Macau’s Feb 26 GGR reached MOP20.6b, up 4% yoy but down 9% mom, despite benefitting from the nine-day Chinese New Year holiday. Feb 26’s GGR figure missed market consensus by 5%, and recovered to 81% of 2019’s level. According to DSEC, non-gaming per capita visitor spending in 4Q25 showed a sequential improvement, rising 8% qoq to MOP2,104. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile China's humanoid robotics sector is accelerating, with 2025 global shipments up 508%. Key players anticipate significant revenue contributions by 2031: CATL expects 3-7% from batteries; Minth and LeaderDrive project 5-12% and 45-65% respectively; Tuopu forecasts 15-25% from motion systems; and RoboSense targets 40-60% from LiDAR. We maintain a MARKET WEIGHT rating on the sector. Top BUY recommendations include CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth (target price rais...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China's humanoid robotics sector is accelerating, with 2025 global shipments up 508%. Key players anticipate significant revenue contributions by 2031: CATL expects 3-7% from batteries; Minth and LeaderDrive project 5-12% and 45-65% respectively; Tuopu forecasts 15-25% from motion systems; and RoboSense targets 40-60% from LiDAR. We maintain a MARKET WEIGHT rating on the sector. Top BUY recommendations include CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth (target price ra...
Galaxy’s 4Q25 results were mixed, reporting a strong GGR and market share growth but disappointing margins. 2H25’s dividend payout ratio was further raised to 64%. Performance for this year’s CNY was encouraging, outperforming last year’s CNY and the strong performance seen in October‘s Golden Week. Management expects to see a positive momentum in March and 1Q26. Management is committed to continuously reviewing the dividend policy to optimise shareholder returns going forward. Maintain BUY; rai...
Galaxy Entertainment Group Reports Q4 & Annual 2025 Results Leading Macau’s Non-Gaming Diversification Through Mice, Entertainment Events and Live Sports Q4 2025 Group Adjusted EBITDAUp 33% YoY and Up 29% QoQ to $4.3 Billion FY2025 Group Adjusted EBITDA Up 19% YoY to $14.5 Billion FY2025 Group NPAS Up 22% YoY to $10.7 Billion Recommends a Final Dividend of $0.80 Per Share Capella at Galaxy Macau Grand Opened on February 10 HONG KONG, Feb. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Galaxy Entertainment Group (“GEG”, “Company” or the “Group”) (HKEx stock code: 27) today reported results for the t...
The CNY consumption data exhibited accelerated growth momentum compared with the two Golden Weeks last year, which we view as early signs of a broader consumption recovery. We favour companies benefitting from: a) segments showing initial signals of recovery, such as restaurants; b) exposure to China’s structural consumption growth drivers, particularly in services and experiential consumption; c) potential policy tailwinds; and d) overseas growth. Our preferred stocks include Anta, CR Beer, CTG...
Macau’s Jan 26 GGR reached MOP22.6b, up 8% mom and 24% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level. The Jan 26 GGR number beat market consensus by 5%. Macau visitations for the full-year increased 15% yoy to 40.1m, up 2% vs 2019's level, setting a new historical high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
Macau’s Dec 25 GGR reached MOP20.9b, down 1% mom but up 15% yoy. The Dec 25 GGR number recovered to 91% of 2019’s level, missing market consensus by 3% and reflecting a relatively subdued year-end performance. For 2025, GGR reached MOP247.4b, rising 9% yoy and recovering to 85% of 2019’s level. Looking ahead to 2026, we expect GGR to reach MOP258.6b, up 5% yoy and recovering to 88% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
Top Stories Economics | PMI December Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, back in the expansionary zone for the first time since March. Non-manufacturing PMI also improved at 50.2 (+0.7pt mom), driven by a rebound in construction activity, while services PMI remained slightly contractionary, pointing to weak domestic demand. Enterprise PMI showed divergent trends, with large firms leading the improvement. Overall, the December data points to an uneven recovery despite the positive headline numbers. ...
Greater China Economics | PMI December Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, back in the expansionary zone for the first time since March. Non-manufacturing PMI also improved at 50.2 (+0.7pt mom), driven by a rebound in construction activity, while services PMI remained slightly contractionary pointing to weak domestic demand. Enterprise PMI showed divergent trends, with large firms leading the improvement. Overall, the December data points to uneven recovery despite the positive headline numbers....
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed names and segments include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands China. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% of 2019’s level. For 11M25, GGR reached MOP 226.5b, up 9% yoy and recovering to 84% of 2019’s level. In Oct 25, visitations to Macau increased 25% mom and 11% yoy to 3.5m, up 8% vs 2019’s level. Both hotel occupancy rates and average room rates rose mom in Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick.
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
Galaxy’s 3Q25 normalised adjusted EBITDA rose 5% qoq, but Typhoon Ragasa decreased the EBITDA by HK$140m. In Oct 25, the company delivered good performance, driven by robust visitations and an unusual win rate in the VIP segment, with this momentum continuing into Nov 25. Looking ahead, management expects 4Q25 to perform slightly above normal seasonality, supported by the top premium mass and VIP segments. Maintain BUY; cut target price by 4% to HK$47.00 (previously HK$49.00).
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The anti-involution policy boosted OEMs’ 3Q25 earnings by ending the price war. However, the industry disruptor BYD saw worsened liquidity due to sales slowdown and inventory pile-up. Auto part companies saw margin erosion in 3Q25 due to delayed impacts from the OEMs’ price war, but 4Q25 margin will stabilise. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Cut target price for Li Auto to HK$60.0. Raise target price for Weich...
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile The anti-involution policy boosted OEMs’ 3Q25 earnings by ending the price war. However, the industry disruptor BYD saw worsened liquidity due to sales slowdown and inventory pile-up. Auto part companies saw margin erosion in 3Q25 due to delayed impacts from the OEMs’ price war, but 4Q25 margin will stabilise. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Cut target price for Li Auto to HK$60.0. Raise target price for Weicha...
Galaxy Entertainment Group Selected Unaudited Q3 2025 Financial Data Continues To Lead Macau’s Non-Gaming Diversification Through MICE, Entertainment And Sporting Events Q3 2025 Group Normalized EBITDA Of $3.3 Billion Up 7% Year-on-Year And Up 5% Quarter-on-Quarter Paid An Interim Dividend Of $0.70 Per Share In October 2025 Continues To Ramp Up Capella At Galaxy Macau And Progressing With The Fitting Out Of Phase 4 HONG KONG, Nov. 05, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Galaxy Entertainment Group (“GEG”, “Company” or the “Group”) (HKEx stock code: 27) today reported results for the three-month p...
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