reports
- Damien Choplain
- Martial Descoutures
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/05/2024
European equity markets weakened in October following multiple disappointments across the earnings season. The impending US election, the outcome of which is highly uncertain according to the polls, may also have prompted some traders to adopt a cautious stance. Sovereign long rates rose sharply, particularly in the US, on the back of macro indicators likely to provide arguments to the most hawkish of central bankers. All eyes are now on the November 5 elections and their repercussion...
- Damien Choplain
- Martial Descoutures
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 05/11/2024
Les marchés actions européens ont fléchi en octobre après les nombreuses déceptions sur la saison des résultats. L’approche de l’élection US, très incertaine selon les sondages, pourrait également avoir poussé à la prudence certains opérateurs. Les taux longs souverains ont nettement remonté, en particulier aux Etats-Unis, sur la base d’indicateurs macro susceptibles de donner des arguments aux plus faucons des banquiers centraux. Tous les yeux sont désormais rivés sur le scrutin du 5...
- Konrad Zomer
Adecco : Rigorous cost savings, leverage still too high, outlook sugge...
>G&A end-2024 lifted from €150m to €171m, supporting the EBITA margin - Adecco reported a 5% organic revenue decline in Q3 (trading-days adjusted, otherwise it was -3%), with -5% at Adecco (staffing), -5% at Akkodis and -7% at LHH. This compares with consensus organic revenues at -3% (we at -3.6%). The gross margin came in at 19.4%, down 90bps as a result of lower revenues, business mix and a 60bps negative impact from temporary employment (below expectations) and 10b...
- Julian Dobrovolschi
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/10/2024
Thanks to unit revenue that has proven more resilient than anticipated, real discipline on capacity and a decline in the fuel bill, we expect margins to recover, especially for the legacies. IAG remains our top pick. We are upgrading Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Neutral and downgrading Ryanair to Underperform as well as WizzAir on Neutral. - ...
- Julian Dobrovolschi
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 10/10/2024
Grâce à une recette unitaire qui se tient mieux que prévu, une discipline capacitaire notable et une baisse de la facture carburant, nous anticipons un rebond des marges tout particulièrement pour les majors. IAG reste notre valeur préférée. Nous relevons Air France-KLM et Lufthansa à Neutre et abaissons Ryanair à Sous-performance ainsi que Wizz Air à Neutre. - ...
- Konrad Zomer
Adecco : Heightened risk of a dividend cut and Q3 likely more challeng...
>Staffing markets were marginally more challenging in the last three months - Adecco is set to reports its Q3 results on 5 November. We believe trading conditions in key staffing markets like North America, France and Germany remained very difficult in Q3, and we believe Adecco might have faced a marginally more challenging trading environment in recent months. Easier comps and 1.1 additional working days are likely to be fully offset by margin pressure from weak perm...
Adecco Group AG: 1 director
A director at Adecco Group AG bought 5,000 shares at 28.749CHF and the significance rating of the trade was 65/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Konrad Zomer
Adecco : Gaining marketshare while cutting costs, but leverage still t...
>Doing relatively well although FESCO JV caused the main EBITA beat - Given already fairly cautious expectations, we believe Adecco delivered an OK set of results. Organic revenue growth came in at -2% in Q2, in line with consensus and our forecasts, with the gross margin -70bpp at 19.4% reflecting difficult markets (perm fees were down 14% and impacted the gross margin by -30bps, temp by -20bps). Adjusted EBITA was flat yoy at €179m, which is a strong performance, an...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Marc Lavaud
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/04/2024
Sartorius is set to outperform the underlying biopharmaceutical market based on higher exposure to novel biologics and its focus on single-use components. Destocking is likely to end soon but the changing ordering pattern could distort order intake as KPI and organic growth should recover faster. In our view, the expected cut to its FY 2024 guidance is already largely reflected in the share price. Based on the expected turnaround, we have upgraded to Outperform with a new target price...
AKRBP AKER BP ASA
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
PGS PGS ASA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Marc Lavaud
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 04/07/2024
Sartorius is set to outperform the underlying biopharmaceutical market based on higher exposure to novel biologics and its focus on single-use components. Destocking is likely to end soon but the changing ordering pattern could distort order intake as KPI and organic growth should recover faster. In our view, the expected cut to its FY 2024 guidance is already largely reflected in the share price. Based on the expected turnaround, we have upgraded to Outperform with a new target price...
AKRBP AKER BP ASA
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
PGS PGS ASA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Konrad Zomer
Adecco : Akkodis sale not necessary in our view
>Akkodis generates 27% of group EBITA in 2024e - According to Bloomberg, some people suggest Adecco is considering a possible sale of its technology consulting unit Akkodis. According to our forecasts, this business will generate revenues and adjusted EBITA this year of € 3,759m and € 244m respectively, which represents 16% of group revenues and 27% of group adjusted EBITA. It is the high-margin technology unit of Adecco (including AKKA), with specialised white and bl...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
SCR SCOR SE
ZAL ZALANDO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
SCR SCOR SE
ZAL ZALANDO SE
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Konrad Zomer
Adecco : Doing relatively OK in a tough market environment
>Adecco just about meets consensus, underlying performance actually good - Adecco reported Q1 results which were broadly in line with consensus. Organic revenue growth came in flat (css at -1.3%, we at -1.2%), with the gross margin at 19.8%. This is a full 100bps yoy decline, mainly because of a change in business mix as pricing was referred to by management as firm. The temp gross margin had a negative effect of 50bps, permanent placement had a negative 40bps impact ...
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
1COV COVESTRO AG
GET GETLINK SE
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
FGR EIFFAGE SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
KGX KION GROUP AG
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
NN NN GROUP N.V.
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
1COV COVESTRO AG
GET GETLINK SE
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
FGR EIFFAGE SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
KGX KION GROUP AG
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
MONC MONCLER SPA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
NN NN GROUP N.V.
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Konrad Zomer
Adecco : Outstanding Q4 results with adjusted EBITA growth of 20%
>Organic revenue growth of 3% in staffing strongly supported by Germany - In Q4, Adecco reported organic revenue growth of 1%, compared with our and consensus forecasts of 0.6% and 0.4% respectively. This is the combination of 3% growth in Adecco Staffing (we at +1.6%, a strong performance), -5% at Akkodis (we at -4%) and -2% at LHH (we at -1%). In Staffing, Adecco reported double-digit revenue growth in Germany (+12%, very strong in logistics and automotives, we were...
- Oliver Metzger
- Wim Gille
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 23/01/2024
En ce début d’année 2024, nous privilégions les compagnies low-cost face aux majors. Nous estimons que la dynamique capacitaire restera plus favorable sur l’intra-européen que sur les routes long-courrier, ce qui permettra une évolution plus positive du pricing pour les LCC avec un levier opérationnel plus important. Nous dégradons par conséquent IAG en Neutre (vs Surperformance) avec un OC de 2 €, Lufthansa en Neutre (vs Surperformance) avec un OC de 8.5 € et finalement Air France-KL...
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
ORSTED ORSTED
SAN SANOFI
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
GSK GSK PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
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