Greater China Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with the local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Bloody start of the week fixed SOFIX at 1 354.78 (-1.46%). Chimimport (CHIM, EUR 0.51, -10.53%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, EUR 3.42, -7.07%) slumped with insignificant daily volume while Doverie United Holding (DUH, EUR 6.88, -3.64%) dropped under a moderate selling pressure on Monday. Sirma Group Holding (SGH, EUR 1.24, -3.88%) disappointed investors with poor Q4’25 financial performance and the IT holding lost altitude with small daily turnover. Sopharma Trading (SFT, EUR 3.84, -4.00%) an...
It appeared that the fresh 18-year highs reached in recent sessions attracted increased profit-taking, as the Bulgarian equity market came under selling pressure on Friday, echoing the cautious sentiment from global markets. SOFIX (1 374.91, -0.76%) closed lower, weighed down by declines in Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 68.00, -2.30%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, EUR 3.68, -2.13%), despite the absence of any negative surprises in the latest financial disclosures. On a broader base, Eleven Capital (...
The positive sentiment on the Bulgarian Stock Exchange weakened on Thursday, pushing all major indexes into negative territory, with SOFIX (1 385.46, -1.40%) recording the steepest decline. Doverie (DUH, EUR 7.10, -8.51%) came under pronounced selling pressure, followed by Smart Organic (SO, EUR 17.20, -3.37%), Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, EUR 1.84, -3.16%), and Chimimport (CHIM, EUR 0.58, -3.33%), though trading volumes across these names remained subdued. A sharp advance in Sopharma Trading ...
Global macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges weighed on the Bulgarian economy over the past year, primarily through weaker external trade dynamics. Despite this, economic growth remained solid. Real GDP expanded by 2.8% in Q1, 3.5% in Q2, and 3.0% in Q3, supported almost entirely by strong domestic demand. Several factors underpinned this robust consumption growth with the most important being the growth of compensation and the euro transition effect. For 2026 the projections by major i...
Greater China Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit ...
Broad increase of index members lifted SOFIX (1 323.06, +4.42%) to an 18-year high. Sirma Group Holding (SGH, EUR 1.30, +17.12%) and Chimimport (CHIM, EUR 0.44, +15.79%) led daily gainers with higher daily turnover while Sopharma (SFA, EUR 1.785, +7.21%), Eurohold (EUBG, EUR 1.09, +7.92%) and Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, EUR 1.00, +5.26%) jumped without significant daily volume. Positive sentiment raised all other indexes and BGBX40 (224.48, +3.32%) and BGTR30 (1 064.12, +2.24%) closed green o...
Indonesia Company Update | Darma Henwa (DEWA IJ/BUY/Rp800/Target: Rp1,500) DEWA is entering a structural earnings upcycle driven by full in-house fleet utilisation, sharply higher operating capacity, and tighter cost control. Funding is secured to support expansion, while balance sheet optimisation could unlock dividends. With execution risk materially reduced and copper upside unpriced, we see scope for a valuation re-rating and maintain BUY with a DCF-based target price of Rp1,500. Malay...
Monday marked the final trading session of the year with BGN as the settlement currency. All major indexes closed in positive territory with solid gains, led by the broad BGBX40 (203.81, +0.98%). Sofia Commerce (SCOM, BGN 5.70, +11.76%), Speedy (SPDY, BGN 192.00, +6.67%), and Bravo Properties (BPF, BGN 1.03, +5.10%) topped the gainers’ list, although advances were achieved on low volumes and within widened bid/ask spreads. Investor focus remained on Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.89, +1.61%), which con...
The final session of the last full trading week before year-end closed on a positive note for the Bulgarian equity market, reflecting the constructive sentiment observed in recent days. Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.745, +2.76%) and Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.86, +6.29%) contributed the most to SOFIX (1 148.45, +0.45%), which rewrote its 18-year high. Meanwhile, light-volume trades with Albena (ALB, BGN 27.60, +5.34%) and Gradus (GR6, BGN 1.09, +9.00%) drove the outperformance of the broader BGBX40 (201....
The Bulgarian stock market closed in positive territory on Wednesday, as investor activity continued to improve toward the end of both the month and the year. SOFIX gained 0.34%, finishing the session at 1 138.81 points. The advance was driven primarily by increased interest in Elana Agrocredit (EAC, BGN 1.08, +2.86%), as well as continued strong trading in Sopharma (SFA, BGN 2.89, +1.40%), which has been among the most actively traded shares in recent weeks. Additional support for the index cam...
The Bulgarian equity market retreated within a narrow range, with weakness concentrated among recent gainers, pushing SOFIX (1 134.96, -0.19%) into negative territory. Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 4.80, -2.04%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 5.72, -1.72%) led the declines within the benchmark. In contrast, the broader indexes edged higher, with BGBX40 (200.94, +0.07%) and BGTR30 (979.99, +0.02%) benefiting from low-volume advances in Sofia Commerce (SCOM, BGN 5.00, +9.17%) and Hydraulic El...
The Bulgarian equity market retreated within a narrow range, with weakness concentrated among recent gainers, pushing SOFIX (1 134.96, -0.19%) into negative territory. Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 4.80, -2.04%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 5.72, -1.72%) led the declines within the benchmark. In contrast, the broader indexes edged higher, with BGBX40 (200.94, +0.07%) and BGTR30 (979.99, +0.02%) benefiting from low-volume advances in Sofia Commerce (SCOM, BGN 5.00, +9.17%) and Hydraulic El...
Today, we are publishing the Automotive section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. We will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, and Foundry later this week. Auto demand came in above expectations, with limited signs of an air-pock...
The Bulgarian equity market kept its recent upward trend, adding another meaningful portion to the weekly gains for all major indexes. SOFIX (1 108.63, +1.20%) recorded a new 18-year high, once again driven by Doverie (DUH, BGN 11.60, +9.43%) at the top of the leader board. The increasing investor interest ahead of the upcoming switch from BGN to EUR continued to attract additional participation, with Sopharma (SFA, BGN 2.78, +1.83%) and Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.71, +1.43%) standing out in this s...
All major indexes on the Bulgarian Stock Exchange advanced on Thursday, reflecting renewed buying interest following fresh corporate updates and strong financial results. The upcoming transition from BGN to EUR remained in focus, prompting investors more frequently to “halve” prices to gauge their euro-equivalent levels. SOFIX (1 095.44, +0.67%) led the advance with a fresh 18-year high, supported once again by the continued surge in Doverie (DUH, BGN 10.60, +6.21%), whose standalone strength ha...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGH...
The broad indexes BGBX40 (195.46, +0.16%) and BGTR30 (951.52, +0.14%) captured modest gains as retail investors reacted positively to the latest financial results from Telelink Business Services (TBS, BGN 9.85), easily pushing the stock up 16.38% amid a thin sell-side order book. SOFIX (1 089.49) finished unchanged, as choppy price action in Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 11.50, -3.36%) and Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.75, +2.94%) offset each other, allowing the benchmark to confirm ...
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