE LTD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
IOI IOI CORP BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
GENM GENTING MALAYSIA BHD
MAHB MALAYSIA AIRPORTS HLDGS BHD
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
2013 WEIMOB INC
EKO EKOVEST BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
SCB-R SIAM COMMERCIAL BANK PCL NVDR
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
2696 SHANGHAI HENLIUS BIOTECH INC
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
1209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
ADOOY PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
SMGR SEMEN INDONESIA PERSERO TBK
NATGATE NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
SUNWAY SUNWAY BHD
HUME ESSO THAILAND PCL
02015 HUME CEMENT INDUSTRIES BHD
09961 LI AUTO INC
BTG CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
LAGENDA BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KEX LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
CVL KERRY EXPRESS THAILAND PCL
CIVMEC LIMITED
Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Kuaishou 2Q24 Results: Further Deceleration in E-commerce for 2H

What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 2Q24 results that top consensus and our expectations partly driven by live streaming segment. OMS could remain resilient amid continued recovery in external ads, while e-commerce could further decelerate in the 2H amid a challenging consumption environment. We lower our PT from HKD95 to HKD70 to reflect the slower-than-expected e-commerce outlook. Our updated PT of HKD70 implies 1.7x FY25E EV/Revs. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK): 2Q24: Solid earnings beat; strategic fo...

Kuaishou delivered a solid 2Q24 earnings beat. Revenue increased 12% yoy to Rmb31b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 5ppt yoy to 55%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 74% yoy to Rmb4.7b, beating consensus forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 3Q24 revenue growth of 11-12% due to a subdued macro backdrop with earnings to exceed Rmb4b and in line with consensus estimate. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$70.00.

Damon Shen ... (+8)
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, August 21, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$44.40/Target: HK$70.00) Kuaishou delivered a solid 2Q24 earnings beat. Revenue increased 12% yoy to Rmb31b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 5ppt yoy to 55%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 74% yoy to Rmb4.7b, beating consensus forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 3Q24 revenue growth of 11-12% due to a subdued macro backdrop with earnings to exceed Rmb4b and in line with consensus estimate. Maintain...

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