reports
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Geopolitical noise masks resilient earnings and re-ratin...
Earnings have bottomed; delivery now structurally de-risked… – Q4’25 marked a clear inflection point, with system NII stabilising q/q (+1.7% q/q) and confirming Q3’25 as the trough, as strong volume growth (>10% y/y, mainly corporate, with gradual retail recovery) and deposit repricing (c.30–40bps) offset rate normalisation. Fee generation (+12% y/y), alongside loan growth, remains the key positive driver, with strong momentum across lending commissions, asset management and bancassurance, suppo...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
GREEK BANKS | Geopolitical noise masks resilient earnings and re-ratin...
Earnings have bottomed; delivery now structurally de-risked… – Q4’25 marked a clear inflection point, with system NII stabilising q/q (+1.7% q/q) and confirming Q3’25 as the trough, as strong volume growth (>10% y/y, mainly corporate, with gradual retail recovery) and deposit repricing (c.30–40bps) offset rate normalisation. Fee generation (+12% y/y), alongside loan growth, remains the key positive driver, with strong momentum across lending commissions, asset management and bancassurance, suppo...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EU Oil and Gas Monthly; TXT PW; CAR PW; TEN PW; RICHT HB; ...
HEADLINES: • European oil and gas monthly: March 2026 – fingers crossed, for now • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q25-26 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Inter Cars: March sales up by 20% yoy POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 1Q26 bookings up by 3% qoq NEUTRAL • Richter: proposes dividend of HUF 656/share POSITIVE • Romania macro: NBR on hold • GEK Terna: 2025 results beat across the board POSITIVE • BIM: BoD to propose DPS of TRY 14 NEUTRAL
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DVL PW; TXT PW; GPP PW; 11B PW; JMT PL; ALPHA GA; TL Autom...
HEADLINES: • Develia : 4Q25 EBIT and net income 26% above our expectations, following stronger gross margin and lower SG&As POSITIVE • Develia: preliminary agreement to acquire major residential project in Gdańsk POSITIVE • Text: 4Q25-26 (calendar 1Q26) preliminary results – MRR of USD 6.93m (down 0.7% qoq and 2.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call • 11 bit studios: announces DLC for Frostpunk 2 and Nintendo Switch port of Frostpunk POSITIVE • Jeronimo Marti...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALWN GA; GPP PW; BFT PW; ACP PW; BDX PW; CPS PW; WPL PW; M...
HEADLINES: • Allwyn: over the hills and far away – from OPAP to Allwyn, and into growth (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 6% yoy, 6% above the consensus POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: net addition of 126.5k sports cards in 1Q26, solid growth in Poland POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q25 results call NEUTRAL • Budimex: PLN 146m bid selected as most advantageous in Port Polska tender NEUTRAL • Budimex: signs PLN 261m tram depot contract...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices down; energy the only ...
EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
SNT SYNEKTIK
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
SHO SHOPER SA
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WPL PW; BHW PW; PKO PW; TEN PW; VGO PW; CZG CP; Hungary ma...
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25 results - adj. EBITDA -5% yoy, 2% below consensus; gloomy outlook for 1Q26E and subsequent quarters NEGATIVE • Bank Handlowy: to book PLN 132.5m of resolution fund charges this year NEUTRAL • PKO BP: to book PLN 487m of annual resolution fund charges in 2026E NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games – 4Q25 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Associates for USD 8.4m POSITIVE • Colt CZ: 4Q25 results and FY26 guidance xx POSITIVE • Hungary macro...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MOH GA; GPW PW; TEN PW; BFT PW; HUG PW; ALR PW; ACP PW; RI...
HEADLINES: • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q25 net earnings and dividend beat; strong refining drives FCF POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: solid operational delivery in 4Q25, bottom line miss on impairment charges, communicated ahead of results NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA 11% below the market consensus; management recommends PLN 10.0 DPS NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 4Q25 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 4Q25 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: wants to pay a DPS...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: IGN1L LH; ZAB PW; CDR PW; CAR PW; LPP PW; DSPW CP; CZG CP;...
HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY) • Zabka: beat in 4Q25; FY26E guidance of continued rapid expansion and stable profitability POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q25 results review – beat related to other operating income and income tax POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 4Q25E preview – 16% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 April) • LPP: 4Q25E results preview – 32% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 4Q25 above our expectations, backlog in line, materi...
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jakub Bronicki
Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY)
We reiterate our BUY on Ignitis and increase our 12M price target (PT) to EUR 26.8/share. We continue to like the company’s stable business model and high earnings predictability: RES operates under fixed-priced PPAs/CfDs, while both the Networks and Reserve Capacities segments are highly regulated. Following a period of elevated investments in 2023-25 (c.EUR 2.5bn), which increased RES capacity from 1.2 GW to 2.1 GW, we expect lower capex in 2026E (EUR 599m, at the lower bound of the guidance)....
