What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 3Q24 revs that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. OMS could decelerate in 4Q partly due to impact on closed-loop ads as Kuaishou continue to provide merchant traffic support during the major promotion event. Kuaishou would also continue to invest in subsidies related to short plays, e-commerce and local services in 4Q. We lower our PT from HKD70 to HKD60 on lowered outlook. Our updated PT of HKD60 implies 11.8x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY...
Kuaishou’s 3Q24 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 11% yoy to Rmb31b, within consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 3ppt yoy to 54%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 24% yoy to Rmb3.9b, in line with the street’s forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 4Q24 revenue growth of 10% with earnings estimated to grow 8% yoy to Rmb4.6b-4.7b, largely in line with consensus estimate. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$67.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.55/Target: HK$67.00) Kuaishou’s 3Q24 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 11% yoy to Rmb31b, within consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 3ppt yoy to 54%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 24% yoy to Rmb3.9b, in line with the street’s forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 4Q24 revenue growth of 10% with earnings estimated to grow 8% yoy to Rmb4.6b-4.7b, largely in line with consensus estimate. Maint...
GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.55/Target: HK$67.00) 3Q24: Results in line; lukewarm revenue growth expected in 4Q24. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,075/Target: Rp12,000) Solid performance across the board in 10M24. MALAYSIA Results Hap Seng Plantations (HAPL MK/BUY/RM2.07/Target: RM2.25) 9M24: Within expectations; expect stronger contribution in 4Q24. My EG Services (MYEG MK/BUY/RM0.88/Ta...
Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude to a high single-digit GMV growth in 2024. We expect the combination of government trade-in subsidies and 11.11 discounts to stimulate consumer demand, particularly with home appliances and 3C digital products taking the spotlight. We anticipate stabilised competition between traditional and livestreaming e-commerce with a strong emphasis on shelf-based e-commerce. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet - China Revitalising momentum evident in initial phase of 11.11 campaign. Results LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$38.05/Target: HK$45.08) 1HFY25: DPU rises 3.7% yoy, meeting expectations; enhancing resilience amid macro headwinds. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$65.50/Target: HK$126.00) Solid NBP growth on improved sales and margins across few mar...
Lately, internet companies convened their respective AI conferences, unveiling a wide range of upgraded AI products that showcase their AI infrastructure development and AI monetisation potential. We opine that the prevailing trend in adtech upgrades focuses on enhancing marketing efficiency and driving GMV growth, resulting in monetisation improvement. We remain optimistic in view of the favourable regulatory environment and industry development. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Hong Kong Developers And Landlords Top developer leads strong sales rebound in Oct 24; landlords continue to face challenges from GBA integration. Sector Internet - China Encouraging monetisation visibility from adtech and LLM upgrades. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$27.30/Target: HK$31.70) 3Q24 results preview: Robust growth in IoT se...
The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
On 14 September, Kuaishou held its 2024 Investor Day where management outlined strategies and outlooks for key business segments including e-commerce, international expansion, local consumer services and AIGC. We believe the company’s proactive upgrade in technology and operations will help to cushion the impact of a challenging macro backdrop and intense competition. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$70.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Economic Activity August domestic activities remained weak, with both retail sales and industrial production growth trending lower and all three key indicators missing expectations. FAI ytd growth declined to 3.4% yoy in August, but implied growth improved slightly to 2.0% yoy. The government has hinted at further policy easing in the near term and we believe that at this juncture, more demand-side measures would be most effective. Sector Banking China banks repo...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: August domestic activities remained weak, more demand-side measures are needed. Sector Banking: 1H24 results wrap-up: Walking a tightrope. Cement: Weekly: Unfavourable weather condition and tail-heavy LGSB issuance holding back cement demand. Construction: The momentum of FAI is yet to improve; awaiting policy supports in 2H24. Update Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$38.15/Target: HK$70.00): Key takeaways from Kuaishou Investor Day 2024. SINGAPORE Update Singa...
2Q24 revenue growth was lukewarm, hampered by a subdued macro backdrop, but most earnings beats were delivered by internet companies. We expect consumers to continue switching to service- and experience-oriented, which will benefit OTA, local life services and online games amid the summer holiday period. Key catalysts in 2H24 that will drive internet companies’ valuation repair include shareholder returns, cross-border expansion, easing competition and more, in our view. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures rising. Sector Construction Building on the positive development of macroeconomic policies in 2H24-2025. Internet 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outlook remains promising. INDONESIA Small...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 2Q24 results that top consensus and our expectations partly driven by live streaming segment. OMS could remain resilient amid continued recovery in external ads, while e-commerce could further decelerate in the 2H amid a challenging consumption environment. We lower our PT from HKD95 to HKD70 to reflect the slower-than-expected e-commerce outlook. Our updated PT of HKD70 implies 1.7x FY25E EV/Revs. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Kuaishou delivered a solid 2Q24 earnings beat. Revenue increased 12% yoy to Rmb31b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 5ppt yoy to 55%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 74% yoy to Rmb4.7b, beating consensus forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 3Q24 revenue growth of 11-12% due to a subdued macro backdrop with earnings to exceed Rmb4b and in line with consensus estimate. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$70.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$44.40/Target: HK$70.00) Kuaishou delivered a solid 2Q24 earnings beat. Revenue increased 12% yoy to Rmb31b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 5ppt yoy to 55%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 74% yoy to Rmb4.7b, beating consensus forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 3Q24 revenue growth of 11-12% due to a subdued macro backdrop with earnings to exceed Rmb4b and in line with consensus estimate. Maintain...
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