Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
Haitian's 3Q24 core profit rose 9% yoy, with a sequential qoq improvement in contract liabilities and cash inflow. To achieve full-year targets, it should achieve 20%/9% revenue/net profit growth in 4Q24, which is reasonable. Haitian is committed to its fourth five-year plan, supported by: a) penetration into online channels, b) market share gain from smaller competitors, and c) customised product innovations for restaurants. Its current valuation seems fair. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Rmb49.5...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile We expect China’s smart cockpit and ADAS markets to grow at a three-year CAGR of 17%/20% respectively from 2023-26. The buoyant growth will be driven by the vehicle intelligentisation trend, and the most prominent themes are: a) NOA, b) EEA centralisation, and c) vehicle-road-cloud integration. Leading companies with innovative products will enjoy buoyant top-line growth and resilient margins. Top picks: Huizhou Desay SV, Ningbo Tuopu and Joyson Electronics. ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Intelligentisation is the new growth engine for the EV industry. Top BUYs: Desay SV, Tuopu, Joyson, Fuyao and ECARX. Results China Resources Building Materials Tech (1313 HK/BUY/HK$2.02/Target: HK$2.30): 3Q24: Below expectations; 2024 cement sales guidance trimmed to 63m tonnes. Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food (603288 CH/HOLD/Rmb45.37/Target: Rmb49.50): 3Q24: Core profit up 9% yoy; well-positioned for continued steady growth. Goldwind (2208 HK/BUY/HK$6.91/Target...
China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...
After the 2Q24/1H24 results, we are now more cautious on China’s consumer sector. For consumer discretionary, domestic operations were impacted by weak offline traffic. Companies remained concrete on overseas expansion and became more disciplined on cost control to protect the margin level amid the slower top-line growth. For consumer staple, we observed slower product mix upgrade. Companies adopted proactive shipment control to manage channel inventories. Operating efficiency improvement became...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 14.7% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. Consumer 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectations; disciplined operations matter. INDONESIA Update Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ/BUY/Rp680/Target: Rp900) ...
Haitian's 1H24 core net profit increased by 12% yoy. It is on track to achieve its 2024 targets, driven by strong online growth and expansion into new product categories. By the end of 1H24, Haitian’s inventory pressure has eased, and it further expanded its distributor base. We believe the company is well-positioned for continued steady revenue growth. Raise target price by 1% to Rmb36.50. The current valuation seems reasonable for us. Thus, we still maintain HOLD.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Baosteel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb5.85/Target: Rmb7.90) Baosteel reported 1H24 earnings of Rmb4,554.6m (-0.2% yoy), representing 34% of our full-year estimate and below expectations. Steel products’ gross margin rose to 3.7% (+0.7ppt yoy). Differentiated products’ sales volume increased to Rmb15.09m (+17.2% yoy), remaining as the key earnings contributor during the industry downcycle. Steel products’ export volume grew to 3.05m (+2% yoy), on track to achieve the annual target...
2024’s 618 overall GMV was down by 7% yoy. By channel, livestreaming platforms continued to gain momentum, with GMV up 12% yoy, while the cosmetics category saw a significant shift towards livestreaming platforms. By brand, domestic cosmetics and sportswear brands recorded strong performances. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.
During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, consumer services, experiential spending (eg tourism) and lower-tier cities continued to lead the growth. For China’s consumer sector, we keep Anta, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks. At the same time, we add Miniso but remove CR Beer and Midea from the stock picks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...
Haitian’s 2023 results missed our estimates, dragged by lower-than-expected revenue growth. The company aims to grow revenue and attributable net profit by 12% and 11% respectively in 2024, which implies a likely net profit margin squeeze yoy. In our view, the company is likely to face near-term headwinds due to channel fragmentation and catering companies’ growing preference for single-seasoning products. Maintain HOLD and cut target price by 3% to Rmb36.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile We raise 2024 forecasts on China’s PV sales growth and PEV sales growth from +8%/+21% to +10%/+24% on bigger-than-expected subsidies for the cash-for-clunker program and zero downpayment auto loans. Meanwhile, we lift the target prices of BYD, Geely, GWM, GAC and Yadea to HK$160.00/HK$13.00/HK$13.50/HK$3.30 /HK$20.00 respectively. Upgrade GWM from HOLD to BUY, and upgrade GAC from SELL to HOLD. Top BUY: CATL, Geely and Yadea. Top SELL: BYD, Li Auto and XPeng. ...
GREATER CHINA Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.72/Target: HK$6.40): 1Q24: Below expectations; low wind speed weighed on performance. COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.62/Target: HK$6.75): 1Q24: Results in line; steady performance in a seasonally slow quarter with headwinds. Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/BUY/Rmb14.13/Target: Rmb18.50): 1Q24: ICL revenue growth satisfactory; esoteric testing and self-developed product segments remain 2024’s key growth drivers. Foshan Haitian Flavou...
During the Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday, tourism, both domestic and outbound, catering and movie consumption put up strong performances. For the consumer sector, we prefer discretionary to staple, and Macau gaming in the discretionary space, given the strong recovery momentum of Macau tourism and moderate hike in opex. Galaxy is our top pick in Macau gaming sector, given its net cash position amid the higher interests. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
A director at Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food Co Ltd sold 2,635,000 shares at 34.396CNY and the significance rating of the trade was 74/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over...
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