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: JMT PL; RBW PW; 11B PW; OPTIMA GA; ACAG GA
HEADLINES: • Jeronimo Martins: miss in 4Q25 on other financial costs; flat yoy capex guidance for 2026E, DPS proposal yields 3% NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: impact of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East on operations NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA to decline by 32% qoq (due on 20 April) • Optima Bank SA: non-binding EUROXX Securities offer worth up to EUR 65.5m NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 2025E preview (due on 23 March)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: THEON NA; INPST NA; DAT PW; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; APR PW...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: model update due to KAPPA and Exosens deals (stays BUY) • InPost: 4Q25 well below expectations due to the UK; only flat FY26E EBITDA guidance NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q25 results – sales down 26% yoy, to PLN 6.68m NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: final 4Q25 group results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: management recommends DPS of PLN 0.15 from 2025 earnings NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: announces dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: FFO u...
- Krisztian Karikas
Massive payout drives valuation upwards
Magyar Telekom has reported solid results for the last quarter, and the full year results exceeded management guidance. The full year adjusted net profit came mostly in-line with guidance as net profit reached HUF 208.5bn. Management increased the payout ratio to 90% and proposed a total shareholder remuneration of HUF 186.4bn which exceeded our expectations. The initial guidance for 2026 assumes low single digit revenue and EBITDAaL growth YoY and mid-single digit adjusted net profit grow...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; ENA PW; TPE PW; PGE PW; GPW PW; FTSHP CP; MOL HB...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 4Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • Enea: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA 25% below expectations on Supply one-offs; adjusted EBITDA 2% below forecast NEUTRAL • Enea / Tauron: URE orders additional payments to the Price Difference Payment Fund NEUTRAL • PGE: completes acquisition of 350 MW Bałtyk II offshore wind project from RWE NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: PLN 10.7m impairment losses to spoil otherwise strong quarter (due on 23 March) NEGATIVE • Footshop: preliminary 4Q25 resul...
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
SPLUS SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
FTSHP FOOTSHOP A.S.
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – CEE real estate: yields cheat sheet
The majority of European real estate seems to have sailed through the rate hikes surprisingly smoothly. There appears to be a broad consensus among companies and realtors that the trough in values may have passed, and that 2026E may see a continued transaction volume recovery, led by prime assets. Valuations are broadly expected to be income driven, with limited room for yield compression, as rates remain stable. Investors appear selective, favouring prime, core assets; while secondary, older st...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: GPP PW; CAR PW; ZAB PW; MOL HB; SOKM TI; GEV CP
HEADLINES: • Grupa Pracuj: valuation harmed unjustly by AI threat (stays BUY) • Inter Cars: February sales up by 11% yoy POSITIVE • Zabka: 4Q25E results preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 19 March) NEUTRAL • MOL: Hungary to cap fuel pump prices NEGATIVE • Sok Marketler: recovery in operating results continued in 4Q25 POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: preliminary 4Q25 miss on P&L lines; 2025 below the lower end of management's guidance, tight balance sheet NEGATIVE
- Marek Szymański
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
Grupa Pracuj: valuation harmed unjustly by AI threat (stays BUY)
We reiterate our BUY on Grupa Pracuj (GPP) and cut our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 57.4/share (from PLN 66.8/share), implying 44% upside potential. GPP’s share price is down 25% in the LTM, mainly on market worries over the potential AI utilisation impact on the job classifieds business, causing a market-wide derating: GPP peers’ 1-3YF average P/E multiple medians have contracted by 42% in the LTM. We base our positive view on GPP on the assumption that the derating is unjustified fundamentally...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CCOLA TI; PGE PW; TPE PW; CDR PW; AQ RO; GEKTERNA GA; TL A...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 results – operational recovery masked by higher tax expenses NEUTRAL • PGE: recognises deferred tax asset of c.PLN 2bn in the Conventional Generation Segment POSITIVE • Tauron: PLN 392m positive impact from impairment reversal in stand-alone accounts; no impact on consolidated results NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk 2077 available on Xbox Game Pass on 10 March POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25 earnings beat, on slowing opex POSITIVE • GEK Terna: surpr...
- Bram Buring
- CFA
WOOD Flash – Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25 earnings beat, on slowing...
Last week (27 February), Aquila reported 4Q25 net profit of RON 16.3m, well above our forecast of RON 9.5m, and an EBITDA margin of 65bps, ahead of our forecast (expanding to 5.4%), thanks to a marked deceleration in the pace of personnel costs (+12% yoy, vs. +26% in 9M25), and a relatively low level of provisioning compared to what we expected (RON 2.9m, vs. the RON 8m in our model). Revenues grew 20% yoy, to RON 1,008m, driven by an outstanding 47% yoy increase in the traditional channel, alth...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SNT PW; EEMEA Macro; CPS PW; WPL PW; PRIUA CP; RICHT HB; T...
HEADLINES: • Synektik: healthcare play, with multiple tailwinds (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EEMEA macro: early takes on the Iran conflict • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 21.21%, while WP TV at 0.51% in February 2026 NEUTRAL • Primoco UAV: EUR 4m order for Spanish Guardia Civil POSITIVE • Richter: acquires WHC discovery portfolio of Celmatix NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: acquisition of six minority stakes and sale of stake in ...
SNT SYNEKTIK
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
KSPI KASPI KZ
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
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