A director at Supalai Public Company Limited bought 1,200,000 shares at 18.135THB and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the la...
SPALI posted a net profit of Bt614m in 1Q24 (-43% yoy, -70% qoq), which was below our and consensus forecasts. The decline in revenue was primarily attributed to the reduced transfers. However, earnings are expected to improve from 2Q24 onwards, with new projects and a significant backlog in the low-rise segment. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt24.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt22.70/Target: Bt30.00) 1Q24: Results miss on lower gross margin. Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB/BUY/Bt8.20/Target: Bt11.60) 1Q24: Earnings in line; rail business maintains its positive gross margin. Berli Jucker (BJC TB/HOLD/Bt25.00/Target: Bt27.00) 1Q24: Results slightly missed expectations; lack of share price catalysts. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt112.00/Target: Bt150.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
SPALI is expected to report weak results in 1Q24, with a net profit of Bt721m (-33% yoy, -64% qoq). This is due to pressure from market conditions and the aggressive transfers in the previous quarter. However, we expect SPALI’s earnings to improve in 2Q24, mainly underpinned by newly completed condo projects and the low-rise backlog. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt24.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Electronics 1Q24 results preview: Expect slow improvement to persist. Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/HOLD/Bt124.00/Target: Bt138.00) 1Q24: Results above expectations; normalisation of credit cost in 2025. Update PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/HOLD/Bt38.75/Target: Bt38.00) 1Q24 results preview: Slow core profit recovery expected. Supalai (SPALI TB/BUY/Bt20.40/Target: Bt24.20) Expect weak 1Q24 earnings to improve in 2Q24.
GREATER CHINA Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$4.57/Target: HK$5.30): SSS declines in 1Q24; strategic readjustment to fit value-for-money experience. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$17.50/Target: HK$19.20): 1Q24 sell-through growth in line; expect sell-through growth to pick up starting from 2H24. INDONESIA Strategy Potential Impact Of The Middle East Conflict: Our top picks: Banking – BBNI, BBTN; property − BSDE, CTRA; technology – BUKA; consumer − MYOR, CMRY; retail – ACES; in...
SPALI reported 4Q23 earnings at Bt2.0b in 4Q23 (-7% yoy, +69% qoq), beating our and consensus estimates by 19% and 15% respectively. 2023 earnings were at about Bt6.0b (-27% yoy). SPALI has solid fundamentals and a diversified portfolio that make it more advantageous than mid-to-small developers. Despite challenges, earnings are expected to recover in 2024. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt24.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt10.90/Target: Bt13.50) 4Q23: Results in line; targets to grow presales and revenue in 2024 despite challenges. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt11.70/Target: Bt14.40) 4Q23: Better-than-expected results; resilient momentum in 1Q24. Muangthai Capital (MTC TB/HOLD/Bt43.50/Target: Bt40.00) 4Q23: Earnings beat market expectation. Supalai (SPALI TB/BUY/Bt19.80/Target: Bt24.20) 4Q23: Results exceed expectation, expect to see a recovery in 2024
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: A closer look at China’s property market: Takeaways from project visits in Shenzhen/Guangzhou/Shanghai/Suzhou. Update Meituan (3690 HK/HOLD/HK$72.75/Target: HK$70.00): 4Q23 results preview: Pressured margins given persisting headwinds and competition. Downgrade to HOLD. INDONESIA Sector Banking: Loan growth to support earnings growth in 2024. MALAYSIA Results CelcomDigi (CDB MK/HOLD/RM4.37/Target: RM4.50): 2023: Above our expectations but in line with street est...
SPALI is set to break all records with its impressive project launches, presales, and revenue targets in its 2024 business plan. We still expect an earnings recovery in 2024 despite many challenges. In addition, we still like its solid fundamentals. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt24.20.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: EV sales rebounded in the third week of 2024 on price cuts, implying lower margins. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Li Auto. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$90.40/Target: HK$135.00): Resilient user growth and normalised revenue growth fostering solid recovery in 2024. INDONESIA Sector Mining Expecting nickel prices to bottom out in 2024 with potential recovery in 2025. MALAYSIA Results Pavilion REIT (PREIT MK/BUY/RM1.24/Target: RM1.47): 4Q23: Results in line...
SPALI reported disappointing earnings in 3Q23, down 57% yoy and 30% qoq, coming in below our and consensus forecasts. We expect earnings to improve qoq in 4Q23, driven by huge backlogs and substantial launches with ready-to-move-in units. In 2024, earnings are expected to see yoy growth. Its undemanding valuation and an attractive dividend yield will the underpin share price. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt24.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.30/Target: Bt30.00) 3Q23: Earnings below estimates; remain positive on outlook ahead. BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt7.30/Target: Bt7.00) 2QFY24: Turnaround in profit from associates and one-off items, still lower than expected. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt127.00/Target: Bt200.00) 3Q23: A strong quarter as expected. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt24.00/Target: Bt30.00) 3Q23: Better growth profile at discounted valuati...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: New-home sales still weak; PBOC’s decision to offer PSL/Special Loan will be positive for market stabilisation. INDONESIA Sector Healthcare: 3Q23: Strong patient volume growth and improving revenue intensity. MALAYSIA Results Dialog Group (DLG MK/BUY/RM2.10/Target: RM2.85): 1QFY24: Results in line, as upstream business (higher production) and storage income (ie PITSB) more than offset the continued EPCC cost overruns. Small-Mid Cap Highlights NationGate Holdings ...
GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$285.20/Target: HK$370.00): 3Q23: Earnings beat on investment income; core revenue remains lacklustre. Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,643.98/Target: Rmb2,470.00): 3Q23: Lower-than-expected revenue growth; highest earnings visibility. Update CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$29.55/Target: HK$47.48): Takeaways from site visits in Chengdu and Chongqing: A closer look at CR Land’s core growth engine. CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK/...
Our forecast suggests a net profit of Bt1.5b for 3Q23 (-45% yoy, -12% qoq). SPALI is expected to report disappointing results, primarily due to diminished presales caused by market conditions, notably in the low-rise segment. However, we maintain BUY on SPALI due to the expectation of better performance in 4Q23 and 2024, as well as an undemanding valuation. Target price: Bt26.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/HOLD/Bt129.00/Target: Bt145.00) 3Q23: Net profit exceeded expectations; upside gains limited by persistently high credit cost and low dividend payout. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/BUY/Bt51.50/Target: Bt69.00) 3Q23: Weak results as expected; negatives should have been priced in. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt99.75/Target: Bt124.00) 3Q23: Results in line with our expectations but below consensus’. Update Supalai (SPALI TB/BUY/Bt19.00/Target: Bt26.00) Expe...
SPALI posted a net profit of Bt1.7b in 2Q23 (-18% yoy, +57% qoq), which was above our and consensus’ forecasts by 9% and 7% respectively. 2H23 presales are expected to improve hoh, driven by the solid demand for the low-rise provincial segment and the upcoming project launches in 2H23. 3Q23 earnings are expected to be more robust qoq, driven by condo transfers. SPALI announced an interim dividend payment with a yield of 3.4%. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt25.80.
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