HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, with inflation back at target • Wirtualna Polska: sells Invia Flights Germany at EUR 42.3m EV, 9.0x 2024 EV/EBITDA POSITIVE • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • Allegro • Asseco Poland • Benefit Systems • Budimex • CCC • Kety • PGE • Tauron • Primoco UAV • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A. • MedLife • Mavi • Georgia Capital • GEVORKYAN • Krka • Medicover
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: eyes 19% ROE and is more open to higher dividend payouts in its strategy update POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 3Q25 delivery with a 7% beat to consensus POSITIVE • Murapol: 3Q25E close to our forecasts with weaker revenue, but stronger gross margin NEUTRAL • Orlen: swaps some Norwegian assets with DNO NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext reportedly reaches the acquisition threshold NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy; conse...
Last week (13 November) Aquila Part Prod Com (Aquila) reported its 3Q25 results, with a net profit of just RON 4.4m and EBITDA of RON 39.5m (-15% yoy), or an EBITDA margin of 4.4% (161bp below the 3Q24 level and 141bp below 1H25). This was a negative surprise as, in August, the company had guided for an EBITDA margin >6% in 2H25E. During the earnings conference call on 14 November, management noted that the 3Q25 gross margin came under pressure due to price adjustments, especially in the Traditi...
Carrefour: Saadé family acquires stake, Peninsula exits|Emeria: an equity fundraising to enable bond refinancing?|Advanz Q3 25 results: Adj. EBITDA drops yoy and net leverage increases further – but not surprising|grenke Q3 25 results: Good operational performance YTD, but loss rate and NPLs increase|Finnair: no surprises on the FY 2026-2029 targets at first sight|
Carrefour : entrée de la famille Saadé au capital et sortie de Peninsula|Emeria : une levée d’equity pour permettre le refinancement des obligations ?|Advanz Q3 25 results: Adj. EBITDA drops yoy and net leverage increases further – but not surprising|grenke Q3 25 results: Good operational performance YTD, but loss rate and NPLs increase|Finnair: no surprises on the FY 2026-2029 targets at first sight|
HEADLINES: • OPAP: tempting, but tricky (downgraded to HOLD) • Bank Handlowy: posts neutral set of 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Krka: 3Q25 results – positive surprise in the gross margin POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 3Q25 miss on gross margin compression NEGATIVE • Magyar Telekom: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 2Q FY26 – 10% EBIT beat on lower CASKX POSITIVE • DataWalk: actual 3Q25 numbers fully in line with th...
Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...
Low fuel prices remain a key tailwind for the sector, but many airlines under our coverage are seeing margin compression this year, as yields lag CASK inflation. The early summer was also affected negatively by the June escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. We expect Wizz Air to deliver c.20% EBIT growth, off a relatively low base last summer; while Aegean Airlines and Turkish Airlines to record mid-single digit yoy EBIT declines in 3Q25E, with the modest yield pressure and rising CASK ...
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