EM Outperforming; Favor EM over EAFE With many global markets crumbling last week, one might assume that EM would have underperformed -- but that is not what transpired. What we saw was a decline in the US dollar which, along with improving coronavirus metrics in China, led to EM outperformance. Reiterating our 12/20/19 EM Strategy, we continue to believe EM is a better place to be than EAFE, supported by new highs in the EM vs. EAFE ratio and our ongoing belief that the US dollar is likely not...
Global Equities Dive, Testing Major Support Global equities have gone from extreme bullish sentiment and an extended market to panic and fear over coronavirus concerns. It is virtually impossible to predict what will happen regarding the virus or how much further markets could sell off as a result. Below we explain our outlook based on what we do know, which has been dampened but is not yet dire. • Indexes Testing Major Support. Major indexes are testing long-term base support and/or support...
Another test of support Heightened trade tensions have caused global equities to move from resistance to support in a matter of days. Additional consolidation - i.e., no breakdowns - on the broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) remains the most likely scenario. At the same time, new cracks are beginning to show and as a result we believe global equities are vulnerable to a breakdown. • New cracks emerging. Breakdowns in crude oil and new lows for the STOXX 600 Bank super...
USD weakness a tailwind for int'l markets With markets showing signs of weakening at logical resistance as outlined in last week's Int'l Compass - we recommend being selective in new purchases. At the same time we are seeing a number of indicators that are giving signals conducive to higher equity prices, meaning global equities may be gearing up for an eventual breakout topside resistance. Below we highlight some attractive and actionable themes along with indicators that support our overall c...
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
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